His disapproval of Republicans can lead to some of them staying home on election day which works almost as well as flipping a vote. You also have to figure there are some who will disapprove but turn around and vote Republican anyway.

and they never really liked him much to begin with, but maybe didn't like HRC much more

They favored Trump in 2016 but prefer Democrats on the generic ballot now.

I would take an extra point or two net among Independents from now until election day and not care at all about GOTV. Give me preference edge over turnout emphasis every time.

Pa, Michigan and Wis.

If we can't shift those back into the democratic column then Trump will be reelected in 2020

But PA is stubborn. Trump has a 46% approval rating there. That's not great but it's not awful, either, and means that's probably his floor in that state. Which means it'll once again prove to be a very close state, which is not something the Democrats want since it'll take resources from other states.

Maine is another one that's troubling - as is Florida, as Trump actually has a 50% approval rating there.

They're.still.hacking and haven't stopped since 2016

That's irrelevant. Trump has seen a decline in overall support since he took office, which isn't surprising, but how does it compare to his support prior to the election - and what about the states he won that Obama won in 2012?

I really don't care that he's lost support among Utahns since he took office. Utah will still vote for him in 2020. I do care about Pennsylvania and Michigan and Ohio.

In Pennsylvania, Trump's approval is 46%. Right now, he's starting with a floor of 46%, which is scary because despite everything that has happened, Trump's approval is still barely under 50% in a state Democrats have won nationally every election for the last 30 years up until 2016. It's the exact same number in Ohio. His disapproval in both states is 50%.

That means, in two major states, Trump is barely under water and within striking distance.

It's better in Michigan, where he's 43-52 approval/disapproval.

It's even better in Wisconsin at 42-54 - which is good.

Iowa has also trended from Trump, which is good news. He's down 44-51. A bit more breathing room there compared to PA and OH.

But even if the Democratic Nominee wins Iowa, Michigan and Wisconsin, they still lose the election if they lose PA.

And right now, I'm not sold on PA. Those numbers are too favorable to Trump. Way too favorable. That's scary.

It also looks like Florida is gone. Trump actually has a 50% approval there. Sad that the state is trending more and more conservative. It really is a state that makes any future Democratic victory that much more difficult to attain if it goes solidly into the GOP corner.

the coal comeback fantasy might also be helping him in PA

...no breakdown by party affiliation, but I thoroughly doubted my eyes when that came on. That's just nuts. More than half of us never voted for the bastard in the first place.