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oberliner

(58,724 posts)
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 04:20 PM Apr 2018

Does anyone here have any insights into what the US should do with respect to Syria?

Here is a statement from Kamala Harris from the last time Assad did this (a year ago, almost to the day):

Syrian President Bashar al-Assad viciously attacked innocent civilians, including scores of children, who suffocated to death from chemical weapons. This attack reinforces the clear fact that President Assad is not only a ruthless dictator brutalizing his own people—he is a war criminal the international community cannot ignore.

What do folks here think our policy should be? What is an appropriate response here, if anything?
69 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Does anyone here have any insights into what the US should do with respect to Syria? (Original Post) oberliner Apr 2018 OP
with Russia in the mix, not a lot of great options. But, I surely think it needs to be a coallition hlthe2b Apr 2018 #1
There is an emergency UNSC meeting scheduled for Monday oberliner Apr 2018 #3
I hope they assert leadership. hlthe2b Apr 2018 #4
I certainly do not trust the US headed by Trump leading in this. David__77 Apr 2018 #5
What about Russia? oberliner Apr 2018 #6
No not Russia either. David__77 Apr 2018 #7
So which country ought to take on a leadership role in helping to broker peace? oberliner Apr 2018 #9
Whatever works. David__77 Apr 2018 #12
Support a negotiated settlement. David__77 Apr 2018 #2
If we get rid of Assad then the radical Islamist will take over. KWR65 Apr 2018 #8
Guess we haven't learned anything from the enduring clusterfucks that are Libya and Iraq: Jake Stern Apr 2018 #27
Good question. Turbineguy Apr 2018 #10
And have someone execute the plan who is respected and trusted by the non Russia world Eliot Rosewater Apr 2018 #26
Get the fuck out. Voltaire2 Apr 2018 #11
Syrian kurds Clarity2 Apr 2018 #33
We will fuck over the Kurds as we have done Voltaire2 Apr 2018 #37
Turkey is busy doing that now Exotica Apr 2018 #69
Anything Assad could do that would change your mind? oberliner Apr 2018 #36
How many more years do you wont he civil war Voltaire2 Apr 2018 #41
It was just a question oberliner Apr 2018 #44
Right. Voltaire2 Apr 2018 #48
I want to figure out a way to end the slaughter oberliner Apr 2018 #49
The obvious answer is get the fuck out. Voltaire2 Apr 2018 #50
You might be right oberliner Apr 2018 #52
Is it more horrifying than what we are doing to Yemen? Voltaire2 Apr 2018 #57
The real question is "What options do we have?" Xolodno Apr 2018 #13
I know very little of the back story on this onethatcares Apr 2018 #14
China oppresses Tibet... Xolodno Apr 2018 #18
thank you for the depth. onethatcares Apr 2018 #21
As you stated "power/oil/religion" Xolodno Apr 2018 #22
Step up assistance to the FSA? oberliner Apr 2018 #35
And prolong an already lost war? Xolodno Apr 2018 #39
Just accept the reality of Assad seems to be the only other option then oberliner Apr 2018 #43
Well.... Xolodno Apr 2018 #59
Get Russia off the UN Security Council? moondust Apr 2018 #15
How exactly does that happen? Voltaire2 Apr 2018 #16
No idea. moondust Apr 2018 #20
Only if you kick the US off too Jake Stern Apr 2018 #28
You can't take them off manicdem Apr 2018 #29
China would still be there moondust Apr 2018 #31
China represents no one but theirselves DetroitLegalBeagle Apr 2018 #60
There is no mechanism to remove anyone. Voltaire2 Apr 2018 #51
Do nothing until the 10th gas attack and people start to care. joshcryer Apr 2018 #17
I really think partition may be the only solution. Blue_true Apr 2018 #23
Colonialism really screwed up that side of the world for generations, sadly. joshcryer Apr 2018 #40
Well Turkey will not accept any resolution Voltaire2 Apr 2018 #54
Get out malaise Apr 2018 #19
Anything Assad could do that would change your mind? oberliner Apr 2018 #34
Depleted uranium like Iraq n/t malaise Apr 2018 #38
Wow, that answers a lot. What are you referring to, Saddam's yellow cake Blue_true Apr 2018 #63
Our role should a humanitarian one. panader0 Apr 2018 #24
How do we get humanitarian aid in there? oberliner Apr 2018 #32
Syria is and always has been a Russian ally. pwb Apr 2018 #25
This message was self-deleted by its author Jake Stern Apr 2018 #30
work with the international community to brutally sanction russia for essentially running this war Takket Apr 2018 #42
Haven't sanctions been in place since 2014? oberliner Apr 2018 #45
against russia? if they have, they are insufficient Takket Apr 2018 #46
After they annexed Crimea oberliner Apr 2018 #47
Where is it written that the US must "do anything" that involves interfering guillaumeb Apr 2018 #53
Doing nothing is certainly an option oberliner Apr 2018 #55
True, and I share your depression. guillaumeb Apr 2018 #56
Though I doubt it will happen, they should follow the UN resolution on the Syrian peace process karynnj Apr 2018 #58
Sadly, that resolution appears to be un-enforceable oberliner Apr 2018 #62
Russia gets their port, Israel gets the Golan heights, we withdraw Arazi Apr 2018 #61
I don't think the US has anywhere to speak or stand after what we did to Iraq scarytomcat Apr 2018 #64
But who does have the authority to say something? oberliner Apr 2018 #65
the UN scarytomcat Apr 2018 #68
How about having Assad charged with war crimes? Actually, that's Plan B. Vinca Apr 2018 #66
How about we put ourselves within the Voltaire2 Apr 2018 #67

