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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsIts Now Likely Mueller Thinks Trump Obstructed Justice
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/01/26/mueller-trump-obstruction-of-justice-russia-216532?lo=ap_a1&cmpid=sfIts Now Likely Mueller Thinks Trump Obstructed Justice
Thursdays bombshell news points toward one conclusion: The special counsel has the goods on the president.
By RENATO MARIOTTI
January 26, 2018
{Renato Mariotti is a former federal prosecutor who handled many obstruction cases. He is now a partner at Thompson Coburn LLP.}
Thursdays explosive New York Times story that President Donald Trump ordered the firing of special counsel Robert Mueller last June renewed the publics focus on the obstruction of justice investigation against Trump, which will soon culminate in Trumps interview by Mueller. The case against Trump has grown stronger in recent months, and it now appears likely that Mueller will conclude that Trump obstructed justice.
That has not always been true. On June 8, 2017, soon after former FBI director James Comey testified before the Senate Intelligence Committee, I told the New York Times, Based only on what we know now in public, a reasonable prosecutor might bring this case against an ordinary person, but a prudent prosecutor would want more facts before bringing this case against a president.
I was cautious about whether Mueller could prove that Trump obstructed justice because the president clearly had the power to fire Comey if he chose to do so. Even assuming that a juryor the United States Senate, which would serve as the jury in an impeachment proceedingbelieved Comeys testimony, they could nonetheless conclude that Trump did not act corruptly in asking Comey to drop the Flynn investigation or in firing Comey, as the law requires.
Impeding or influencing an FBI investigation is a crime only if it is done with corrupt intentin other words, the intent to wrongfully impede the administration of justice. In my experience, proving a defendants intent without direct evidencethat is, without statements by the defendant that directly reveal his or her intentis challenging.
One could argue that Trump provided direct evidence when he told NBCs Lester Holt that he was going to fire Comey regardless of the recommendations of Attorney General Jeff Sessions and Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein, and that he was thinking of this Russia thing when he did so. But Trump quickly followed up that comment by indicating that he thought the investigation was bogus, and his defense to obstruction could be that he genuinely believed the Russia investigation was meritless.
Before bringing a case, prosecutors anticipate defenses like that one and gather evidence to rebut potential defenses. We have since learned of very substantial additional evidence that would rebut that defense, or a defense that Trump didnt understand the consequences of firing Comey. While that evidence is indirect, Mueller could argue that we can infer Trumps intent from that evidence, which is how prosecutors typically prove a defendants intent.
snip//
Whether a Republican Congress would take action against Trump, regardless of Muellers conclusions, is anyones guess. But Thursdays news made impeachment proceedings against Trump more likely. Ultimately the presidents performance in his upcoming interview with Mueller could prove decisive. Trump has repeatedly demonstrated a lack of discipline when questioned, and Mueller has a lot to work with. If Trump provides the special counsel with direct evidence of his intent when firing Comey, he could ensure that Mueller will conclude he obstructed justice, leaving his fate to Congress.
Eliot Rosewater
(31,112 posts)crimes and at most will make a referral to the house.
Aristus
(66,387 posts)Can a Federal judge order his arrest or something?
babylonsister
(171,070 posts)snip//
A federal grand jury can probably indict a sitting president for committing a serious felony, unless other rules preclude that (which is the case heremore about that shortly).
There is no case directly on point, but the language of the Constitution, language in several cases, and the present Justice Department rules support my conclusion.
First, the framers knew how to write an immunity clause. For representatives and senators, there is a privilege from arrest in civil cases when going to and from Congressa privilege now irrelevant because we no longer use arrest in civil cases.
Also, they may not be criminally prosecuted for what they say in Congress (for any Speech or Debate in either House).
Charles Pinckney, a signer of the Constitution, said, No privilege of this kind [given to Congress] was intended for your Executive because no subject had been more abused than privilege. Gravel v. United States (1973) said, executive privilege has never been applied to shield executive officers from prosecution for crime.
Some argue that criminal prosecution would distract the president and make him unable to perform his duties. The 25th Amendment answers that objection, by offering a mechanism to keep the Executive Branch running if the president is temporarily unable to discharge his powers. In this country, no one is above the law.
http://www.newsweek.com/can-trump-be-indicted-are-sitting-presidents-immune-prosecution-650484
I googled 'indict president' and got lots of hits from NYT and WaPo, but since I don't pay for them, they're not available to me.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Sweet. And I like the rest of your logic and research too!
BumRushDaShow
(129,096 posts)for stuff like money laundering. Look to Scheiderman and Bharara as a possible backstop.
bearsfootball516
(6,377 posts)Because as good as Mueller is, its extremely likely that Trump will still be in office and running for re-election come 2020.
babylonsister
(171,070 posts)What if Mueller finds out there are grounds for accusing him of treason, something vastly worse than obstruction? And if nothing is going to be done about this, what has been the point?
longship
(40,416 posts)There's the fact that it is rather specifically and legally defined within the US Constitution.
I don't think that there's any way that Mueller files a treason charge, even if he files any charge against a sitting president, which itself would be rather unprecedented. If only we could be unpresidented some way.
I find myself too often breathless in these days. My sanity resides in Rachel Maddow's geeky hands.
I hope you are well.
babylonsister
(171,070 posts)I used treason as an example, but you got my drift. And there is this, which gives me hope.
Link to tweet
I agree about Rachel and breathless; it's hard to look away!
longship
(40,416 posts)As always, my best to you.
PRETZEL
(3,245 posts)Rep. Schiff may be correct,
however, that wouldn't necessarily preclude a grand jury handing down indictmencts for some of the other issues that Mueller is currently investigating.
YessirAtsaFact
(2,064 posts)Its very possible that Mueller could present a case against Trump for money laundering.
That is why Trump claimed the red line would be crossed if Mueller looked into his business and finances.
He may already have sufficient evidence to bring a conspiracy case based on collusion.
I believe that if/when Mueller refers this to Congress, he will be loaded for bear with so much evidence its impossible for the GOP to blow it off.
GallopingGhost
(2,404 posts)NewJeffCT
(56,828 posts)that Mueller probably could indict Trump the civilian on a host of different issues - obstruction (several times), witness tampering, money laundering, conspiracy to commit several crimes, etc. However, since he is the sitting president and Congress is made up of Republicans, he needs to make sure it is an overwhelming case and that every i is dotted and every t is crossed.
YessirAtsaFact
(2,064 posts)Gabi Hayes
(28,795 posts)impeccable wingnut credentials
https://m.
babylonsister
(171,070 posts)That Robert Ray? Typical rude rethug, so dismissive and condescending. The panel did ok.
Gabi Hayes
(28,795 posts)How things easily change for the shameless hypocrites in the KGOP
Gothmog
(145,321 posts)GallopingGhost
(2,404 posts)streak of eternal optimism that refuses to die, but I find it really hard to believe that Robert Mueller is investing all the time, money and effort into this investigation, with the team he's assembled, to hand down a weak recommendation that the GOP will ignore.
I'm sure he's well aware that the henchmen covering for and enabling Twitler will dismiss anything other than a complete, irrefutable body slam case.
We know very little of what is going on with the investigation. We can only guess, but I think when it does break, it will be big.
Orsino
(37,428 posts)He's just finding it more difficult to conceal the obvious, as Kate McKinnon showed us.
burnbaby
(685 posts)and a weak obstruction case? I must have misread