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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsLamb Takes the Lead In Pennsylvanias 18th
A new Monmouth University poll in Pennsylvanias 18th congressional district finds Conor Lamb (D) leading Rick Saccone, 51% to 45%, if turnout yields a Democratic surge similar to voting patterns seen in other special elections over the past year.
Lamb also has the edge using a historical midterm lower turnout model, albeit by a much smaller 49% to 47% margin. A model with higher turnout overall, similar to a presidential electorate, gives Lamb a 51% to 44% advantage.
This marks a turnaround from last months Monmouth poll of the race, when Saccone held a small lead in all the models 49% to 46% in the surge model, 48% to 44% in the high turnout model, and 50% to 45% in the low turnout model.
https://politicalwire.com/2018/03/12/lamb-takes-the-lead-in-pennsylvanias-18th/
scheming daemons
(25,487 posts)Until the results come in, I won't believe.
I have *NEVER* been represented in the House of Representatives by a Democrat in my 50 years on this planet.... and I won't believe it until it comes true.
bearsfootball516
(6,377 posts)It's been a deep red district for a long time...but it just feels like Lamb is going to win.
still_one
(92,257 posts)spanone
(135,848 posts)i predict don will be asked less and less to campaign for gop hopefuls.....it does no good when he shows up and talks about himself...non-stop
bearsfootball516
(6,377 posts)Instead of bringing more conservatives to the polls, it angers area Democrats and moderates and drives them to the polls even more.
Wounded Bear
(58,670 posts)NastyRiffraff
(12,448 posts)I'm VERY cautiously optimistic. Go PA-18. This is your moment!