I think this PPP Texas poll from June 29 is of some interest

Now, for the record, I don't really see Obama winning Texas unless a loon like Bachmann is nominated. Perry would end up winning his home state. Texans have never liked him, but they always seem to vote him back in. Having said that, there is decidedly little enthusiasm for a Perry candidacy in that state. In stark contrast, George W. Bush was very popular in Texas in 1999/2000 and his candidacy was even supported by some Democrats in the legislature.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_TX_629513.pdf

Raleigh, N.C. – Perhaps the clearest indication of the weakness of the Republican field is
their performance in ruby red Texas. Texas wants to be rid of President Obama with only
42% approving of his performance and a 55% majority disapproving. However, it would
be a single digit race against any of Obama’s perspective Republican opponents. Obama
performs weakest against Mitt Romney, trailing 42-50 (49-42 in January). Obama trails
native son Ron Paul 40-45, Michele Bachmann 44-47, and Tim Pawlenty 43-44. Obama
ties Herman Cain 43-43, and leads Sarah Palin 46-44 (46-47) and Texas Governor Rick
Perry 47-45 (45-45).

cut

Perry is also unpopular with 43% approving and 52% disapproving of his performance. Texans are even less
enthusiastic about a Perry candidacy for Presidency with only 33% saying he should run
and 59% saying he shouldn’t. Republicans do want him to run though, 52-38.

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“Rick Perry may prove to be a strong candidate for President in other places,” said Dean
Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But the home state voters who know him
best aren’t showing a lot of support for a White House bid.”

:kick:

http://www.gallup.com/poll/149003/Obama-Weekly-Job-Approval-Lowest-Administration.aspx

Not much to hang your hat on..