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spanone

(135,887 posts)
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 04:36 PM Jan 2018

CIA Boss Gives Latest Indication Trump Is Considering Preemptive Strike on North Korea

The Central Intelligence Agency is briefing President Donald Trump on the risks and opportunities of a limited attack on North Korea, its director revealed on Tuesday.

CIA Director Mike Pompeo would not discuss the “wisdom of a preemptive strike” on Pyongyang or its nuclear weapons program, he told an audience at the conservative American Enterprise Institute. But in rare public remarks, Pompeo portrayed North Korea as an urgent priority for the agency, and disclosed aspects of its role in setting back Kim Jong Un’s nuclear program during his first year at Langley.

Kim is a rational man, Pompeo said the CIA had assessed. But it’s less clear that Kim takes seriously the prospect of a U.S. attack, something that could blunder the world into a devastating nuclear conflict.

Pompeo would not answer if options exist for Trump to attack North Korea short of a nuclear war. Analysts warn a limited strike would lead to such a war should North Korea retaliate and prompt escalation. He indicated instead the administration was developing a range of options spanning from diplomacy to war, so Trump will not face a binary choice between inaction and potential nuclear devastation.


https://www.thedailybeast.com/cia-director-mike-pompeo-gives-latest-indication-trump-is-considering-preemptive-strike-on-north-korea?ref=home
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CIA Boss Gives Latest Indication Trump Is Considering Preemptive Strike on North Korea (Original Post) spanone Jan 2018 OP
Trump is irrational, and Kim is in denial about a possible strike. Irish_Dem Jan 2018 #1
they are equally insane spanone Jan 2018 #2
I know, I couldn't believe the CIA saying that Kim is a rational person. Irish_Dem Jan 2018 #4
What about him strikes you as irrational? jberryhill Jan 2018 #11
Can I count his hair cut? :) But killing his family off one by one when they disagree Irish_Dem Jan 2018 #14
Killing off other members of his family was a rational move jberryhill Jan 2018 #18
So you see the nutty grandiose statements about Kim as just PR? Irish_Dem Jan 2018 #23
Identify a specific statement of his jberryhill Jan 2018 #24
We don't really know what is from Kim or from state propaganda. Irish_Dem Jan 2018 #29
Yeah, like I said, he gets great PR jberryhill Jan 2018 #30
I think Trump believes his PR. Believes all the crap he spouts. Irish_Dem Jan 2018 #32
I guess it's a relative term ProudLib72 Jan 2018 #13
Right, they were comparing Kim to Trump in which case Kim is a model of sanity. nt Irish_Dem Jan 2018 #15
No missile strike-- Two Decades, DPRK was heavily investing in midget subs and nuclear underwater mines. TheBlackAdder Jan 2018 #16
Very interesting. Irish_Dem Jan 2018 #17
Its a cluster fuck TEB Jan 2018 #31
Pompeo is a horrible CIA boss Iliyah Jan 2018 #3
you got that right spanone Jan 2018 #5
they just can't leave shit alone bluestarone Jan 2018 #6
Is Koch Industries part of the MIC? moondust Jan 2018 #7
i imagine this is trump's 'Ace in the Hole' for when indictments come down spanone Jan 2018 #8
is tRump going out big time bdamomma Jan 2018 #25
Interesting, and with talk beginning about trump trc Jan 2018 #9
It's stuff like this Madam Mossfern Jan 2018 #10
It makes me want to retreat to another country. Vinca Jan 2018 #12
Idiotic Talk, if you take a look at a map of North Korea..What will you see? Stuart G Jan 2018 #19
trump is not wise....definitely idiotic talk from an idiot spanone Jan 2018 #20
Possible strike will coincide with Mueller and Drumpt interview. kairos12 Jan 2018 #21
It will, of course. AT which time we have more to worry about than his deplorables shooting Eliot Rosewater Jan 2018 #27
The IOC made A BIG MISTAKE in not cancelling the Winter Olympics nt maryellen99 Jan 2018 #22
I want to believe trump wont do this to distract us from his treason, but he probably will Eliot Rosewater Jan 2018 #26
The ultimate diversion from the Mueller investigation? guillaumeb Jan 2018 #28

Irish_Dem

(47,462 posts)
4. I know, I couldn't believe the CIA saying that Kim is a rational person.
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 04:43 PM
Jan 2018

Maybe Dr. Ronnie did Kim's evaluation too.

 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
11. What about him strikes you as irrational?
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 06:12 PM
Jan 2018

He is the absolute ruler of a regime which he has inherited. He has, rationally, killed off potential challengers to that position and maintained his control.