hlthe2b

(102,292 posts)
1. with Russia in the mix, not a lot of great options. But, I surely think it needs to be a coallition
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 04:26 PM
Apr 2018

response--both Western Nations and influential Arab Nations.

Beyond that, none of us has the essential information to assess, but I surely hope someone is listening to those who DO. But, Trump has screwed us up so badly with his side deals and abuse of long alliances, who knows what is possible. His ignorance and arrogance is going to take us all down.

David__77

(23,421 posts)
12. Whatever works.
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 04:58 PM
Apr 2018

Anything that is agreeable to the conflicting parties might be good. At least the parties have sat down together in recent times.

KWR65

(1,098 posts)
8. If we get rid of Assad then the radical Islamist will take over.
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 04:43 PM
Apr 2018

Sadly there is not much choice in the matter. I think that is why the Russians, his Generals and the army are sticking with him.

Jake Stern

(3,145 posts)
27. Guess we haven't learned anything from the enduring clusterfucks that are Libya and Iraq:
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 07:49 PM
Apr 2018

Taking out strongmen leaves a power vacuum that, in the ME, is quite often filled by radical Islamists

Eliot Rosewater

(31,112 posts)
26. And have someone execute the plan who is respected and trusted by the non Russia world
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 07:17 PM
Apr 2018

which means no living republican can accomplish this

Voltaire2

(13,061 posts)
11. Get the fuck out.
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 04:52 PM
Apr 2018

All we have done there is prolong the death and destruction. Oh and we accidentally enabled the ISIS caliphate for a while. Oh and we accidentally armed them.

Our interventions in the region, and I know this may be a shock to some here, have been disastrous.

Perhaps we should stop.

Clarity2

(1,009 posts)
33. Syrian kurds
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 09:11 PM
Apr 2018

are the ones making headway with ISIS working hand in hand with u.s troops. If we leave, the kurds will be extinguished by Assad, russia or turkey. If we want to see mass genocide, it will happen when we leave.

Someone on CNN or msnbc today said we should sanction the hell out of Assad, and Russian (banks). Serious sanctions. I tend to agree with that. And russia should be told to get out of syria. Chemical attacks are either assad, russia or both.

Voltaire2

(13,061 posts)
41. How many more years do you wont he civil war
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 09:27 PM
Apr 2018

to continue?

Assad and his faction are not going away. They have nowhere to go. There is no resolution while we insist that is not the reality. Russia is not giving up their last ally in the region and we can’t force them to do so.

