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turbinetree

(24,710 posts)
Tue Jul 17, 2018, 01:56 PM Jul 2018

A Dozen More Congressional Seats Move Left

Democrats Make Gains as More Seats Become Competitive

By Jillian S. Ambroz


Everyone is working the math. Democrats need to pick up 23 seats to take back the House. Forty-three seats would give them a majority the Republicans now enjoy. The ram-legislation-through kind of majority. And each day it is looking like Democrats will win one of the two in November.

The Cook Political Report currently rates 60 Congressional seats as competitive; 56 of those seats are held by Republicans and four are held by Democrats. Of those 60 seats, 26 are considered toss-ups at the moment. But if we split the toss-up districts evenly down the aisle today, Democrats would pick up 19 seats.

And there’s better news for Democrats. There are currently around 26 GOP-held seats that Cook Political is tracking in the Lean-Republican territory with great potential to become toss-ups. Add to that another 28 Republican seats in the Likely-Republican category that could become more competitive and there’s a lot of upside for Democratic candidates to not only get to the 23-seat majority but possibly an even greater number.

https://www.dcreport.org/2018/07/16/a-dozen-more-congressional-seats-move-left/


This can be done.........................vote

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A Dozen More Congressional Seats Move Left (Original Post) turbinetree Jul 2018 OP
Great news dalton99a Jul 2018 #1
K&R NY_20th Jul 2018 #2
The seats moving towards democrats needs some further looking at beachbum bob Jul 2018 #3
Vote -- ON PAPER BALLOTS RandomAccess Jul 2018 #4
 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
3. The seats moving towards democrats needs some further looking at
Tue Jul 17, 2018, 02:25 PM
Jul 2018

Over the past 3 months nearly 100 seats have moved in the direction. Let's clarify. When a seat moves from likely republican to lean republican, that's is a shift to democrats....I have seen less than 5 seats move the other way.

The metrics become more revealing once we get past Labor Day. I expect to see even more move towards democrats along with a significant uptick in likely democrat in excess of 40 alone giving the dems a huge lead....and half of the others flip in a blue tsunam, we could have 70-80 seat flip with dems having a huge majority in the house. If the wave is as big as we hope, we could see the senate flip by 1 or 2 seat margin.

We could have states that may see a tremendous loss of republican congressional reps...California, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois.....and pickups almost in every other state.

We all must take active roles in this.

 

RandomAccess

(5,210 posts)
4. Vote -- ON PAPER BALLOTS
Tue Jul 17, 2018, 03:00 PM
Jul 2018

BACKGROUND: https://www.democraticunderground.com/100210885412

@jennycohn1
This is a matter of national security. Tell your MOCs to pass the #PaveAct, @RonWyden’s election security bill, which requires that all voters have the option 2 use #handmarked #paperballots in federal elections & that states conduct Risk Limiting Audits 4 every federal race. 1/




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