Democratic Enthusiasm Could Shift Key House Race

https://politicalwire.com/2018/06/04/democratic-enthusiasm-could-shift-key-house-race/

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A new Monmouth poll finds Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA) leads challenger Scott Wallace (D) by 7-points among registered voters, 49% to 42%.

However, the race is much tighter using two different likely voter models. A historical midterm model gives Fitzpatrick a negligible 48% to 47% lead, while a model that includes a turnout surge in areas where President Trump is unpopular gives an insignificant edge to Wallace at 48% to 47%.

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