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L. Coyote

(51,129 posts)
Wed Jan 17, 2018, 06:02 PM Jan 2018

Republicans caught unfairly altering electoral districts thanks to computer algorithm.

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-00661-x

Mathematicians are no longer devices for turning coffee into theorems, as the Hungarian mathematics researcher (and caffeine addict) Alfréd Rényi is said to have claimed. They seem pretty useful for preserving democracy, too. In striking down the way that officials in North Carolina unfairly partitioned the state into electoral districts, a US federal court last week conspicuously cited the work of mathematicians including Jonathan Mattingly, an expert in mathematical modelling.

In a 200-page decision released on 9 January, the three-judge court in Richmond, Virginia, said that the districting had unfairly favoured the Republican Party. Maths played a key part in helping the court to reach that decision, by demonstrating the unlawful use of partisan gerrymandering — fiddling with district boundaries to include or exclude certain voters and steer the results of an election. Those apportioning districts might draw borders that pack large numbers of voters for an opposition party into a small number of districts, for example, limiting the number of seats that the opposition can win. The process has been likened to allowing lawmakers to choose their voters, rather than the other way around.

Mattingly, a researcher at Duke University in Durham, North Carolina, used his expertise to argue that the state districts were drawn up to give Republicans an unfair advantage. To do so, he used an algorithm that produced around 24,000 maps of marginally different district configurations that were randomly drawn on the basis of geographic criteria. The Republican-drawn boundaries, which had delivered 9 Republicans to the state’s 13 seats in the House of Representatives in Washington DC in 2012, were more gerrymandered than practically every single one of Mattingly’s algorithm-derived maps. Using the same voting data, his maps nearly all gave a larger number of wins to the Democratic Party and, in many cases, gave it the majority.

Mattingly had taken an interest in the process after the 2012 elections and was called to testify after two advocacy organizations sued the state in federal court following the 2016 elections. In October, they asked Mattingly to take the stand and explain his work and its implications. He was ready: by then, he and his collaborators had done more-recent studies of the state’s current redistricting, engineered in 2016 by the Republican majority in the North Carolina General Assembly.

Some of the modelling is preliminary, but it has had a historic impact: last week’s ruling was the first time that a US federal court has struck down electoral districting for favouring one political party over another. .................
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Republicans caught unfairly altering electoral districts thanks to computer algorithm. (Original Post) L. Coyote Jan 2018 OP
They Have To Cheat SeaDoo77 Jan 2018 #1
They've been cheating to win from Tricky Dick to a President with a little dick Jarqui Jan 2018 #4
(from "Tricky Dick" to "Pricky Dick"........) lastlib Jan 2018 #6
how about "Tricky Dick" to "Little Prick" Jarqui Jan 2018 #7
USA always been progressive, liberal, until RepubliCON voter suppress., gerrymander & dirty tricks. Bernardo de La Paz Jan 2018 #2
Americans don't want not fooled Jan 2018 #13
Very important work - courts, even the Supreme Court might listen to a mathematical expert bucolic_frolic Jan 2018 #3
Gerrymandering is just another way to divide people. kentuck Jan 2018 #5
Good! Apply this to MD, please. They should be ashamed of themselves. n/t TygrBright Jan 2018 #8
I've long been aghast at how long this crap has been going on, BobTheSubgenius Jan 2018 #9
Let's see this applied in every republican thumb-on-the-scale district in the United States. NBachers Jan 2018 #10
KICK Cha Jan 2018 #11
Numbers and how you use them. leanforward Jan 2018 #12
why I'm happy Obama has fund raised for Ds NEW " National Democratic Redistricting Committee" Sunlei Jan 2018 #14
Excellent. +1. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Jan 2018 #15
A very powerful D group- already have several Cases filed. They're better than the current Admin :) Sunlei Jan 2018 #17
NDRC (Obama/Holder group) $25k to fight rigged judicial system in North Carolina. Sunlei Jan 2018 #16
If the courts struck down gerrymandering everywhere NewJeffCT Jan 2018 #18
Republicans know their policies are bankrupt. They can only win by cheating. annabanana Jan 2018 #25
Good to hear. Need more like this! K & R nt Persondem Jan 2018 #19
You don't have to be a rocket surgeon to figure that out Major Nikon Jan 2018 #20
yeah, the hard part is finding a mathematical test that non-mathematical judges can be happy with. unblock Jan 2018 #21
Excellent to hear ailsagirl Jan 2018 #22
No surprise. Werent we saying during bush the 2nd, the computer voting machines programming BlancheSplanchnik Jan 2018 #23
Can we clone this guy, Mattingly? We need him in damn near annabanana Jan 2018 #24
Kick. CrispyQ Jan 2018 #26

Jarqui

(10,130 posts)
4. They've been cheating to win from Tricky Dick to a President with a little dick
Wed Jan 17, 2018, 06:55 PM
Jan 2018

that has to pay to get it serviced.

lastlib

(23,266 posts)
6. (from "Tricky Dick" to "Pricky Dick"........)
Wed Jan 17, 2018, 07:13 PM
Jan 2018

(off-topic, but it jumped out of my mind and I had to voice it...)

kentuck

(111,110 posts)
5. Gerrymandering is just another way to divide people.
Wed Jan 17, 2018, 06:58 PM
Jan 2018

By giving them Representatives that the majority may not agree with, by simply drawing squiggly lines on a map... There's going to be a lot of "Independents" after the 2016 election and it may be just a little more difficult than planned?

