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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRemember the lead-crime hypothesis? Is there a lead-Trump link?
And if you chart the rise and fall of atmospheric lead caused by the rise and fall of leaded gasoline consumption, you get a pretty simple upside-down U: Lead emissions from tailpipes rose steadily from the early 40s through the early 70s, nearly quadrupling over that period. Then, as unleaded gasoline began to replace leaded gasoline, emissions plummeted.
Gasoline lead may explain as much as 90 percent of the rise and fall of violent crime over the past half century.
Intriguingly, violent crime rates followed the same upside-down U pattern. The only thing different was the time period: Crime rates rose dramatically in the 60s through the 80s, and then began dropping steadily starting in the early 90s. The two curves looked eerily identical, but were offset by about 20 years.
http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/02/lead-exposure-gasoline-crime-increase-children-health/
Duncan Black over at www.eschatonblog.com brought this up a while back. Antisocial behavior that becomes bad enough results in crimes that show up as arrests and convictions, but there are lots of antisocial behaviors that don't show up in crime statistics. Black speculated that much of what we see in politics these days springs from the same impairments in impulse control, empathy, and anger management that supposedly drove the crime wave. The main difference being that street thugs tend to be a lot younger than Senators, so the effect would show up later.
Otherwise there's not that much difference. A street thug jacks your car. A Rethug jacks your country.
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Remember the lead-crime hypothesis? Is there a lead-Trump link? (Original Post)
Girard442
Dec 2017
OP
We live in a toxic soup which is poisoning us, and hits children and the elderly
Irish_Dem
Dec 2017
#2
genxlib
(5,528 posts)1. It was suggested in Freakonomics
That the fall in crime rate actually coincides with Roe v Wade and the corresponding reduction in unwanted and neglected children.
I have my doubts but it was an intriguing thought exercise.
I suspect it is far more connected to the war on drugs and the rise of the prison industrial complex. When you prison population skyrockets over the course of several decades, one would expect the crime rate to fall. Many of the offenders were imprisoned unfairly and unnecessarily, but the sheer numbers would inevitably include enough actual criminals to lower the crime rate.
Irish_Dem
(47,131 posts)2. We live in a toxic soup which is poisoning us, and hits children and the elderly
hardest.
The rates of dementia in the old, and learning disabilities, behavior problems
in children tell the story.