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How does the intervention in Libya make it easier to get cheaper oil from there?

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LoZoccolo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:32 AM
Original message
How does the intervention in Libya make it easier to get cheaper oil from there?
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WatsonT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:35 AM
Response to Original message
1. Oil production in Libya is currently state owned for the most part
a cynic might argue that after toppling the government someone is going to have to run those oil wells and that someone won't necessarily be the new Libyan government.

So are you asking how does this potentially benefit you? If so the answer is: it won't.

But if you're asking how it potentially benefits a few quite wealthy individuals the answer is: considerably.
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CJCRANE Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:42 AM
Response to Reply #1
6. Gaddafi was opening up the oil market to outsiders...
famously including BP (if you followed the story about letting the Lockerbie bomber go back).
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WatsonT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:46 AM
Response to Reply #6
9. Why fight over the scraps
Edited on Tue Mar-22-11 08:47 AM by WatsonT
when they can just move in and take the whole thing?

Allowing a few companies in to compete with the state owned company is not the same thing as opening the entire country to outside investors.

Remember before you get too far down this line of thinking: Iraq was selling it's oil before the invasion too.
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CJCRANE Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:55 AM
Response to Reply #9
14. So what would have happened if Gaddafi
formed a unity government or listened to the protesters or formed a constitutional convention?

Are you saying that Gaddafi's actions had no influence on the decision by the UN to support a No Fly Zone?
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WatsonT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:56 AM
Response to Reply #14
15. If that had happened, no revolution
then likely we wouldn't be there.

This is exploiting a crises for financial gain.

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CJCRANE Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 09:21 AM
Response to Reply #15
17. Gaddafi had a choice. He chose the path of violence.
Big Oil had nothing to do with Gaddafi's decisions.
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WatsonT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 09:35 AM
Response to Reply #17
19. But they did, perhaps, have a say in how *we* responded to those actions
it's not as if he forced our hand by launching an invasion of the US or something. We could easily sit this one out. We chose to get involved.

You think for entirely humanitarian reasons. Based on history I disagree.
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CJCRANE Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 09:39 AM
Response to Reply #19
20. Don't Europe and the arab countries have a say in this?
Do you think it's reasonable or even sensible for them to do nothing to stop refugees from streaming into their countries?

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WatsonT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 09:53 AM
Response to Reply #20
21. Ah so now it's ok to launch a war
to keep immigrants out of your country.

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CJCRANE Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 10:07 AM
Response to Reply #21
22. "Refugees" from persecution not "immigrants". There's a difference.
Edited on Tue Mar-22-11 10:07 AM by CJCRANE
I'm stunned by your lack of empathy for the Libyan protesters.
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WatsonT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 10:12 AM
Response to Reply #22
23. Yes how cruel of me
Edited on Tue Mar-22-11 10:12 AM by WatsonT
opposing starting a new war and bombing another group of brown people who haven't attacked us.

I'm such a Nazi.

Of course we'll use the cruise missiles that only hurt the bad guys.

And we/europe currently recieve refugees from many countries.

Shall we bomb all of them?
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qazplm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 01:34 PM
Response to Reply #23
24. most of the world is "Brown people"
so let's stop traipsing out that canard every time we engage in a military conflict in the world.

This issue with Libya has nothing to do with the color of people's skin in Libya, nothing. Barack Obama, a real abuser of "brown people" that one.

I don't believe it has much to do with oil either but at least there is some basis for making that argument.
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WatsonT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 04:35 PM
Response to Reply #24
25. Ha
what a difference that last election made in peoples outlook on such matters.

And if you think Obama cares any more about the suffering of Libyans than any other random politician does I've got a bridge to sell you.
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qazplm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 05:56 PM
Response to Reply #25
29. I don't know what Obama truly cares about, neither do you
but i feel pretty confident that he isn't "out to get brown people."

You play uber cynic I hate the man all you want to though. It clearly gets you a happy.
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WatsonT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-23-11 08:03 AM
Response to Reply #29
39. Given the history of . . . . well mankind
being cynical about the intentions of government is more likely accurate than being trusting.
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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:56 PM
Response to Reply #1
34. Do you believe that the new Libyan government would take a smaller share of profits?
I have a bridge to sell you.

The more likely outcome is that the Libyan government would allow more leases.

