The contest for the open seat in West Virginia’s 3rd Congressional District is tight, with Democrat Ojeda at 43% and Republican Miller at 41%. Currently, likely voter models give the edge to Ojeda with a 47% to 41% lead in a historical midterm turnout scenario and a 48% to 39% lead using a Democratic surge model.

More WV-03 voters (40%) say Ojeda understands the day to day concerns of people like them than say he does not (23%). By comparison, 33% feel that Miller understands their concerns as opposed to 22% who say she does not. More WV-03 voters (33%) have a favorable opinion of Ojeda than an unfavorable one (14%), but half (53%) express no opinion. Miller gets a 27% favorable and 10% unfavorable rating, with 63% expressing no opinion.

“Unlike other hotly contested House races in the country where dislike of the president is giving Democrats a boost, this West Virginia district seems to be competitive because the Democratic candidate has his own populist persona. But neither candidate is particularly well know yet, so this dynamic could change” said Murray. Of note, interviews for the poll were nearly complete before an interview was published this week in which Ojeda said that he voted for Trump in 2016.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_wv_062018/


The Child Abductor In Chief won that district by fifty points in 2016:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_West_Virginia,_2016