You can create any sort of appalling scenario you want, what you can’t come up with is a plausible scenario where our continued military intervention in Syria accomplishes any good.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
44. It was just a question
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 09:34 PM
Apr 2018

Is there anything he can do that would change your mind?

"No, there isn't" is certainly a legitimate answer.

Voltaire2

(13,061 posts)
48. Right.
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 09:50 PM
Apr 2018

So how many more years do you want to prolong the slaughter?

It’s just a question.

0 more years is a legitimate answer.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
49. I want to figure out a way to end the slaughter
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 09:54 PM
Apr 2018

I just have no idea what the means would be to do so. That's why I am asking for insights from the DU community.

Voltaire2

(13,061 posts)
50. The obvious answer is get the fuck out.
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 09:56 PM
Apr 2018

You seem to find that unacceptable, although you also seem to not want to make that explicit.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
52. You might be right
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 09:59 PM
Apr 2018

I don't find that unacceptable at all.

What Assad is doing right now, though, is absolutely horrifying to me, and I certainly hope there is a means by which he can be prevented from continuing in that vein.

Voltaire2

(13,061 posts)
57. Is it more horrifying than what we are doing to Yemen?
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 10:05 PM
Apr 2018

Or just more visible?

What do you think would have happened to Assad’s faction if they were losing instead?

We should never have gotten involved.

Xolodno

(6,395 posts)
13. The real question is "What options do we have?"
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 05:01 PM
Apr 2018

The reality is, none.

We barely had a dog in this fight to begin with.

Whatever happens at the UNSC is going to get vetoed at minimum by Russia and abstain from China, or a veto from both.

Ultimately, when Assad finally re-asserts control of the country...we'll treat like North Korea.

onethatcares

(16,172 posts)
14. I know very little of the back story on this
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 05:26 PM
Apr 2018

would a diplomatic approach having China, Russia and the United States joined do any good? Sanctions from all three perhaps?

Is such a thing possible or does each country have reasons for allowing Assad to remain in power.

As I said, this is a learning curve for me. Thank you.

Xolodno

(6,395 posts)
18. China oppresses Tibet...
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 06:18 PM
Apr 2018

..a once independent country and wants to re-assert control over Taiwan. They are not going to signal something in opposition of their own goals.

Russia has a couple of bases in Syria, the removal of Assad means the days are numbered on them. Backing Assad means they pretty much have a lease on their times for however long they want it. And thus a foothold on the Mid-East and Mediterranean.

The USA, again, removing Assad means...aside from a moral victory, not a whole lot. We could be actually allowing a more radical and oppressive government take control. Yes awful things have happened and will happen, brought about by environmental changes from global warming and political/economic motives such as Saudi Arabia wanting a pipeline through Syria to compete with Russia on the energy market, but when denied, helped create unrest.

Side note, atrocities are happening in Yemen's civil war, but we don't see, hear, etc. much about it. Because that would draw the curtain back on what our "ally", Saudi Arabia is doing. Not to say the side being supported by Iran is any better, but putting things in perspective.

onethatcares

(16,172 posts)
21. thank you for the depth.
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 06:30 PM
Apr 2018

it's appreciated.

I'm just trying to understand why the killing is going on. What is the driving force.

Is it power/oil/religion? What is motivating Assad and the other factions.

Syria in relation to Taiwan is lost on me presently.

Thank you.

Xolodno

(6,395 posts)
22. As you stated "power/oil/religion"
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 06:45 PM
Apr 2018

Yes. All of the above.

Taiwan is essentially the Chinese Government prior to the communist takeover in exile. Granted that isn't touted much, but you can bet the farm if there was a popular uprising in China, they would come knocking. Probably why they haven't pursued in enough significance to be recognized as a separate nation. So a partition of Syria between Kurds, Shia/Alawite and Sunni is to say China should let Tibet go as well as recognize Taiwan as a nation, instead of a state in rebellion. It could even cause friction where Manchuria declares independence. China is going to hold territorial integrity and not allow what happened to the Soviet Union in the 90's.

