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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRecent cold snap was a freak of nature, analysis finds
https://www.centralmaine.com/2018/01/11/recent-cold-snap-was-a-freak-of-nature-analysis-finds/WASHINGTON Consider this cold comfort: A quick study of the brutal American cold snap found that the Arctic blast really wasnt global warming but a freak of nature.
Frigid weather like the two-week cold spell that began around Christmas is 15 times rarer than it was a century ago, according to a team of international scientists that does real-time analyses to see if extreme weather events are natural or more likely to happen because of climate change.
The cold snap that gripped the East Coast and Midwest region was a rarity that bucks the warming trend, said researcher Claudia Tebaldi of the National Center for Atmospheric Research and the private organization Climate Central.
The same team had connected several weather events last year to man-made global warming including Hurricane Harvey, which battered the U.S. and Caribbean, and the French floods.
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Brother Buzz
(36,452 posts)Some climate scientists have suggested that oceans warmed by climate change cause changes in the behavior of the jet stream, and these disruptions invite the polar vortex to make repeated visits.
https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2018/01/12/577688119/scientists-say-a-fluctuating-jet-stream-may-be-causing-extreme-weather-events
Mariana
(14,860 posts)is 15 times rarer than it was a century ago, the article says. It's a rarity that bucks the warming trend.
So, it used to be much more common than it is now, for this kind of weather to happen. It sounds like it's more likely we'll see even fewer of these in the future, not more.
Brother Buzz
(36,452 posts)and scientists are just discovering how much it is being influenced by warmer waters in the Pacific ocean. Until they gather enough data to plug into a super computer, we really don't know what is going to happen. Hell, the polar vortex may make fewer visits, but they could be more severe and linger longer.
Roland99
(53,342 posts)matt819
(10,749 posts)Until it isnt.
Maybe it will turn out to be an anomaly. But lets wait until next year, and next, etc before committing to that view.
triron
(22,011 posts)have been nearly devoid of snowfall (unprecedented).