Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDemocrats Are 'Substantial Favorites' to Win House
https://politicalwire.com/2018/07/27/democrats-are-substantial-favorites-to-win-house/Democrats Are Substantial Favorites to Win House
July 27, 2018 at 7:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard
Cook Political Report: With 102 days to go, Democrats remain substantial favorites for House control. A big reason: Republicans are defending 42 open or vacant seats, a record since at least 1930.
Of Republicans 42 incumbent-less seats, eight are in districts that voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016, and an additional 13 are in districts where President Trump received less than 55 percent. History is working against the GOP in many of those seats: we found that since 1992, in situations when a presidents party was stuck defending an open seat two years after the president failed to carry it, that party has batted zero for 23 keeping it in their column.
]n a wave environment, 42 seats is a dangerous level of exposure: If Democrats win even eight of the 42 (our current ratings pin eight as Lean/Likely Democratic and four more as Toss Ups), theyll already be over a third of the way to a majority.
Of Republicans 42 incumbent-less seats, eight are in districts that voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016, and an additional 13 are in districts where President Trump received less than 55 percent. History is working against the GOP in many of those seats: we found that since 1992, in situations when a presidents party was stuck defending an open seat two years after the president failed to carry it, that party has batted zero for 23 keeping it in their column.
]n a wave environment, 42 seats is a dangerous level of exposure: If Democrats win even eight of the 42 (our current ratings pin eight as Lean/Likely Democratic and four more as Toss Ups), theyll already be over a third of the way to a majority.
InfoView thread info, including edit history
TrashPut this thread in your Trash Can (My DU » Trash Can)
BookmarkAdd this thread to your Bookmarks (My DU » Bookmarks)
5 replies, 733 views
ShareGet links to this post and/or share on social media
AlertAlert this post for a rule violation
PowersThere are no powers you can use on this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
ReplyReply to this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
Rec (9)
ReplyReply to this post
5 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight:
NoneDon't highlight anything
5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Democrats Are 'Substantial Favorites' to Win House (Original Post)
babylonsister
Jul 2018
OP
We have to turn out like never before because the gop games are gonna start
Fullduplexxx
Jul 2018
#1
I'm confused as to why the start of early voting means that it's too late in Tennessee.
bearsfootball516
Jul 2018
#3
Fullduplexxx
(7,865 posts)1. We have to turn out like never before because the gop games are gonna start
Dont be complacent. every vote matters
Farmer-Rick
(10,188 posts)2. Already the Russians are hacking into our campaign databases
The real rigging begins when they hack the vote count. The only way to beat the Russian RepubliCON cheat machine is to overwhelm the rigging with massive turnout like when Obama won. It is going to take a landslide not just a trickle.
It's too late for us in Tennessee. We are already doing early voting. I fear the Russian RepubliCON cheat machine was not repulsed.
bearsfootball516
(6,377 posts)3. I'm confused as to why the start of early voting means that it's too late in Tennessee.
Farmer-Rick
(10,188 posts)4. Opps sorry, I got confused with the primary and general election.
So TN it's Not too late to turn away from the traitors.
dalton99a
(81,523 posts)5. GOTV is a must. Complacency is deadly