BobTheSubgenius

(11,564 posts)
9. I've long been aghast at how long this crap has been going on,
Wed Jan 17, 2018, 07:55 PM
Jan 2018

and how little pushback there has been. It's insidious, evil and it absolutely astounding that even the potential for this can exist in a mature democracy.

leanforward

(1,077 posts)
12. Numbers and how you use them.
Wed Jan 17, 2018, 08:56 PM
Jan 2018

Enjoyed this article. This article made me think of what an old auditor told me one time "figures don't lie, but liars can figure".

The math redrawn models must be the basis for the Court appointed Special Master.

Fantastic. Finally, those that cheat others out of an equal vote should lose their life right for any public office and VOTE.

pRezident dRumpf must go.

Sunlei

(22,651 posts)
14. why I'm happy Obama has fund raised for Ds NEW " National Democratic Redistricting Committee"
Thu Jan 18, 2018, 08:23 AM
Jan 2018

Obama returns to politics with redistricting group fundraiser - POLITICO
https://www.politico.com/story/2017/07/09/obama-redistricting-fundraiser-240343
Jul 9, 2017 - Barack Obama will make the first official political move of his post-presidency on Thursday, headlining a private fundraiser for the National Democratic Redistricting Committee at a private home in Washington. ... Holder has kept in touch with him about the NDRC plans, and briefed him ...




https://democraticredistricting.com/

We’re feeling it too. That feeling that our political system is unfair, and our votes don’t count the way they should. The gerrymandering of congressional and legislative districts locks in a Republican majority and locks out the voters. We have a plan to make the system fair and get democracy working again—and we need your help to do it.

Sunlei

(22,651 posts)
17. A very powerful D group- already have several Cases filed. They're better than the current Admin :)
Thu Jan 18, 2018, 08:58 AM
Jan 2018

finally a D group attacks the State/local Republican gerrymandering with a vengeance, in the Federal Courts.

The courts are where real change happens for D Voters! NC, Virginia, Nevada, Texas seems to be their first focus.

https://democraticredistricting.com/

Sunlei

(22,651 posts)
16. NDRC (Obama/Holder group) $25k to fight rigged judicial system in North Carolina.
Thu Jan 18, 2018, 08:45 AM
Jan 2018

(NDRC), announced a $25,000 investment in the Fair Courts campaign to fight partisan attempts to rig the judicial system in North Carolina.

NDRC Invests in Effort to Fight Judicial Gerrymandering in North Carolina

January 10, 2018



Washington, D.C. – Today, the National Redistricting Foundation (NRF), an affiliate of the National Democratic Redistricting Committee (NDRC), announced a $25,000 investment in the Fair Courts campaign to fight partisan attempts to rig the judicial system in North Carolina. In recent months, politicians in the North Carolina General Assembly have pushed an agenda that would gerrymander judicial districts to benefit Republicans and force many African-American judges in the state’s district and superior courts to run against other incumbents. In recent years, judges on these courts have heard gerrymandering challenges to state legislative maps.

Eric Holder, NDRC Chairman and the 82nd Attorney General of the United States, said: “Politicians in North Carolina are no longer content with their gerrymandering of state and congressional legislative districts — now they are taking aim at the judicial branch. This is a shameless attempt to rig the judicial system for partisan benefit and it must be stopped. The citizens of North Carolina deserve better from their elected officials and we are proud to support these local efforts to defend the independence of the judiciary.”

In recent years, Republicans in North Carolina have repeatedly lost in court over their gerrymandering of congressional and state legislative maps. Because they continue losing in court, they’re now trying to rig the state judicial system. NDRC is committed to fighting them on both fronts.

The National Redistricting Foundation is also supporting the voters in Cooper v. Harris, a case in which the Supreme Court affirmed the district court’s ruling that two districts in North Carolina’s 2011 congressional maps were unconstitutional racial gerrymanders. As a result of the court’s ruling, Republicans were forced to draw a new map. That new map was struck down yesterday by a federal court as an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander.

https://democraticredistricting.com/ndrc-invests-in-effort-to-fight-judicial-gerrymandering-in-north-carolina/

RESIST! and use the courts to fight!

NewJeffCT

(56,828 posts)
18. If the courts struck down gerrymandering everywhere
Thu Jan 18, 2018, 09:39 AM
Jan 2018

it would definitely be a big plus for Democrats - If I recall, 9 of the 10 most gerrymandered states were gerrymandered by Republicans. (Maryland is the one blue state) Blue states typically use non partisan methods for drawing congressional districts.

North Carolina: Republicans 9 to 4 currently
A "fair" map would be either 7/6 Republicans or 7/6 Democrats, a change of 2 or 3 seats and assuming more competitive races for many.

Between PA, WI, Texas and several others, it could conservatively be a pickup of 10-20 seats. (Back when he was still a Republican, Joe Scarborough admitted that Republicans maintained their House majority only through gerrymandering in 2012 after Obama won again...)

annabanana

(52,791 posts)
25. Republicans know their policies are bankrupt. They can only win by cheating.
Thu Jan 18, 2018, 02:36 PM
Jan 2018

Fair apportionment will hand everything to the Democrats, the Republican party will dry up and blow away.

BlancheSplanchnik

(20,219 posts)
23. No surprise. Werent we saying during bush the 2nd, the computer voting machines programming
Thu Jan 18, 2018, 02:01 PM
Jan 2018

Was hacked.

Took them until now to look into it?

CrispyQ

(36,492 posts)
26. Kick.
Thu Jan 18, 2018, 02:50 PM
Jan 2018

I wonder if democratic leadership really knows what we are up against? Sometimes I think that they have worked too long & too closely with these people, & that they see their GOP counterparts as basically decent people, who just have different views. THEY ARE NOT. They have been bought by people who abhor democracy and equality. They will do whatever they have to do, to keep this power that they have gained by illicit means. I'm not sure the democratic party really thinks that. They may think that about Trump, but I don't think they think that about their colleagues in Congress.

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