with other recent polling showing Lesko winning by double-digit margins. The latest public poll on Friday from OH Predictive Insights and ABC 15 Arizona found Lesko leading by 10 points, 53 to 43 percent ...

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/383340-poll-arizona-special-election-in-dead-heat

But given the history, not likely. I've lived in the district for 25 years. I've never such enthusiasm for a Dem AND such apathy for a Publican. So, given enough Dem turnout, it' possible.

frequents the area. This is ground Zero for the Militia Movement. Confederate,Gadsden,and 3%er flags flying where ever you go. This will be a interesting vote to say the least.

in my very reddest - voting part of the district, except for 1 Confederate flag many years ago. Other neighborhoods may be different, of course.

northwests. Do you mean Wittman? Or New River?

referring to AZ 4. Your District is much more Civilized. In fact,you all have modern conveniences. Not so much for AZ 4.

There's a LOT of traditionally hard -R voters: Sun City, Litchfield Park and Luke AFB, but the creeping suburbs and the Toxic Trump effect may be enough to swing it.

I won't be surprised either way. Relieved if Tirpineni wins, but not surprised if she doesn't. I've got 25+ years in the district; Trent (my copy of The Handmaids' Tale is sticky) Franks has had the same cheesy signs showing pictures of babies and balloons since forever. Never any different. That seems to me that he doesn't really have any concept of changing anything. The only time he tries anything different is some signs with his own picture. He has an eminently punchable face, somewhat resembling Ted Cruz.

Word is that he was fairly sane a long time ago, but then he got into politics with the Evan Mecham regime, and played that into a congressional seat. A real fan of Limbaugh from way back, too. Family money from oil / fuel industry (distribution?).