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tgards79

(1,415 posts) Sat Jan 13, 2018, 01:39 PM Jan 2018

BTRTN SaturData Review: Will Trumps Approval Rating Go Down the S---hole Now?

Will words ever matter?
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/01/btrtn-saturdata-review-will-trumps.html

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BTRTN SaturData Review: Will Trumps Approval Rating Go Down the S---hole Now? (Original Post) tgards79 Jan 2018 OP

i saw 42% approval at that link, i give up Eliot Rosewater Jan 2018 #1

Just something to ponder DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2018 #2

I seem to recall that, unless the economy melts down or something similar, the floor is around 35% Algernon Moncrieff Jan 2018 #3

Eliot Rosewater

(31,112 posts)

1. i saw 42% approval at that link, i give up

Reply to tgards79 (Original post)

Sat Jan 13, 2018, 01:43 PM

Jan 2018

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

2. Just something to ponder

Reply to tgards79 (Original post)

Sat Jan 13, 2018, 01:43 PM

Jan 2018

(We calculate our weekly approval ratings using an average of the four pollsters who conduct daily or weekly approval rating polls: Gallup, Rasmussen, Reuters/Ipsos and You Gov/Economist. This provides consistent and accurate trending information and does not muddy the waters by including infrequent pollsters.)

You also give those pollsters inordinate weight and exclude fine pollsters like Quinnipiac, WSJ-NBC, and Marist.

The polling average for Trump at 538 is 39.1:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

and 39.2 at Real Clear Politics:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)

3. I seem to recall that, unless the economy melts down or something similar, the floor is around 35%

Reply to tgards79 (Original post)

Sat Jan 13, 2018, 02:17 PM

Jan 2018

The remarks, while shocking to normal people, really play to his base in three key ways:

- Since there is no audio - only a firsthand account from a political opponent (Durbin) - this plays to the "he didn't really say that; it's the lying liberal media" narrative that the FAUX Noise crown has bought into.

- The term "S***hole Country" plays well to the crown that wants "someone who speaks the truth" and doesn't "use the language of a politician."

- White Trump-supporting conservatives don't want any more non-white immigrants. Period.

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