Irish_Dem

(47,462 posts)
14. Can I count his hair cut? :) But killing his family off one by one when they disagree
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 06:25 PM
Jan 2018

with him, strikes me as a bit much. But maybe he is justified if the whole family are lunatics.
Also his grandiose self-descriptive hyperbole does not sound rational to me.

But I guess the CIA knows him better than I do.
Maybe they were comparing Kim to Trump, in which case, yes I agree Kim looks sane.

 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
18. Killing off other members of his family was a rational move
Wed Jan 24, 2018, 03:10 PM
Jan 2018

I've never heard "grandiose self-descriptive hyperbole" come from him. But, certainly, promoting the various myths about him among North Koreans is, again, a perfectly rational thing to do.

Do you consider the grandiose self-descriptive hyperbole of, say, ordinary television commercials to be irrational?

How about this one:

"People who switched to Geico saved 15% or more on their car insurance."

Well, duh, people who checked Geico insurance premiums and found out they'd pay more, didn't switch to Geico. Quite obviously, one would expect 100% of people who switched to Geico to have saved money. Otherwise, they wouldn't switch.

It's advertising. It works. It helps him to maintain his grip on power, and is utterly rational.

Irish_Dem

(47,462 posts)
23. So you see the nutty grandiose statements about Kim as just PR?
Wed Jan 24, 2018, 06:59 PM
Jan 2018

Not really a reflection of his mental status?

I don't really know.

I guess I would change my statement to say that if you are the leader of a country
where you have to murder your family to stay in power, then it is a crazy environment.
But yes if you live in a crazy society, then some crazy looking behaviors are rational.

 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
24. Identify a specific statement of his
Wed Jan 24, 2018, 07:20 PM
Jan 2018

Let's be specific.

Are you talking about "nutty grandiose statements about Kim" or are you talking about nutty grandiose statements which he has made about himself?

For example, he has said _________________.

That's a different exercise than "The state propaganda machine designed to keep him in power has said _____________."

Is it rational to maintain an apparatus for developing a godlike status among a population in order to be the absolute ruler over them? Heck yeah. It's pretty much necessary to do that, if that is your objective.

But yes if you live in a crazy society, then some crazy looking behaviors are rational.


Maybe we don't have the same reference definition of "rational."

Is it rational to, say, rob an armored car if you think you can get away with it? Sure. Why not. If your objective is "have a lot of money real quick" and you have a plan to do that which you have worked out in order to have a good chance of getting away with it, then you are going to balance, say, the potential reward of a million dollars versus ten years in prison, and you balance the probabilities.

Rational decisions are ones made on the basis of facts and analysis to accomplish an objective. Whatever your objective happens to be defines rational courses of accomplishing it.

Take these guys:



They are applying engineering principles, geology and appropriate technology in a rational manner for the purpose of carving a big rock into the shape of a person.

Are they behaving rationally? Sure.

The objective which they are endeavoring to accomplish is purely one of inspiring people, and honoring a person who is long dead and thus will not know and does not care.

Now, let's say that Kim wakes up one morning and says, "You know, this whole dictator thing sucks. I think I'll just call it quits." It's not as if the rest of the world is going to say, "Hey, good idea" and give him a pat on the back and a group hug. He is a criminal by any definition, and there is no "out" for him. Incidentally, he is in all likelihood perfectly well aware of that, so you don't see him on too many visits abroad.

So you are out robbing the armored car, having decided that selling crotcheted ear warmers on Etsy is not going to get you that million dollars you wanted. Everything goes fine, until someone who knows you happens to see you in the act. Waddya do? Well, obviously, your objective was to gain a million dollars and not get caught. Now there is a witness who can positively identify you. I think you have two primary choices there - (a) you cut him in on the proceeds, which still increases your risk, or (b) you kill the witness.

You might be confusing "rational" with some definition of "good".

Irish_Dem

(47,462 posts)
29. We don't really know what is from Kim or from state propaganda.
Wed Jan 24, 2018, 07:34 PM
Jan 2018

But the statements are ludicrous, that he is was a world class sailer at age 8 and won many competitions. A world class mountain hiker. Famous musician. Could drive at age 3.
The list goes on and on. None of these seem rational.

I agree, what is a rational decision may not be a moral one.
But that is my point, if you live in a society that compels a person to make rational decisions that are immoral, then the societal norms are not healthy, they are abnormal or crazy.

For example, lower level soldiers in the Nazi army may have had to commit atrocities to survive. So by your definition, yes it would be rational. But I question a society where
it is rational to commit horrific acts of immorality.

