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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsPennsylvania Supreme Court strikes down Republican gerrymander, orders new maps for 2018
Pennsylvania Supreme Court Strikes Down Pro-GOP Congressional Map As Unconstitutional
The Pennsylvania Supreme Court on Monday ruled that the states congressional map went so far to benefit Republicans that it violated the state constitution.
The court, where Democrats have a 5-2 majority, blocked the use of the map in the 2018 midterm elections and ordered state lawmakers to begin to draw a new map.
The Pennsylvania congressional map has been notorious since its first use, in 2012, when Republicans won (and have subsequently held) 13 of the states 18 House seats despite losing a majority of the popular vote. Republican legislative leaders made no bones about their skill in screwing over Democrats. That didnt much matter until now, when the Pennsylvania Supremes have ruled that extreme partisan gerrymandering violated both equal protection and free expression provisions of the state Constitution.
Because the decision was made on the basis of the state, not the U.S., Constitution, SCOTUS is very unlikely to intervene to save the bacon of Pennsylvania Republicans. If there is any federal recourse against the decision, it could involve the remedy the Pennsylvania court imposed. The judges gave state lawmakers only until February 9 to draw up a new map, with the governor having only until February 15 to submit it to the court, which will draw its own map if the state fails to make its deadline. The speedy timetable is intended to make it possible for the state to hold congressional primaries in May as is currently scheduled. It also reflects the fact that with todays redistricting software, it really doesnt take that long to redraw maps. But thats still a tight window, and with a Republican legislature and a Democratic governor, an agreement could be difficult to reach.
Any map that complies with the ruling will likely cost the GOP one or more House seats at a time when they are already in danger of losing control of the chamber
The court, where Democrats have a 5-2 majority, blocked the use of the map in the 2018 midterm elections and ordered state lawmakers to begin to draw a new map.
The Pennsylvania congressional map has been notorious since its first use, in 2012, when Republicans won (and have subsequently held) 13 of the states 18 House seats despite losing a majority of the popular vote. Republican legislative leaders made no bones about their skill in screwing over Democrats. That didnt much matter until now, when the Pennsylvania Supremes have ruled that extreme partisan gerrymandering violated both equal protection and free expression provisions of the state Constitution.
Because the decision was made on the basis of the state, not the U.S., Constitution, SCOTUS is very unlikely to intervene to save the bacon of Pennsylvania Republicans. If there is any federal recourse against the decision, it could involve the remedy the Pennsylvania court imposed. The judges gave state lawmakers only until February 9 to draw up a new map, with the governor having only until February 15 to submit it to the court, which will draw its own map if the state fails to make its deadline. The speedy timetable is intended to make it possible for the state to hold congressional primaries in May as is currently scheduled. It also reflects the fact that with todays redistricting software, it really doesnt take that long to redraw maps. But thats still a tight window, and with a Republican legislature and a Democratic governor, an agreement could be difficult to reach.
Any map that complies with the ruling will likely cost the GOP one or more House seats at a time when they are already in danger of losing control of the chamber
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2018/01/pennsylvania-court-kills-pro-gop-congressional-map.html
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Pennsylvania Supreme Court strikes down Republican gerrymander, orders new maps for 2018 (Original Post)
ehrnst
Jan 2018
OP
Any guesstimates as to how many additional congresswomen we can get from this? thanks nt
awesomerwb1
Jan 2018
#2
"Any map that complies with the ruling will likely cost the GOP one or more"
BumRushDaShow
Jan 2018
#5
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)1. Wooooh!!!!
awesomerwb1
(4,268 posts)2. Any guesstimates as to how many additional congresswomen we can get from this? thanks nt
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)3. Quick math in my head: +5 seats.
Plus whatever the Blue Tsunami was going to do anyway.
Plus the Meeehan scandal.
awesomerwb1
(4,268 posts)4. 5 would be awesome! nt
BumRushDaShow
(129,087 posts)5. "Any map that complies with the ruling will likely cost the GOP one or more"
It should "cost them" 5 or 6. I posted this in another thread -
There are more registered Democrats than Republicans. But it was gerrymandered so badly that it appears to be "red" when it comes to Congress. I.e., the GOP manufactured 13 GOP seats and 5 Democratic seats where if the lines had been drawn fairly, there would be 10 Democratic seats to 8 GOP.
The rim districts around Philly & near Scranton that WERE blue before redistricting in 2010, are swing after gerrymandering and can be pickups - i.e, PA-6, PA-7, PA-8, PA-15.
The rim districts around Philly & near Scranton that WERE blue before redistricting in 2010, are swing after gerrymandering and can be pickups - i.e, PA-6, PA-7, PA-8, PA-15.
In addition to the 4 listed above, it might be possible to pick up PA-3, PA-12, and PA-16. PA-10 has a special election coming up due to their rep. resigning thanks to his blatantly hypocritical policy positions vs his actual actions - re: abortions. It would be great if we could get that seat given the district is majority Democratic and one of the counties is losing a coal mine (after being "promised" ).