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sunonmars

(8,656 posts) Mon Jan 29, 2018, 12:37 PM Jan 2018

Breaking : NJ11 : US GOP Rep Rodney announces his retirement - 33rd GOP retirement this cycle

This is also now the 33rd House GOP retirement this cycle. That far outstrips the previous all-time record of 29 Republican retirements in 2008

GOP thinks its gone as Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen's retirement from NJ11, which went 49-48 Trump & 52-47 Romney

7 replies

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Breaking : NJ11 : US GOP Rep Rodney announces his retirement - 33rd GOP retirement this cycle (Original Post) sunonmars Jan 2018 OP

They are fleeing? nt delisen Jan 2018 #1

Yup :D workinclasszero Jan 2018 #3

Practically a Guaranteed Dem Pickup here Skraxx Jan 2018 #2

11th is mostly Republican Morris County, no? Jersey Devil Jan 2018 #6

Also Parts of Essex County Skraxx Jan 2018 #7

Larry Sabato shifts race from "Lean D" to "Toss-up"; I expect Cook will do the same... brooklynite Jan 2018 #4

Do you have that backwards? Jim Lane Jan 2018 #5

delisen

(6,044 posts)

1. They are fleeing? nt

Reply to sunonmars (Original post)

Mon Jan 29, 2018, 12:42 PM

Jan 2018

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)

3. Yup :D

Reply to delisen (Reply #1)

Mon Jan 29, 2018, 12:56 PM

Jan 2018

Skraxx

(2,977 posts)

2. Practically a Guaranteed Dem Pickup here

Reply to sunonmars (Original post)

Mon Jan 29, 2018, 12:55 PM

Jan 2018

This is my congressmen, and it's Northern New Jersey. He would probably lose this year if he ran, now it's almost certainly a Dem pickup.

Jersey Devil

(9,874 posts)

6. 11th is mostly Republican Morris County, no?

Reply to Skraxx (Reply #2)

Mon Jan 29, 2018, 06:22 PM

Jan 2018

I think Dems have a good chance to win it but it is no shoe-in. Trump won in Morris by a whisker, 49-48, but that is Republican country for sure

Skraxx

(2,977 posts)

7. Also Parts of Essex County

Reply to Jersey Devil (Reply #6)

Mon Jan 29, 2018, 06:49 PM

Jan 2018

brooklynite

(94,597 posts)

4. Larry Sabato shifts race from "Lean D" to "Toss-up"; I expect Cook will do the same...

Reply to sunonmars (Original post)

Mon Jan 29, 2018, 12:57 PM

Jan 2018

Jim Lane

(11,175 posts)

5. Do you have that backwards?

Reply to brooklynite (Reply #4)

Mon Jan 29, 2018, 05:47 PM

Jan 2018

The shift would be toward the Dems. Despite the composition of the district, Frelinghuysen had a lot of personal popularity and name recognition. (His father was also Congressman Frelinghuysen.)

I thought this would be a very tough pickup. If it's an open seat, it will be much easier.

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