Xolodno

(6,395 posts)
59. Well....
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 10:39 PM
Apr 2018

...what other option is there?

Turd sandwich vs. a turd feast. There was never a significant viable option otherwise.

Taking out Saddam, was a noble task...however, doing so, created an even worse crisis. So, damned it you do, or damned if you don't. It's ultimately the question, what's worse?

Granted Assad staying in power means Iran has more access to Israel....but then, it was only a matter of time.

moondust

(19,993 posts)
15. Get Russia off the UN Security Council?
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 05:33 PM
Apr 2018

Where they currently have veto power over investigations into their own war crimes and those of their client state.

moondust

(19,993 posts)
20. No idea.
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 06:23 PM
Apr 2018

It may be impossible since Russia is one of the five permanent members. I don't know if the General Assembly could somehow vote to change the permanent members like they do with the non-permanent members or change the rules to allow for that or something. You'd think a supermajority of the General Assembly should be enough to change things, but I suppose that, too, could lead to some bad outcomes.

Jake Stern

(3,145 posts)
28. Only if you kick the US off too
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 07:52 PM
Apr 2018

Everything you said applies to us as well in Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, Grenada, Panama, Dominican Republic, etc.

It's time to disband the UNSC altogether.

manicdem

(389 posts)
29. You can't take them off
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 07:55 PM
Apr 2018

The 5 members of the council are a balancing force between East and West, Democratic and Communism. If you take them out, the whole UN falls apart. The eastern and communist countries will drop out of the UN and the UN won't be of much use after that.

moondust

(19,993 posts)
31. China would still be there
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 08:15 PM
Apr 2018

to represent Asian countries. These days China seems to be more "morally responsible" than Russia which seems to be using their UNSC veto power as a license for them and their client state to use chemical weapons. You could always replace Russia with another "eastern" country like Japan or Australia.

DetroitLegalBeagle

(1,924 posts)
60. China represents no one but theirselves
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 10:57 PM
Apr 2018

Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, Vietnam, etc would not accept any notion of being "represented" by China. These nations are already working together to counter China.

joshcryer

(62,276 posts)
17. Do nothing until the 10th gas attack and people start to care.
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 06:15 PM
Apr 2018

We're only at #2 since Trump became President (#3 since they did this, possibly #4 since the start of the war). Give it a dozen or so more before people say that's enough.

What happens then? I dunno, boots on the ground, regime change, partitioning up Syria into 3 countries, etc.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
23. I really think partition may be the only solution.
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 06:48 PM
Apr 2018

Three parts, put the Islamists next to Turkey, then the Kurds, then Assad. Give each a coastline of some type.

joshcryer

(62,276 posts)
40. Colonialism really screwed up that side of the world for generations, sadly.
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 09:18 PM
Apr 2018

Partition is nearly impossible because if you give the Kurds a partition in Syria then they will want their swath in Turkey (which is much "larger" by territory but smaller by population). Kurdistan probably should exist but not by the geographical region they think.

It's just sad that this will go on for many many years until we have souls brave enough and strong enough to sit down and discuss it. Trump, Putin, Assad, and Erdogan are not that person.

Voltaire2

(13,061 posts)
54. Well Turkey will not accept any resolution
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 10:01 PM
Apr 2018

that gives the Kurds anything that looks like a state, and we will concede on that. Also there is the minor problem that Russia and Syria won’t agree to any partition either. Otherwise it is a fine suggestion.

panader0

(25,816 posts)
24. Our role should a humanitarian one.
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 06:53 PM
Apr 2018

Simplistic I know, but the US will never solve their problems.
Only exacerbate them.

pwb

(11,276 posts)
25. Syria is and always has been a Russian ally.
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 07:13 PM
Apr 2018

We should let that area solve its own problems. Putin antagonizes trying to get us involved to further divide us any way he can. Like Vietnam we did the best could, time to come home and take care of our own people. It's just been too long. I'm all played out on the Middle East . Our soldiers are worn out from all the tours of duty. We cannot win with air power or it would be settled by now. When the rest of the world stays out of it that should tell you something. It's their fight, leave them to it as awful as it is. We tried and tried and tried. Enough !!! Let it be.

