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jpak

(41,758 posts)
Sun Jan 14, 2018, 03:12 PM Jan 2018

Recent cold snap was a freak of nature, analysis finds

https://www.centralmaine.com/2018/01/11/recent-cold-snap-was-a-freak-of-nature-analysis-finds/

WASHINGTON – Consider this cold comfort: A quick study of the brutal American cold snap found that the Arctic blast really wasn’t global warming but a freak of nature.

Frigid weather like the two-week cold spell that began around Christmas is 15 times rarer than it was a century ago, according to a team of international scientists that does real-time analyses to see if extreme weather events are natural or more likely to happen because of climate change.

The cold snap that gripped the East Coast and Midwest region was a rarity that bucks the warming trend, said researcher Claudia Tebaldi of the National Center for Atmospheric Research and the private organization Climate Central.

The same team had connected several weather events last year to man-made global warming including Hurricane Harvey, which battered the U.S. and Caribbean, and the French floods.

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Recent cold snap was a freak of nature, analysis finds (Original Post) jpak Jan 2018 OP
Or the freak of nature could become new norm Brother Buzz Jan 2018 #1
Frigid weather like the two-week cold spell that began around Christmas Mariana Jan 2018 #2
The Jet Stream has the last word on this.... Brother Buzz Jan 2018 #3
Orlando has had a cold winter. But 7 years ago we were colder. Roland99 Jan 2018 #6
Its a freak of nature matt819 Jan 2018 #4
Meanwhile the southern rockies and including down to the mountains of Arizona and New Mexico triron Jan 2018 #5

Brother Buzz

(36,452 posts)
1. Or the freak of nature could become new norm
Sun Jan 14, 2018, 03:28 PM
Jan 2018

Some climate scientists have suggested that oceans warmed by climate change cause changes in the behavior of the jet stream, and these disruptions invite the polar vortex to make repeated visits.

https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2018/01/12/577688119/scientists-say-a-fluctuating-jet-stream-may-be-causing-extreme-weather-events

Mariana

(14,860 posts)
2. Frigid weather like the two-week cold spell that began around Christmas
Sun Jan 14, 2018, 03:46 PM
Jan 2018

is 15 times rarer than it was a century ago, the article says. It's a rarity that bucks the warming trend.

So, it used to be much more common than it is now, for this kind of weather to happen. It sounds like it's more likely we'll see even fewer of these in the future, not more.

Brother Buzz

(36,452 posts)
3. The Jet Stream has the last word on this....
Sun Jan 14, 2018, 04:12 PM
Jan 2018

and scientists are just discovering how much it is being influenced by warmer waters in the Pacific ocean. Until they gather enough data to plug into a super computer, we really don't know what is going to happen. Hell, the polar vortex may make fewer visits, but they could be more severe and linger longer.

matt819

(10,749 posts)
4. Its a freak of nature
Sun Jan 14, 2018, 04:24 PM
Jan 2018

Until it isn’t.

Maybe it will turn out to be an anomaly. But let’s wait until next year, and next, etc before committing to that view.

triron

(22,011 posts)
5. Meanwhile the southern rockies and including down to the mountains of Arizona and New Mexico
Sun Jan 14, 2018, 04:48 PM
Jan 2018

have been nearly devoid of snowfall (unprecedented).

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