General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhat are the 5 most important Senate elections in 2018? (if time permits, why?,more than 5 is OK.)
Only if time permits, give reasons. I would like to know what others think ..thank you.Nevada...a possible pick up for our side. very good chance
Missouri ..Claire McCaskill is a seasoned fighter and has an excellent chance of winning, but Trump took this state by some points and it will be tight. We need to support her as best as possible.
Texas...another possible pick up. Cruz is not liked and a liar. Beneto has an excellent chance..News is that this is far closer than predicted.
North Dakota..Heidi will need all the help we can give just to keep her seat. If she looses, taking over the Senate could be most difficult. (Trump took the state by a number of points)
Florida If Bill Nelson looses against Rick Scott ( Scott is a total asshole) then taking over the Senate could be impossible (if we lose North Dakota and Florida, then forget taking the Senate)
ok, have at it..and... Need to understand this because it could help with potential donations. Thank You for any and all opinions
Funtatlaguy
(10,881 posts)lpbk2713
(42,760 posts)Scott is a thief and a liar who got filthy rich on Medicare/Medicaid fraud. The voters of Florida made him governor twice. If they make him senator then they are all beyond hope. GOTV.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)The special election to replace Thad "I was the last sane Republican" Cochran is happening.
There's a jungle primary on election day, being contested by:
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R), the chamber of commerce Republican (and former Democrat) appointed to replace Cochran
Chris McDaniel (R), an absolutely terrifying nutjob who makes Roy Moore look like Dwight Eisenhower
Mike Espy (D), an African American former Congressman and Agriculture Secretary under Bill Clinton
If none clears 50% (which seems to be a given), the top two vote-getters will face a runoff election 3 weeks later.
If McDaniel outdraws Hyde-Smith (and lots of the Tea Party types are furious that a former Democrat was appointed), Espy is legitimately in a position to stand a chance at beating him. Espy is incredibly popular statewide, has had no scandals or gaffes of note, and (conceivably) could drive African American turnout very high in a state that's over 1/3rd black. As a bonus, next door in Alabama we have a generally popular white politician in Doug Jones, who has just showed that this kind of upset is doable, and will probably spend a lot of time stumping in East Mississippi for Espy.
catrose
(5,068 posts)Or my cat. Or a dead armadillo. I'm not picky.
I keep hearing that Ted Cruz is unpopular, but somebody elected him. Of course, he was Cambridge Analytical's second biggest customer. That might explain it.
Stuart G
(38,436 posts)catrose
(5,068 posts)brooklynite
(94,610 posts)Most at risk: FL, ND, IN, MO (however, Koch Brothers are pulling out of ND; may be indicative of something. Of these four, FL is most important because of competitive Governor's race and House pickup opportunities.
Best pickup opportunities: AZ (Sinema ahead of McSally; competitive Gov race); TN (Bredesen ahead of Blackburn) and NV (Rosen slightly behind Heller). TX still a stretch, but may be tightening.
My database: https://www.dropbox.com/s/9efjylfjxt78uoh/2018%20races.xlsx?dl=0
Stuart G
(38,436 posts)Roland99
(53,342 posts)Bradshaw3
(7,522 posts)To pick up both would be sweet, sweet.