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US Approaching Insolvency, Fix To Be 'Painful': Fisher

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The Northerner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 11:09 AM
Original message
US Approaching Insolvency, Fix To Be 'Painful': Fisher
The United States is on a fiscal path towards insolvency and policymakers are at a "tipping point," a Federal Reserve official said on Tuesday.

"If we continue down on the path on which the fiscal authorities put us, we will become insolvent, the question is when," Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard Fisher said in a question and answer session after delivering a speech at the University of Frankfurt.

"The short-term negotiations are very important, I look at this as a tipping point."

But he added he was confident in the Americans' ability to take the right decisions and said the country would avoid insolvency.

Read more: http://www.cnbc.com/id/42209447
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L0oniX Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 11:10 AM
Response to Original message
1. At least we have a new carrier ...the USS Bankrupt.
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Poll_Blind Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 11:16 AM
Response to Original message
2. Can't we just launch 110 cruise missiles at our creditors?
:shrug:

PB
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reggie the dog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 12:30 PM
Response to Reply #2
11. not too good of an idea, china would get really pissed off
and have to respond to that.
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DCKit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 11:28 AM
Response to Original message
3. As long as it's "unthinkable" to tax the rich, we're screwn. nt
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 11:54 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
gratuitous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 12:15 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. NO! ABSOLUTELY NOT!
It is far better for the U.S. to go into default than to tax Paris Hilton or Charlie Sheen or Warren Buffett an additional three cents or even {shudder} ten cents on every dollar they "earn" above $250,000. Why do you hate America? Are you so blind with class hatred that you would rather see the country solvent than to tax these worthies such an unconscionable amount? What if they leave the country because of the high taxes? What if they all move to France? Or England? We'd be the laughingstock of the world without our fabulously wealthy people!
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reggie the dog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 12:31 PM
Response to Reply #7
12. yep, we cut ours from 60 to 50
with our current president, but i think next year the left will win so if they do it should go back up again.
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devils chaplain Donating Member (245 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 08:06 PM
Response to Reply #7
19. Only a handful of people would...
... but that crying 5% makes the rules. Obama damn well better keep his word and put his foot down when these tax cuts come up for renewal.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-23-11 11:14 AM
Response to Reply #19
20. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
PoliticAverse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 11:30 AM
Response to Original message
4. The US had defaulted on debt twice before in its history its heading to a third time. n/t
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jwirr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 11:42 AM
Response to Reply #4
6. What were the two other times we defaulted?
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PoliticAverse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 12:50 PM
Response to Reply #6
15. 1790 (domestic and external) and 1933 (domestic gold denominated)
See the following NY times article http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/01/04/fearing-another-u-s-debt-default/
and my post below,
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jwirr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 04:26 PM
Response to Reply #15
18. Okay. First thank you for the information. It could be different this time
because we are living in different times.
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dixiegrrrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 12:11 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. I did not know that.
Could you point me to some links/resources for that info?
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PoliticAverse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 02:19 PM
Response to Reply #8
16. Start with this short NY times overview...
http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/01/04/fearing-another-u-s-debt-default/

The 2 defaults were in 1782-1790 and 1933.

This is the paper the NY times referenced in the 1782-1790 default:
(It consists of charts of all sovereign nation defaults)
Link (pdf): http://www.princeton.edu/economics/seminar-schedule-by-prog/macro-s10/papers/Reinhardt-Chartbook.pdf

This paper briefly covers the 1782-1790 default:
"The Net Worth of the U.S. Federal Government 1784-1802":
Link (pdf): http://www.aeaweb.org/aer/data/may07/p07075_data.pdf

In the second 1933 default the US Government repudiated it's obligation to repay it's debt in gold,
forcing creditors to accept devalued dollars instead.

Here is a paper that discusses this:

"Is it better to forgive than to receive?
Repudiation of the gold indexation clause in long-term debt during the
great depression"
Link (pdf): http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/finance/papers/repudiation11.pdf

Several cases concerning 1933 gold bond default went to the Supreme Court.
The court decided in favor of the government.
See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gold_Clause_Cases

Note that in both defaults the creditors didn't receive nothing from the US Government they just received
something different than they were owed according to what their bond stated.

People think that defaults are really bad for the bond issuers but it's really the creditors, those that
are owed money that get the short end of the stick. Countries that default can often borrow money again
relatively quickly.

See the paper "Costs of Sovereign Default"
Link (pdf): http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/fsr/fs_paper01.pdf

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dixiegrrrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 03:52 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. Thank you.
Most interesting.
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whatchamacallit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 11:33 AM
Response to Original message
5. The "starve the beast" phase of project "New Deal Rollback" is almost complete. (nt)
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Octafish Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 12:16 PM
Response to Original message
10. Time to cut taxes on the wealthy.
Piratize the works.
Outsource the jobs.
Socialize the risk.
Privatize the reward.

Trickle Down, Baby!
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Ganja Ninja Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 12:39 PM
Response to Original message
13. There's only one way to avoid insolvency and it's going to happen sooner or later.
Tax the fuck out of the rich. Ninety percent just like WWII.

They will rue the day they tried to kill Social Security with this Grover Norquist strategy.
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hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-11 12:48 PM
Response to Original message
14. People who are not wealthy have been feeling that pain for years.
It's past time for the very wealthy to share it.

Even if we taxed them at 80% their daily routines wouldn't change much, they'd simply lose a bit of the political power their money buys.

And that's what would pain them, the loss of this political power. It's all fine to live in a huge mansion, have servants that cater to your every whim, drive a very expensive car, and fly around the world on a lark to buy new shoes that you will wear once, but it would be unbearably painful in the extreme if a Senator or a Governor was too busy to take your call or play a round of golf with you and do those various small political favors and errands the extremely wealthy require.

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bemildred Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-23-11 11:16 AM
Response to Original message
21. About 30 years too late, tool. nt
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