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workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
Mon Jan 29, 2018, 02:36 PM Jan 2018

All Signs Point to Big Democratic Wins in 2018

All Signs Point to Big Democratic Wins in 2018
By Greg Giroux Published: January 29, 2018

(Bloomberg Government)—History, demographics and the national mood are pointing to one conclusion about the 2018 congressional races: Democrats are well-positioned to bring one-party government in Washington under Donald Trump’s presidency to a screeching halt.

There’s a confluence of evidence indicating a so-called wave election may be building that would allow Democrats to wrest the House of Representatives from Republican control. A Democratic takeover of the Senate will be harder to achieve.

“We are all very sensitive to the political environment we’re in,” said Oklahoma Representative Tom Cole, who led House Republicans’ campaign arm in 2008. Republicans are girding for an “extraordinarily competitive” election.

Even if only one chamber flips to the Democrats, Trump’s ability to impose his agenda would be thwarted, and his administration almost certainly would find itself pinned down by investigations and subpoenas from congressional committees.

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2018-midterm-elections-preview/
29 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
All Signs Point to Big Democratic Wins in 2018 (Original Post) workinclasszero Jan 2018 OP
Don't believe it. awesomerwb1 Jan 2018 #1
Make it so, everyone. No one can sit this one out. FSogol Jan 2018 #2
Signs don't vote. People do. MineralMan Jan 2018 #3
But we should post yard signs. lagomorph777 Jan 2018 #21
To all: GOTV for sure workinclasszero Jan 2018 #4
All signs pointed to a Hillary win in 2016 Blue Dalek Jan 2018 #5
So lets depress the democratic vote in the midterms? workinclasszero Jan 2018 #6
Hello? DownriverDem Jan 2018 #22
It worked out to someone sabotaging her lead right before the elections. n/t Akoto Jan 2018 #26
Unless everything is hacked... ailsagirl Jan 2018 #7
Or Shitler declares martial law and pResident for life status workinclasszero Jan 2018 #8
The Cons couldn't even cheat their way to victory John Fante Jan 2018 #10
I agree! workinclasszero Jan 2018 #11
I'll never be complacent about elections again ailsagirl Jan 2018 #24
That was my first thought.. I don't Cha Jan 2018 #13
Do you want to tempt the wrath from high atop the thing? nycbos Jan 2018 #9
to me this is just all the more reason bluestarone Jan 2018 #12
It doesn't help us to assume that, though. Ken Burch Jan 2018 #14
In some ways, it DOES help. Jim Lane Jan 2018 #25
I hope it goes better with that than it did after 2006 Ken Burch Jan 2018 #27
I see a three reasons for optimism. Jim Lane Jan 2018 #29
I sure as hell hope so. lpbk2713 Jan 2018 #15
it feels likt that is YEARS away Skittles Jan 2018 #16
The Russian signs, too? Honeycombe8 Jan 2018 #17
I hope the ACLU brings law suits against the GOP in the red states for gerrymandering and voter geretogo Jan 2018 #18
Trump looks ahead to 2018: 'Good' GOP candidates will 'win BIG' - Dec 23 keithbvadu2 Jan 2018 #19
I sure hope so DownriverDem Jan 2018 #20
Senate is 51:49. Not a heavy lift if we SHOW UP AND VOTE! lagomorph777 Jan 2018 #23
GOTV. Fuck the pundits. dalton99a Jan 2018 #28

DownriverDem

(6,229 posts)
22. Hello?
Mon Jan 29, 2018, 05:44 PM
Jan 2018

By the repubs: Voter suppression, kicking folks off the rolls and who knows what the russians did to help them. trump only won Michigan by a little over 10,000 votes. Cheating is what the repubs do best.

ailsagirl

(22,897 posts)
24. I'll never be complacent about elections again
Mon Jan 29, 2018, 06:06 PM
Jan 2018

That is, I felt sure HRC would win (and I know she did) but look how it ended up.

I'm still in shock over what happened.

