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What % of the Dem vote would a hypothetical primary challenger get

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WonderGrunion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:07 PM
Original message
Poll question: What % of the Dem vote would a hypothetical primary challenger get
Considering the desire for some kind of primary challenger to President Obama (presumably from the left although a primary challenge from the right is more likely), exactly how well do you think a hypothetical challenger to President Obama would do among Democratic voters.

Or respond with something vague like "Why don't we let the voters decide that"

I think a primary challenger will get less than 10% of the support of Democratic voters over the entire duration of the primary season.
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MineralMan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:10 PM
Response to Original message
1. Can't say without the name of the challenger.
I haven't heard of any challengers yet. If someone steps up, then I'll make a prediction.
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WonderGrunion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:11 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I appreciate that view, but I don't think it matters who runs
If anyone, that is. I think President Obama will crush absolutely anyone that runs against him.
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Rex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 05:51 PM
Response to Reply #1
27. +1
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Scuba Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:14 PM
Response to Original message
3. Who's the challenger? Dennis Kucinich? Hillary? Jeb Bush? n/t
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Ian David Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:15 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Allen Greene. n/t
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WonderGrunion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:18 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Who?
:shrug:
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Scuba Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:19 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. The guy from South Carolina. n/t
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WonderGrunion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:22 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Alvin Green?
All I could find otherwise was Allan Green the boxer and David Allen Green the attorney and writer for New Statesman.
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Ian David Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 05:17 PM
Response to Reply #8
20. Yeah, that's what I meant. Thanks! n/t
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WonderGrunion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:16 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Let's assume no one switches parties, that would eliminate Jeb
as a primary challenger. Bernie Sanders too for that matter. Dennis has never gotten more than 5% support among Democrats in the primaries. Hillary while formidable has indicated she is done running for office. Tell you what, pick who you think the most credible primary challenger to Obama would be and go with that.
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droidamus2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:28 PM
Response to Original message
9. I said 30-40 only if
the challenger has a strong liberal/progressive history and intends to continue in that vein. So if there is an obvious choice between the centrist Obama policies and the challengers intentions to implement liberal policies I think a large number on the left (including myself) of the party would use the primaries as a chance to signal Obama that there is strong support for a move to the left in the party and country as a whole.
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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:32 PM
Response to Original message
10. Definitely less than ten percent.
Anything else is a fantasy.
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NYC Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:33 PM
Response to Original message
11. Probably 1-2%.
Edited on Wed Mar-16-11 04:37 PM by NYC Liberal
As for possible challengers:

Hillary - not running.
Dean - not running, supports Obama.
Kucinich - not running.
Feingold - not running, "strongly supports" Obama.

as per their own statements.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:35 PM
Response to Original message
12. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
Egnever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:37 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. The people of WI are thankfull for people with your attitude right now
It has worked out so well for them so far.
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readmoreoften Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 05:31 PM
Response to Reply #13
25. Why would the WI protestors give a shit about Obama? He's not helping them
in any way shape or form. Is that all we get in this country? A false choice between those corporate operatives who brutalize the people and those who don't?
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readmoreoften Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 05:29 PM
Response to Reply #12
24. +1
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old mark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:39 PM
Response to Original message
14. K&R- Maybe 15%, maybe more if it was a real liberal...nt
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socialist_n_TN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:42 PM
Response to Reply #14
16. I think a strong leftie like Bernie would get.........
30%+. I didn't vote in this poll though because it's senseless without knowing who the challenger would be. Evan Byah would get mayber 3%-5%. Bernie would get 30%+. WHO would be the challenger WOULD make a difference.
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JoePhilly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:40 PM
Response to Original message
15. The Obama Primary challange continues to be ...
a political masturbatory fantasy.

There is really no other way to describe it.
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Little Star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:47 PM
Response to Original message
17. I thought you had to be a Democrat to be in a Democratic Primary?
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 04:49 PM
Response to Original message
18. Who cares? Just the thought of being able to vote for someone
that represents me would be exciting enough.
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readmoreoften Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 05:29 PM
Response to Reply #18
23. +1
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Change Happens Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 05:16 PM
Response to Original message
19. Same as Nader used to get, about 1 or 2% - You know, the loony left.
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readmoreoften Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 05:29 PM
Response to Reply #19
22. Yeah anyone who's against torture of American citizens and the destruction of public ed is "loony"
Now torture, imperialist war, replacing public ed-- that's all Democratic policy.
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dkofos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 05:26 PM
Response to Original message
21. Useless poll
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socialist_n_TN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 06:05 PM
Response to Reply #21
28. Agree. Evan Byah would get a different percentage..........
than Bernie would. Although, Bernie is NOT a Dem. As a Independent socialist, I'm not even sure he could run in the Democratic primary.
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TNLib Donating Member (683 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 05:51 PM
Response to Original message
26. Generic Dem would probably get 20-30
Obama is far too popular.
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readmoreoften Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 06:10 PM
Response to Original message
29. People who think Obama would get 90% in a PRIMARY are delusional.
It's a primary. Even if Obama was well-liked the challenger would likely get 15% no matter if it was just an unknown name on a ballot.
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Tesha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 06:21 PM
Response to Original message
30. In New Hampshire, where it's trivially easy for "independents" to vote in the Democratic Primary...
...and not much harder for a Republican with forethought,
I'd bet a challenger might *BEAT* Obama. That might set
off a cascade nationwide, between Republicans "monkey
wrenching" us and Progressives who are disguted with
Obama.

Tesha
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AlabamaLibrul Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 06:38 PM
Response to Reply #30
31. Actually, that would be called "people voting for their own interests" for a change
And I would love to see that glorious cascade nationwide.
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Tesha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-17-11 05:47 AM
Response to Reply #31
34. Not in New Hampshire.
It would be called "Republicans once again rigging
the Democratic Primary to assure that a Republican
(in fact or in spirit) wins again".

Why do you think that the New Hampshire Primary
so often delivers the most-corporate-friendly or least-
challenging Democrat? We have a huge contingent of
"independents" who routinely vote in our Democratic
Primary and these "independents" *AREN'T* our friends.

Tesha
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cliffordu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 06:45 PM
Response to Original message
32. rofl.....
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Howler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-16-11 08:48 PM
Response to Original message
33. Obama
Only won by 7% in 2008.
I think a really good candidate could walk away with 30% to 40% of the vote.
Obama has been a very big disappointment that keeps on disappointing.
I railed at my friends and family in the 2000 election for voting for Nador but I understand now.
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