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DonViejo

(60,536 posts) Tue Jul 10, 2018, 03:40 PM Jul 2018

First look: Dems crush GOP in party registration

Axios 5 hours ago

A first look for Axios readers: Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia has a detailed map of where Democrats and Republicans are ahead in party registration among voters.

Why it matters, from Rhodes Cook: "The Democrats approach this fall’s midterm elections with an advantage in one key aspect of the political process — their strength in states where voters register by party."

Key numbers: Among the 31 states (plus D.C.) with party registration, there are nearly 12 million more registered Democrats than Republicans.

40% of all voters in party registration states are Democrats, 29% are Republicans, and 28% are independents.

In 19 states (plus D.C.) there are more registered Democrats; in the remaining 12 there are more registered Republicans.

This can make all the difference. A quick look back to 2016 shows Trump won 11 of those 12 states with more Republican registered voters.

https://www.axios.com/democrats-crush-republican-party-registration-2018-midterms-872f7ad2-7a3b-4f7c-97b0-8070448e2df4.html

11 replies

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First look: Dems crush GOP in party registration (Original Post) DonViejo Jul 2018 OP

Thanks for the heartwarming data! lagomorph777 Jul 2018 #1

Still have to keep the presure on. Wellstone ruled Jul 2018 #2

Be very careful here! The huge Dem registration advantages in CA and NY skew the total number. LonePirate Jul 2018 #3

My grandson just turned eighteen. I'm getting him registered to vote. Aristus Jul 2018 #4

We have to register new young voters as they will overwhelmingly vote beachbum bob Jul 2018 #5

It's not just registering them to vote NewJeffCT Jul 2018 #7

good Demovictory9 Jul 2018 #6

we could take one million CA dems and spread them out to WY, MT, SD, ND and get 8 msongs Jul 2018 #8

What is this showing me? NewJeffCT Jul 2018 #9

Let's just hope it still matters. n/t Tarheel_Dem Jul 2018 #10

I wonder if polls follow this reality in their samples... robbedvoter Jul 2018 #11

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)

1. Thanks for the heartwarming data!

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Tue Jul 10, 2018, 03:43 PM

Jul 2018

Wellstone ruled

(34,661 posts)

2. Still have to keep the presure on.

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Tue Jul 10, 2018, 03:45 PM

Jul 2018

LonePirate

(13,431 posts)

3. Be very careful here! The huge Dem registration advantages in CA and NY skew the total number.

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Tue Jul 10, 2018, 03:50 PM

Jul 2018

Plus, TX is not included in the states that were counted/studied.

Aristus

(66,467 posts)

4. My grandson just turned eighteen. I'm getting him registered to vote.

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Tue Jul 10, 2018, 03:53 PM

Jul 2018

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)

5. We have to register new young voters as they will overwhelmingly vote

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Tue Jul 10, 2018, 03:53 PM

Jul 2018

democratic and they have the most at risk if we don't take back our country. Here in Illinois-13th, we hope to have an additional 25,000 18yr and above registered with a possibility of twice that number in defeating the worthless republican Rodney Davis. Imagine if we can 5 million new under 25 voters for November election. That impact alone would drive a blue wave.

NewJeffCT

(56,829 posts)

7. It's not just registering them to vote

Reply to beachbum bob (Reply #5)

Tue Jul 10, 2018, 04:03 PM

Jul 2018

it's making sure they get to the polls and actually vote.

In 2012, there were around 150 million registered voters and the number had been fairly level for years before that. By 2016, however, the number of registered voters shot up to around 200 million. However, actually voters only increased by about 8 million. So, only an 8 million increase in actual voters from an increase of 50 million more registered.

In 2012, about 86% of registered voters actually voted. In 2016, it was only 69%.

Demovictory9

(32,475 posts)

6. good

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Tue Jul 10, 2018, 04:00 PM

Jul 2018

msongs

(67,453 posts)

8. we could take one million CA dems and spread them out to WY, MT, SD, ND and get 8

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Tue Jul 10, 2018, 04:06 PM

Jul 2018

more senate seats plus run the state houses plus a handful of house members too

NewJeffCT

(56,829 posts)

9. What is this showing me?

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Tue Jul 10, 2018, 04:09 PM

Jul 2018

Is the 12 million difference between Democrats & Republicans an increase from 2016? Has a state swung from having more Republicans to having more Democrats? Are Kentucky, West Virginia and Louisiana going Democratic?

I don't see anything like that?

Tarheel_Dem

(31,241 posts)

10. Let's just hope it still matters. n/t

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Tue Jul 10, 2018, 04:51 PM

Jul 2018

robbedvoter

(28,290 posts)

11. I wonder if polls follow this reality in their samples...

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Tue Jul 10, 2018, 05:14 PM

Jul 2018

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