Cha

(297,323 posts)
13. That was my first thought.. I don't
Mon Jan 29, 2018, 03:10 PM
Jan 2018

count on anything until it's done. Especially after trump getting rigged in.

But, even before that.. although I was thinking Hillary was going to win.. probably why I was in extreme shock on "election" night.

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
14. It doesn't help us to assume that, though.
Mon Jan 29, 2018, 03:16 PM
Jan 2018

And having the "wave election" idea get spread sets us up for us up for whatever showing we get being labeled "disappointing".

At this point, there's a real possibility that Trump will be allowed to claim "victory" by the MSM if our gains in the House are held below 50 seats.

We need to see this as a toss-up, as something that could be decided by a single seat.

 

Jim Lane

(11,175 posts)
25. In some ways, it DOES help.
Mon Jan 29, 2018, 06:14 PM
Jan 2018

The prospect of a blue wave is certainly a factor in prompting the record wave of Republican retirements. It's also helping the Democrats in their candidate recruitment, even in districts that were previously conceded without even a Democrat on the ballot.

The widespread expectation of a wave can become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

As for Trump's spin: I'll be happy to take a 40-seat pickup that Trump claims as a GOP victory. Let him have his fun until January. That's when the subpoenas start flying.

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
27. I hope it goes better with that than it did after 2006
Mon Jan 29, 2018, 07:01 PM
Jan 2018

when we took BOTH houses and there were no subpoenas and no investigations-when they let Bush and Cheney skate for no good reason.

We're owed better than that this time, wouldn't you agree?

 

Jim Lane

(11,175 posts)
29. I see a three reasons for optimism.
Tue Jan 30, 2018, 12:33 AM
Jan 2018

First, although there were certainly policy disagreements with Bush/Cheney, I don't think there was nearly as much visceral personal animosity as is there is toward Trump.

Bush (a governor) and Cheney (former Congressmember and Cabinet officer) were members of the bipartisan club of politicians. Trump isn't.

Second, at least some of the Democrats have learned from the mistakes of last decade. Obama himself started out with a "look forward, not backward" mindset. By the end of his term, he didn't seem quite so fond of post-partisanship. If there's a Democratic majority in the House in 2019, its slogan is more likely to be "Fool me once...."

Third, the Sanders campaign did succeed in some respects. There are now more voices calling for more militancy from the Democratic Party. (Along with Bernie's influence, this is also to some extent the result of the second factor.) We aren't quite in the same situation as the Republicans who cower in fear before the Tea Party. Nevertheless, I think we'll see something of that dynamic. Elected Democrats will be more likely to be casting nervous glances over their left shoulders, and worrying about not alienating some of the previously apolitical people whom Bernie mobilized.

lpbk2713

(42,759 posts)
15. I sure as hell hope so.
Mon Jan 29, 2018, 03:17 PM
Jan 2018



We are just about at rock bottom. It will take several terms of office
before we can even think of a light at the end of the tunnel. Many of
our fellow citizens have made plans to move to another country.

geretogo

(1,281 posts)
18. I hope the ACLU brings law suits against the GOP in the red states for gerrymandering and voter
Mon Jan 29, 2018, 05:33 PM
Jan 2018

suppression before the 2018 elections . It would help .

keithbvadu2

(36,829 posts)
19. Trump looks ahead to 2018: 'Good' GOP candidates will 'win BIG' - Dec 23
Mon Jan 29, 2018, 05:36 PM
Jan 2018

Trump looks ahead to 2018: 'Good' GOP candidates will 'win BIG'

Dec 23

https://www.democraticunderground.com/10141946455

See post #1

DownriverDem

(6,229 posts)
20. I sure hope so
Mon Jan 29, 2018, 05:42 PM
Jan 2018

I've seen where some left leaners are working against the Dems trying to take over the Dem Party. I keep telling them get wins in November 2018 and then work to make the changes you want. I've been active in the Dem Party for a very long time. Those of us who sit in the seats at the monthy meetings want what these unhappy left leaners want. I just don't understand many of them.

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