But Gaddafi was doing that already.
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NightWatcher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:36 AM
Response to Original message
2. here's a crazy idea. I dont think it makes it easy. I think it reduces supply and keeps prices up
I think that's the name of the game. Why would Big Oil want to start selling at $1 a gallon when they are already selling at $3.45 a gallon? They made a shit ton of profit and I think they like instability, problems in the Gulf, hurricanes that slow production, and other excuses to keep charging us an arm and a leg.
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Telly Savalas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:39 PM
Response to Reply #2
31. So that would help oil companies while hurting almost every other business sector
Wouldn't the giant corporations that don't make money off of oil be pissed off about this? Don't they have any power?
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:36 AM
Response to Original message
3. Not necessarily cheaper oil, just secure sources and prevent major disruption
in production. At least that is how the argument goes.
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seabeyond Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:38 AM
Response to Original message
4. actually i am hearing companies in europe taking quite a risk. not with supply, but exploration
Edited on Tue Mar-22-11 08:39 AM by seabeyond
already planned and in the works. they have contracts for exploration, and doing this puts those at risk. that is a lot of money for a company
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razorman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:42 AM
Response to Original message
5. It hasn't worked anywhere else we have invaded.
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applegrove Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:44 AM
Response to Original message
7. I think Libya sells oil to Europe. If Europe's oil supplies are secure they
will not have to go to the open market to get oil and bid up the price of oil.
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Shagbark Hickory Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:48 AM
Response to Reply #7
12. Winner. Tell 'em what s/he's won, Jonny.
Edited on Tue Mar-22-11 08:49 AM by Shagbark Hickory
:party:A brand new, all expenses paid trip to Aruba! :party:
:party:Congratulations. :party:
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applegrove Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:54 AM
Response to Reply #12
13. LOL .... and I have just barely woken up.
:blush:
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Spider Jerusalem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 04:47 PM
Response to Reply #7
28. They already go on the open market?
That's how oil markets work. North Sea Brent crude, Saudi crude, etc etc are traded on the open market. The price reflected in the cost of a litre of petrol is determined to a large extent by world market prices for oil.
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applegrove Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:32 PM
Response to Reply #28
30. But if the 10 million barrels of oil a day libya produces gets cut off there would be less
supply so the price would shoot up. I am not saying that is the main reason why we are all in Libya but it is a reason.
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Spider Jerusalem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:44 PM
Response to Reply #30
32. Libya produces 1.6 million barrels a day of oil
and the price would shoot up if that were cut off, even. It has in fact increased because of supply disruptions accounting for about a half million to a million barrels. Because the oil market is a world market, any loss of Libyan oil production would affect what Americans pay for oil as well, not just Europeans.
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applegrove Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 09:06 PM
Response to Reply #32
36. My bad. I was sure it was 10 million barrels a day but didn't actually look it up so I'm sure it is
me that is wrong.
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Spider Jerusalem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 09:46 PM
Response to Reply #36
37. The whole world produces around 86 million barrels a day.
Saudi Arabia and Russia are the only 2 countries with the production capacity to produce 10 million barrels a day.
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applegrove Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 10:00 PM
Response to Reply #37
38. Thanks.
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Bluerthanblue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:46 AM
Response to Original message
8. I don't believe it does, or that it is what motivates the Libyan action.
I'm also not sure "cheaper oil" from the middle east is something that is good for the US in the long run.

:hi:
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hobbit709 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:47 AM
Response to Original message
10. It only becomes cheaper to those buying oil in bulk
Not to the person at the pump.
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Davis_X_Machina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:48 AM
Response to Original message
11. The rebels, out of gratitude...
...will sell it to us for peanuts.

And if they don't, we'll send Gadaffi back to them.

It's all very logical.
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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 09:00 PM
Response to Reply #11
35. They're going to let us have 90% of the share of oil after Gaddafi razed their cities.
:rofl:

(Most likely outcome is that the share stays at around 10% and the oil money is used to rebuild. Otherwise Libya will undergo yet another revolution against those who would have decided to be so stupid.)
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socialist_n_TN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 09:05 AM
Response to Original message
16. I don't think it does. Didn't I read where oil.......
(even US drilled oil) goes on the world market and is sold BACK to individual countries? So the only way this would benefit us is by making a LITTLE bit more oil available. And that's only if Khaddaffi were NOT selling all the oil he could pump.
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JackRiddler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 09:24 AM
Response to Original message
18. How is it possible supporters of war for empire still ask this silly question with a straight face?
Who says it's about cheaper oil? If you can find one, they're misguided.
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killbotfactory Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 04:42 PM
Response to Original message
26. It doesn't.
Letting Gaddafi slaughter a city full of people opposed to his rule and reclaim control of the country would.

Now that's progressive!
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Spider Jerusalem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 04:46 PM
Response to Original message
27. The answer is that it doesn't and indeed makes it harder in the short term
as long as Gaddafi remains in control of the oilfields then he'll continue to produce them insofar as possible and the oil will go on the world market (where market forces determine the price and it'll cost just as much as the contract price for whichever reference crude is being traded, probably the OPEC basket). Further destabilisation of Libya and the collapse of the regime means disruption of production (more than has already occurred) and higher prices in the short term (and possibly in the long term if there's significant infrastructure damage).
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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:55 PM
Response to Original message
33. It doesn't, market oil prices are based on market supply and demand.
Edited on Tue Mar-22-11 08:58 PM by joshcryer
One can make the argument that the corporations pumping the oil would get a larger share of the oil profits, but that is not a guarantee by any means.

One could also make the argument that capitalism would allow more and more companies to exploit the oil better and better thus increasing the supply on the market, but that is in no interest of the national oil company and the Citizens of Libya (since it lowers the overall price of oil). Indeed, Gaddafi's control over that market was allowing that to happen, lowering the overall share that companies could get in trade for longer term contracts and more exploration leases (so while each lease gave them a smaller amount of money they had permission to make more leases, which in the end gives them more money).

If anything Gaddafi's continued good treatment of foreign corporations does what you ask. He was allowing companies to exploit the hell out of leases. The new government may or may not allow that continued exploration to occur.
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