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How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

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Donnachaidh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-02-11 10:47 AM
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How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America
http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2010/03/how-a-new-jobless-era-will-transform-america/7919/

The Great Recession may be over, but this era of high joblessness is probably just beginning. Before it ends, it will likely change the life course and character of a generation of young adults. It will leave an indelible imprint on many blue-collar men. It could cripple marriage as an institution in many communities. It may already be plunging many inner cities into a despair not seen for decades. Ultimately, it is likely to warp our politics, our culture, and the character of our society for years to come.

How should we characterize the economic period we have now entered? After nearly two brutal years, the Great Recession appears to be over, at least technically. Yet a return to normalcy seems far off. By some measures, each recession since the 1980s has retreated more slowly than the one before it. In one sense, we never fully recovered from the last one, in 2001: the share of the civilian population with a job never returned to its previous peak before this downturn began, and incomes were stagnant throughout the decade. Still, the weakness that lingered through much of the 2000s shouldn’t be confused with the trauma of the past two years, a trauma that will remain heavy for quite some time.

The unemployment rate hit 10 percent in October, and there are good reasons to believe that by 2011, 2012, even 2014, it will have declined only a little. Late last year, the average duration of unemployment surpassed six months, the first time that has happened since 1948, when the Bureau of Labor Statistics began tracking that number. As of this writing, for every open job in the U.S., six people are actively looking for work.

All of these figures understate the magnitude of the jobs crisis. The broadest measure of unemployment and underemployment (which includes people who want to work but have stopped actively searching for a job, along with those who want full-time jobs but can find only part-time work) reached 17.4 percent in October, which appears to be the highest figure since the 1930s. And for large swaths of society—young adults, men, minorities—that figure was much higher (among teenagers, for instance, even the narrowest measure of unemployment stood at roughly 27 percent). One recent survey showed that 44 percent of families had experienced a job loss, a reduction in hours, or a pay cut in the past year.

More at the link --
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haele Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-02-11 10:57 AM
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1. Damn scary article that especially all parents should read.
I've seen this trend going on since the 1980's - and unless the corporate psychology changes, we're not going to get any better as a nation.

Haele
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southernyankeebelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-02-11 11:50 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. I began noticing when Reagan was elected president. As soon has he punished the
Air Traffic Controllers I knew then this man didn't support the working people.
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Brickbat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-02-11 11:01 AM
Response to Original message
2. I have to say that getting laid off at age 30 and then being unemployed for two years had a huge
impact on my psyche, how I relate to work, and how I view my existence. This was 10 years ago.
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OhioChick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-02-11 11:34 AM
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3. K&R n/t
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obxhead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-02-11 12:21 PM
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5. Good read
The recession is not over, only in a stalled state.

just because a politician says something is so, does not make it so.
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