SOLID SEATS
D - 179
R - 160

LIKELY/LEAN SEATS
D - 13
R - 51

TOSS-UP OR WORSE
D - 3
R - 29

* Likely : These seats are not considered competitive at this point, but have the potential to become engaged.
* Lean : These are considered competitive races, but one party has an advantage.
* Toss-Up : These are the most competitive; either party has a good chance of winning.

https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings

80 Republican house seats total not considered secure, though this figure does not indicate they're all "in danger." But wow, wow, wow!

Me.

(35,454 posts)

2. Exactly

Reply to Hortensis (Reply #1)

Mon Apr 16, 2018, 03:36 PM

Apr 2018

It must really be looking bad for the Cons...

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)

3. A lot of sleazes are sidling toward the right side of history.

Reply to Me. (Reply #2)

Mon Apr 16, 2018, 03:47 PM

Apr 2018

Me.

(35,454 posts)

5. You Might Find This Article Interesting

Reply to Hortensis (Reply #3)

Mon Apr 16, 2018, 04:25 PM

Apr 2018

“Michael Cohen and the End Stage of the Trump Presidency”

https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/michael-cohen-and-the-end-stage-of-the-trump-presidency

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)

6. Extremely. I THINK I hope he's right. i'm sick of Trump

Reply to Me. (Reply #5)

Mon Apr 16, 2018, 04:40 PM

Apr 2018

and know I'd be happy to trade switching away from his voice for watching what a Democratic-controlled congress, or even just one chamber, did with a President Pence, or Hatch if it came to it.

The narrative that will become widely understood is that Donald Trump did not sit atop a global empire. He was not an intuitive genius and tough guy who created billions of dollars of wealth through fearlessness. He had a small, sad global operation, mostly run by his two oldest children and Michael Cohen, a lousy lawyer who barely keeps up the pretenses of lawyering and who now faces an avalanche of charges, from taxicab-backed bank fraud to money laundering and campaign-finance violations.

Cohen, Donald, Jr., and Ivanka monetized their willingness to sign contracts with people rejected by all sensible partners. Even in this, the Trump Organization left money on the table, taking a million dollars here, five million there, even though the service they provided—giving branding legitimacy to blatantly sketchy projects—was worth far more. It was not a company that built value over decades, accumulating assets and leveraging wealth. It burned through whatever good will and brand value it established as quickly as possible, then moved on to the next scheme.

Scathing assessment of people operating far above their level, and basically my take.

Me.

(35,454 posts)

7. I Think He's Right Too

Reply to Hortensis (Reply #6)

Mon Apr 16, 2018, 05:43 PM

Apr 2018

How many of us saw the disater the * administration was going to be and low and behold we were right...I think the same applies here

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)

8. Actual details aside, the * term HAS decompensated

Reply to Me. (Reply #7)

Mon Apr 16, 2018, 05:50 PM

Apr 2018

so far pretty much as expected.

NewJeffCT

(56,828 posts)

4. still, the "likely" list

Reply to Hortensis (Reply #1)

Mon Apr 16, 2018, 03:54 PM

Apr 2018

is only a net +26 for democrats - too close for comfort.

that said, I think Cilizza is being conservative. With the bump in results we've seen over the past year, I think a good half of those likely/lean R seats are in trouble as well.

And, in a wave year, a few solid R seats could be surprise upsets, which would be especially sweet.

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