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Willie Pep

(841 posts)
Tue Dec 26, 2017, 11:36 PM Dec 2017

Trying to convince Republicans that Medicare and Social Security are in danger

I have mentioned this in a few threads but I have been trying to convince the Republicans I know that Medicare and Social Security are in serious danger of being cut or "reformed" into oblivion. Republican tax cuts will increase the deficit and the GOP will then bring entitlement reform to the table using the exploding deficit as the rationale. They will scare people with claims that the government will go bankrupt and that we need to make "tough choices" or we will go broke.

The responses I have received so far are:

1. The Republicans will never touch Medicare and Social Security because these programs are too popular. Entitlement reforms will target programs for the poor and these people deserve to have their programs cut because they encourage laziness, fraud, etc.

2. The Republican tax cuts will produce so much economic growth that they will pay for themselves so there will be no need to cut Medicare and Social Security.

I am surprised by how much pushback I am getting. Honestly, none of the Republicans I know believe that Medicare or Social Security will be cut. Have any of you encountered similar opinions? How do you deal with them?

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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GP6971

(31,207 posts)
2. All the time.
Tue Dec 26, 2017, 11:42 PM
Dec 2017

I push back by saying me and my employers paid into both programs. If the repukes are going to take it away, then at a minimum, cash me out. But's that a good solution because we loose in the long run.

BigmanPigman

(51,627 posts)
3. Don't waste your time and energy on them.
Tue Dec 26, 2017, 11:49 PM
Dec 2017

I am being serious. You will be frustrated and nothing will sway them. In fact they will RESIST and argue with you even MORE (even if they may believe you could possibly be correct to a degree). There is some psychological reasoning behind this, but I forget what it is called right now.

haele

(12,676 posts)
4. Here's what you tell them.
Wed Dec 27, 2017, 12:21 AM
Dec 2017

Ronald Reagan "saved" Social Security by raising the amount paid, but he also endangered Social Security by signing off on a Congressional bill allowing the Government to borrow the interest on those payments for the general fund to balence the books. Half our current deficit is what Congress owes the Social Security administration from decades of raiding interest to pay for adventures like Panama, Iran Contra, Iraq 1 &2, Afghanistan, etc.
They'll "fix" Social Security again by strangling payments to beneficiaries - because it will raise the deficit to pay off the interest they owe people who paid into the fund for generations.

Hurting people with a legitimate claim on their compounded interest is that the GOP is planning.

Haele

progree

(10,918 posts)
5. Well, one thing the repukes will no doubt do
Wed Dec 27, 2017, 03:10 AM
Dec 2017

is cut the Medicare reimbursement rates to doctors. Slowly but surely over time. That hurts us patients when it becomes harder and harder to find doctors who will accept Medicare patients.

progree

(10,918 posts)
6. I thought there were PAYGO cuts to Medicare that will cut like $25 billion thanks to the TCJA
Wed Dec 27, 2017, 03:13 AM
Dec 2017

I understand the PAYGO rules were suspended in the funding extension a week or so ago, but for how long is that suspension for?

On Edit: OOPS, didn't mean to reply to myself. Oh well. Brazen Sock-Puppetry I guess.

progree

(10,918 posts)
7. Trump rolls back use of fines against nursing homes cited for neglect, mistreatment
Wed Dec 27, 2017, 08:54 AM
Dec 2017
The Trump administration is reportedly rolling back the use of fines against nursing homes that have been cited for violations such as neglect or mistreatment.

The move comes after the nursing home industry requested the change in the Medicare program's penalty protocols, The New York Times reported over the holiday weekend.

The American Health Care Association had argued that inspectors were too focused on finding wrongdoings at nursing homes instead of assisting the facilities.

http://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/366497-trump-admin-rolling-back-use-of-fines-against-nursing-homes
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100210028241

Another quiet "death by a thousand cuts" without actually mounting a full frontal assault

progree

(10,918 posts)
8. There were a lot of cuts to Medicare in the healthcare bills that the Repukes nearly passed
Wed Dec 27, 2017, 08:57 AM
Dec 2017

I don't remember the specifics, but I remember an article by the Kaiser Family Foundation on the specifics. Anyway, that's a good response to the "they would never do that" argument. Well, they sure as hell tried and failed by only one vote.

And I suspect that at least in the near term, assaults on Medicare will be under-the-radar "death by a thousand cuts" things like this in other bills, not a full frontal assault.

GoCubsGo

(32,093 posts)
10. I had this converstation earlier this year.
Wed Dec 27, 2017, 09:11 AM
Dec 2017

I was told I was nuts. I just said, "Listen to what Paul Ryan has been saying." The response was, "Just wait until you find yourself in a burqua." If I were to be fed that line now, I would have a better response than rolling my eyes. I would just point out all the legislation gutting women's healthcare and other rights. I'm sure the FoxNews bubble in which they exist hasn't pointed those out to them, just as they never air Ryan's comments.

progree

(10,918 posts)
11. Here is one of those articles on how the Repuke ACA-repeal bills also would have hurt Medicare
Wed Dec 27, 2017, 09:27 AM
Dec 2017
What Are the Implications for Medicare of the American Health Care Act? , Kaiser Family Foundation, 3/14/17
http://kff.org/medicare/issue-brief/what-are-the-implications-for-medicare-of-the-american-health-care-act/

The American Health Care Act (AHCA), which was passed by the House of Representative on May 4, 2017, and the Better Care Reconciliation Act (BCRA), released by Senate Republicans on June 22, 2017 ...

... both bills would repeal the Medicare payroll surtax on high-income earners that was added by the ACA, effective January 2023. That provision, which took effect in 2013, provides additional revenue for the Part A trust fund,

In addition to repealing the ACA’s Medicare payroll surtax, both bills would repeal virtually all other tax and revenue provisions in the ACA, including the annual fee paid by branded prescription drug manufacturers, which would decrease revenue to the Part B trust fund. The bills would also reinstate the tax deduction for employers who receive Part D Retiree Drug Subsidy (RDS) payments, which would increase Medicare Part D spending.

According to the Congressional Budget Office, the provision in the AHCA and the BCRA to repeal the Medicare payroll surtax would reduce revenue for Part A benefits by $58.6 billion between 2017 and 2026. Proposed changes to the ACA’s marketplace coverage provisions and to Medicaid financing in both bills would also increase the number of uninsured, putting additional strain on the nation’s hospitals to provide uncompensated care. As a result, Medicare’s “disproportionate share hospital” (DSH) payments would increase, leading to higher Part A spending between 2018 and 2026 of more than $40 billion, according to CBO.

...


These bills didn't pass, but they had almost unaminous Republican support. So it's not like they wouldn't try.

The bills also attempted to severely reduce Medicaid, despite Trump's campaign promise to leave Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid alone. So if they are relying on Trump holding to his promises (and yes, there are plenty of stupid people that think that), this is yet another example.

ThoughtCriminal

(14,049 posts)
12. You would have better luck explaining to your cat
Wed Dec 27, 2017, 09:42 AM
Dec 2017


Concentrate on people who did not bother to vote and convince them: IT. DOES. MATTER.

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