Response to oberliner (Original post)

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
47. After they annexed Crimea
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 09:46 PM
Apr 2018

I would agree that more sanctions against Russia would be a good idea, for a multitude of reasons.

guillaumeb

(42,641 posts)
53. Where is it written that the US must "do anything" that involves interfering
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 09:59 PM
Apr 2018

with the internal affairs of nearly every country in the world?

The list of countries where the US "did something" is long, and the results of that "doing" were and are generally bad.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
55. Doing nothing is certainly an option
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 10:02 PM
Apr 2018

Perhaps there is nothing the US could or should do with respect to Syria.

It's just all so depressing to watch what is unfolding and to feel so helpless to stop it.

guillaumeb

(42,641 posts)
56. True, and I share your depression.
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 10:04 PM
Apr 2018

But the US and Europe have been interfering in the Middle East since before the Turks stopped interfering there. When great powers fight for dominance, it is the small countries that suffer.

karynnj

(59,504 posts)
58. Though I doubt it will happen, they should follow the UN resolution on the Syrian peace process
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 10:20 PM
Apr 2018

that passed in December 2015. That resolution outlined a process where there would be elections that included the Syrians who left during the conflict. https://www.rferl.org/a/un-syria-draft-resolution/27436373.html

Obviously, at this point Syria is full of factions that hate each other. That might lead some to suggest that the country needs to be split into separate countries or at least autonomous areas - which might be needed. It might be that only when all factions see that the alternative to agreeing to some sort of normalization of relations is continued strife would they settle their differences.

It might be far less likely now than it was in 2015 because Assad, backed by Russia and Iran, is near to complete victory. It is not clear that the international community that has documented that he is a war criminal can force Syria to change its own leader, much less the government itself. (The distinction there is the regime with and without Assad)

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
62. Sadly, that resolution appears to be un-enforceable
Mon Apr 9, 2018, 07:05 AM
Apr 2018

Lord knows what yesterday's actions will mean moving forward.

Arazi

(6,829 posts)
61. Russia gets their port, Israel gets the Golan heights, we withdraw
Sun Apr 8, 2018, 11:15 PM
Apr 2018

Assad gets to live but has a massive historic loss of the Golan heights cause he's a monster chemical death dealer. Israel agrees to the Iran deal and gains the Golan heights

scarytomcat

(1,706 posts)
64. I don't think the US has anywhere to speak or stand after what we did to Iraq
Mon Apr 9, 2018, 12:08 PM
Apr 2018

We should bring all our troops home from the Middle East and stop selling weapons. We should use diplomacy and money to try to heal the area. Guns and war have made it worse. Wars are unwinnable unless you kill everyone.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
65. But who does have the authority to say something?
Mon Apr 9, 2018, 12:38 PM
Apr 2018

And what is to stop dictators, then, from acting against civilians with impunity?

scarytomcat

(1,706 posts)
68. the UN
Mon Apr 9, 2018, 04:57 PM
Apr 2018

we prop up dictators
We should use economic measures to promote good behavior and deny economic stuff to those that do bad things.
If we are the great economic power we say we are, they should want to join us for the benefits
but we are following supply side economics and austerity that is complete crap and have slipped from being a creditor economy to a debtor economy. So we have no leg to stand on there either.
Killing people only leads to more killing someone must stop.
We should use our money to take care of our people not push our military power around the world.
We need to be the example not a terrorist.

Vinca

(50,278 posts)
66. How about having Assad charged with war crimes? Actually, that's Plan B.
Mon Apr 9, 2018, 01:19 PM
Apr 2018

Plan A is to have the CIA take him out. You know it's been done before. Nothing will work in Syria until Assad is gone.

Voltaire2

(13,061 posts)
67. How about we put ourselves within the
Mon Apr 9, 2018, 04:39 PM
Apr 2018

jurisdiction of the ICC first. We have quite a few war criminals of our own.

Your plan A is illegal.

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