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malaise Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:20 PM
Original message
Mubarak supporters are attacking the anti-Mubarak
supporters in Alexandria.

On Al Jazeera now.
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malaise Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:22 PM
Response to Original message
1. Military fires shots
supposedly to break up the fighting.

Journalist says she had to duck.
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eleny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:23 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. kick
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H2O Man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:24 PM
Response to Original message
3. It is their option
of last resort. I suppose that we all expected it, but it is still definitely upsetting. Hopefully, there will be little violence.
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:25 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. I swear there is a revolution script somewhere
You have lived long enough to know what I am talking about.

This is part of the dynamic at end game.
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H2O Man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:27 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Right.
We've seen parts of it far too many times already.
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malaise Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:28 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. Actually this took longer than I expected
but regimes always have supporters who benefit from the spoils system
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H2O Man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:31 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. I agree.
The police would seem to be the most dangerous group, and they have both the capacity and organization to create widespread violence.
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:38 PM
Response to Reply #7
16. Tunis took three weeks
Marcos took seven if memory serves...

The Iranian Revolution took six.

So this taking another week or two will not surprise me
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truth2power Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:38 PM
Response to Reply #4
15. nadin...would you mind expanding on your comments...
sorry to sound so clueless, but "dynamic at end game"...

What do you mean?
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:47 PM
Response to Reply #15
21. Ok here is how they usually go
even if the dynamic has small variations.

1.- People start protesting peacefully, demanding small changes.

2.- Government says no

3.- People continue demands climb

4.- Some concessions are done

5.- Government promises a crack down... using the army.

Here is where things get interesting, if the army cracks down... it will be suppressed. Army has said no, we will not shoot.

6.- leader promises major changes and to leave power at some future time... and his supporters take to the streets.

7.- The demand for revolution continues...

8.- Leader leaves or dies while trying to hang on to power.

Some of these steps are changeable, at times it goes on faster, and skips a step pr two...

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truth2power Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:52 PM
Original message
Thank you, nadin. I am really hoping the people will win out, but
it seems the pro-Mubarak forces are getting the upper hand. So sad, because things will just go back to more oppression and more torture. I hope I am wrong.
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malaise Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:26 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. The Tank just drove off but they fired in the air
More gun fire
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H2O Man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:30 PM
Response to Reply #5
8. Our hopes
are that the military can keep things from spinning out of control. That's an odd dynamic, in the sense that usually the military represents the brutal authority of the dictator.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:33 PM
Response to Reply #8
13. Mubarak doesn't have the army.
He hasn't had it since at least Friday because the tanks went in to protect the people from the police.
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H2O Man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:45 PM
Response to Reply #13
20. Yep.
It's probably helped to save many lives.

Earlier this week, I had noted that some media was reporting that high-level Egyptian military representatives were in meetings at the Pentagon. One DU friend linked to an article saying one general was returning quickly to Egypt. That, of course, would not change the likelihood that the milirary was informing our military that they were not going to prop up the dictator.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:50 PM
Response to Reply #20
24. It has been reported that Gates has been speaking with his Egyptian counterpart.
Someone, somewhere, made an interesting choice late last week.
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redwitch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:30 PM
Response to Original message
9. And we can credit Mubarak for this.
If his speech had included his resignation it would have taken the fight out of his supporters.
The bloodshed will be on his hands.
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spanone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:31 PM
Response to Original message
11. k&r....
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truth2power Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:32 PM
Response to Original message
12. al-jazeera reporter speaking with a protester. He says pro-Mubarak
individuals are probably Mubarak security forces. To me that means provacateurs trying to stir up trouble.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:37 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. And it looks like the Army was warned in advance
because they are not reacting but responding by trying to calm things down in a low key way.
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backscatter712 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:40 PM
Response to Reply #14
17. The army seems to be responding with a lot of restraint.
Firing warning shots, trying to disperse altercations...
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:45 PM
Response to Reply #17
19. The same tactic reported from another location.
Looks like the regime is trying to start conflict between the protesters and the Army.
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malaise Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 06:04 PM
Response to Reply #19
33. Good spot
I think H2O is correct re the police as pro Mubarak forces since he did say that he had ordered the police back on the street.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 06:07 PM
Response to Reply #33
35. It's been amazing to me how smart and disciplined the crowds have been.
They just don't take the bait.
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leftstreet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:41 PM
Response to Reply #12
18. How come Mubarak's 'supporters' waited so long to defend him?
:shrug:
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truth2power Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:47 PM
Response to Reply #18
22. I'm thinking they may be provocateurs who were "lying in wait" so to speak..
hoping the people would be fooled again by Mubarak's speech and would disperse. When that was not the case they're upping the ante.

Just grasping at straws, here. I really have no expertise in the matter.
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leftstreet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:50 PM
Response to Reply #22
23. Sounds plausible
And it's not as if a gvt has never tried it before

:-(

They probably teach it in Pissy Propped Up Dictator School
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RainDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:52 PM
Response to Original message
25. also in Cairo - convoy of cars shouting pro-Mubarak slogans. approx 300 ppl.
driving around Tahrir Square.

reporter said he left square - military seemed to be on heightened alert - raised red flags by tanks.

about 60 ppl on motorcycles chanting pro-M slogans, honking horns

about 300 ppl.
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RainDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:52 PM
Response to Reply #25
27. coming back to the square carrying sticks. n/t
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:52 PM
Response to Original message
26. AJE reporting 50-60 people on motor cycles chanting for Mubarak.
Says there are about 300 Mubarak supporters.
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Celebrandil Donating Member (254 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:55 PM
Response to Original message
28. Media is just exaggerating
If I were in my 20s, currently in Egygt, I would probably have thrown a few stone myself, just for the sake of 15 minutes of fame. Media just loves to exaggerate.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:56 PM
Response to Reply #28
30. The reports from Al Jazeera English are live and very accurate. n/t
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Celebrandil Donating Member (254 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 06:05 PM
Response to Reply #30
34. Yes, I saw it too.
Pro- and anti-Mubarak supporters were throwing stones at each others, and two tanks tried to calm things down by separating the two groups. Interesting... but hardly serious.
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 06:07 PM
Response to Reply #28
36. Oh do tell...
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truth2power Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:56 PM
Response to Original message
29. Somebody saying, now, that Mubarak's police are trying to intimidate the protesters and
that Mubarak might leave the country by Friday. :shrug:

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earth mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:57 PM
Response to Original message
31. How much are they paying those so called "supporters"...? nt
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Hell Hath No Fury Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-01-11 05:59 PM
Response to Reply #31
32. They couldn't pay me enough --
to do that. :scared:
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