We can also flip the situation where people have been irrational but moral.
Ghandi starving himself and putting himself in harm's way was not rational by your definition. But it was highly moral.

 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
30. Yeah, like I said, he gets great PR
Wed Jan 24, 2018, 07:35 PM
Jan 2018
But the statements are ludicrous, that he is was a world class sailer at age 8 and won many competitions. A world class mountain hiker. Famous musician. Could drive at age 3.


Does he believe those things?

But, yeah, rational and moral don't have much to do with each other.

Irish_Dem

(47,462 posts)
32. I think Trump believes his PR. Believes all the crap he spouts.
Wed Jan 24, 2018, 07:39 PM
Jan 2018

We don't know much about the reality of Kim.
Would be interesting to have dinner with him and get the measure of the man.

Yes, interesting discussion about rationality and morality.

TheBlackAdder

(28,222 posts)
16. No missile strike-- Two Decades, DPRK was heavily investing in midget subs and nuclear underwater mines.
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 07:41 PM
Jan 2018

.


Midget subs cannot be detected by the USN or even trip the SOSUS nets if drifting. Heck, we can't find full-sized subs, ships and aircraft in the water. They can be towed by friendly nation cargo vessles to near their destination and then have a range of 2-3,000 miles. One of these subs can contain a suicide nuke, that the crew might or might not know about. Whatever harbor or city they pull near would be incinerated. And the US can't detect most nukes, as we lost at least 6 nukes that we cannot find. One is in the delta of Savannah, GA. Another is in North Carolina somewhere.


Here's an interesting article on what an underwater nuclear explosion would do. A single 1946 era nuke would destroy an entire US Aircraft Carrier Task Force.

https://www.atlasobscura.com/articles/70-years-ago-the-us-military-set-off-a-nuke-underwater-and-it-went-very-badly

.

Irish_Dem

(47,462 posts)
17. Very interesting.
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 08:35 PM
Jan 2018

So all of NK's air strike tests could be a red herring to cover up their very strong naval nuclear bomb delivery system? And these midget subs can be towed by civilian cargo ships?
I don't know if NK cargo ships are limited legally from traveling in certain waters or if they could sail as far as Hawaii.

But it would not be hard for NK to use a decoy cargo ship, have it fly another country's flag and registered to a benign country. And yes the US Pacific fleet right now seems to have trouble identifying ships sailing right next to them.

So Kim could get the subs to Japan, or Okinawa, Taiwan, etc.
And wipe out a chunk of the USN Pacific Fleet, we also have airbases throughout the Far East, usually near a coast, so planes could be hit as well. But then what?
US retaliates with its own subs, ships and planes. We don't want a ground war with NK.
They have a huge Army.

We probably don't want to know how many nukes the US has lost.
Between that and the nuke tests, it is no wonder we have so much cancer.

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
3. Pompeo is a horrible CIA boss
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 04:43 PM
Jan 2018

he is one of t-rump's lackey. He could care less about the security of the USA.

trc

(823 posts)
9. Interesting, and with talk beginning about trump
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 05:14 PM
Jan 2018

being interviewed by Mueller. Coincidence I am sure.

Stuart G

(38,449 posts)
19. Idiotic Talk, if you take a look at a map of North Korea..What will you see?
Wed Jan 24, 2018, 03:26 PM
Jan 2018

You will see it is bordered on the north by China and
on the northeast by Russia. Is it wise to start a war with a country with such neighbors?

Hit the link below, save you some time (little green spot in NE corner is Russia. also, after the map appears, click on the map itself, and you will see the entire area.)please give it time to load


https://www.google.com/search?sourceid=navclient&aq=&oq=map+of+north+korea&ie=UTF-8&rlz=1T4GGNI_enUS494US495&q=map+of+north+korea&gs_l=hp..0.0l5.0.0.3.169487...........0.bFZ1e30VMm8

Eliot Rosewater

(31,121 posts)
27. It will, of course. AT which time we have more to worry about than his deplorables shooting
Wed Jan 24, 2018, 07:26 PM
Jan 2018

us and they are going to do that.

maryellen99

(3,789 posts)
22. The IOC made A BIG MISTAKE in not cancelling the Winter Olympics nt
Wed Jan 24, 2018, 04:39 PM
Jan 2018

Because trump will preemptively strike regardless.

guillaumeb

(42,641 posts)
28. The ultimate diversion from the Mueller investigation?
Wed Jan 24, 2018, 07:27 PM
Jan 2018

Trump is a lunatic, a lunatic with nuclear weapons.

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