The electoral map changing back

The Midwest doesn’t like Trump anymore; the South likes him fine.
By Matthew Yglesias

... the Trump shift was to do better than Mitt Romney with white voters with no college degree but considerably worse than Romney with college-educated whites. We now know this wound up having a number of specific geographic effects: Non-college whites are overrepresented in a few key swing states, so Trump's narrow wins in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan netted him a bonanza of electoral votes.

The shift let him secure an Electoral College majority while losing the popular vote pretty significantly. Part of this was the tipping point of a long-running trend. Barack Obama was already getting so few votes from working-class white Southerners that Trump couldn’t really do any better than Romney with this demographic, but he did lose a lot of votes from white college graduates in the South ...

Trump is underwater not just in the three critical swing states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin but also in Iowa and Ohio — two states Obama won that weren’t even remotely close in 2016 ...

... broadly speaking, the electoral map is reverting to how it looked before Trump appeared on the scene — perhaps a response to the fact that he’s governed as a much more orthodox, down-the-line right-winger than he portrayed himself as a candidate.

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/6/19/17474984/trump-state-polling