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highplainsdem

(49,044 posts)
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 04:59 PM Aug 2012

Ezra Klein, WaPo: Mitt Romney’s wrong: You can balance the budget through taxes.

"Mitt Romney’s wrong: You can balance the budget through taxes. But you may not want to."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/08/09/mitt-romneys-wrong-you-can-balance-the-budget-through-taxes-but-you-may-not-want-to/


What Mitt Romney is suggesting here is that taxes have such a large and negative effect on growth that raising them does not lead to net new revenues, or at least not enough net new revenues that you can support federal spending in the 22 percent of GDP range. This is a convenient argument for Romney as it gives him a reason, beyond simple conservative dogma, to oppose any and all tax increases. But it’s not true. You can get from where we are to a balanced budget by raising taxes. You may not want to. But you can.

We know this from both international experience, historical experience, and economic modeling. Economist Bruce Bartlett, author of one of the best books on tax reform, notes that ”there are many countries with tax/GDP ratios well above our current or projected spending/GDP ratio. In other words, it could be done if we were willing to adopt European-style tax systems.” Len Burman, an economist at Syracuse university, makes a similar point. “Our taxes are at about 28 percent of GDP. In Denmark, the [tax burden] is closer to 48 percent. Their GDP per capita is about the same as ours.”

Joel Prakken, an economist at Macroeconomic Advisers, points out that “we had very nearly balanced budgets back in the 1960s through the mid-1970s when top marginal tax rates were much higher than they are now.”

Indeed, the average budget deficit from 1950 to 1980 was 1.17 percent of GDP. The average budget deficit under Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush — so, under the major tax-cutting presidents — was 3.1 percent of GDP. The average budget deficit under Bill Clinton was 0.7 percent of GDP. So, yes, tax cuts lead to deficits and tax increases close them.

-snip-
36 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Ezra Klein, WaPo: Mitt Romney’s wrong: You can balance the budget through taxes. (Original Post) highplainsdem Aug 2012 OP
I've never understood that Conservative bugaboo. PDJane Aug 2012 #1
So NAPrinc Aug 2012 #4
You don't know a think about the velocity of money, do you. Ruby the Liberal Aug 2012 #5
Since neither is a net positive it doesnt matter. NAPrinc Aug 2012 #6
Tax cuts "take money out of the economy"? Really? What else you got? Vincardog Aug 2012 #8
Tax cuts do not take money out of the economy. NAPrinc Aug 2012 #10
Are you a member of a conservative website? Kingofalldems Aug 2012 #11
I dont know, is this a conservative website? NAPrinc Aug 2012 #16
Back to the cave. Kingofalldems Aug 2012 #30
Like I thought. Ruby the Liberal Aug 2012 #12
If the multiplier is less than one. NAPrinc Aug 2012 #14
Got a link for that? Ruby the Liberal Aug 2012 #18
While I find my links. NAPrinc Aug 2012 #20
Econ 101, which I will post for the record Ruby the Liberal Aug 2012 #33
Taxes that are recirculated into the productive economy STIMULATE the economy. At least Vincardog Aug 2012 #7
That would be an excellent point. NAPrinc Aug 2012 #9
Are you trying to say that the billions of $ the rich have stolen from working people to "invest" Vincardog Aug 2012 #13
Why are those funds in the caymans? NAPrinc Aug 2012 #15
Why are those funds in the caymans? Ask Willard. I suspect they are there to avoid taxes. Vincardog Aug 2012 #17
What do you mean by civilized? NAPrinc Aug 2012 #22
So you don't think you should pay any taxes? Ruby the Liberal Aug 2012 #19
First, no NAPrinc Aug 2012 #21
Have you read "Atlas Shrugged"? Vincardog Aug 2012 #23
Yes, have you? NAPrinc Aug 2012 #24
Yes. I have. Did you find it instructional? If so what did you learn from it? Vincardog Aug 2012 #26
I learned a bit from it. NAPrinc Aug 2012 #28
But those taxes are spent within our economy. That is why they are not taken out of the economy. Motown_Johnny Aug 2012 #25
Why is the bank paying interest? NAPrinc Aug 2012 #29
The bank pays interest because they loan that money to others who pay more interest Motown_Johnny Aug 2012 #34
Some more information for you Motown_Johnny Aug 2012 #36
The math is very simple. hifiguy Aug 2012 #2
This needs to be explained? BeyondGeography Aug 2012 #3
A nation at war needs to tax accordingly. aquart Aug 2012 #27
So what's the incentive to work after $7 million? dkf Aug 2012 #31
Wave bye-bye. Let them be happy in Dubai. aquart Aug 2012 #32
Why did people stay when the top rate was above 90% under Eisenhower? Motown_Johnny Aug 2012 #35

PDJane

(10,103 posts)
1. I've never understood that Conservative bugaboo.
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 05:06 PM
Aug 2012

Taxes do not take money out of the economy, unless they aren't spent on things that matter to the average person. Taxes spent on infrastructure upgrades, on education, on universal health care, and on police and firefighters and ambulances, water services, etc. and so forth, put money into the economy, and even out the bumps for the average person.

Mind, it means you don't get to keep so much for yourself, but then.........what do you do with the money you get to keep, but indulge in unproductive pastimes?

 

NAPrinc

(17 posts)
4. So
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 05:43 PM
Aug 2012

If taxes dont take money from the economy where do they come from? Not to mention that most of the services you mention are not federally funded and ignore entitlements of all types.

Ruby the Liberal

(26,219 posts)
5. You don't know a think about the velocity of money, do you.
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:06 PM
Aug 2012

Its an Econ 101 concept.

Let me ask you this - what puts more money back into the economy as a multiplier - tax cuts or food stamps?

 

NAPrinc

(17 posts)
6. Since neither is a net positive it doesnt matter.
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:09 PM
Aug 2012

Again, that money came out of the economy. It was put back in in a less efficient manner.

Ruby the Liberal

(26,219 posts)
12. Like I thought.
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:16 PM
Aug 2012

That is what a multiplier is - the efficiency in which money is used in the market place.

Ie - for every dollar spent, what is the overall NET effect on the economy.

So, before I answer, I'll ask again - which is more efficient (the higher multiplier) - tax cuts or food stamps?

Ruby the Liberal

(26,219 posts)
18. Got a link for that?
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:22 PM
Aug 2012

Because every study I have ever seen has food stamps at ~$1.60 per $1 and taxes at $.54 per $1

Like this one:

Effective Stimulus: Food Stamps vs. Tax Cuts

Food stamps: $1.73
Extend unemployment benefits: $1.64
Infrastructure spending: $1.59
Aid to states: $1.36

In contrast:
Make dividend and capital
gains tax cuts permanent: $0.37
Corporate tax cuts: $0.30
Make Bush tax cuts permanent: $0.29

Data based on Moody’s Economy.com.
For more information, contact at the Institute for Public Accuracy:
Sam Husseini, (202) 347-0020; or David Zupan, (541) 484-9167

http://www.accuracy.org/release/1917-effective-stimulus-food-stamps-vs-tax-cuts/

Dozens more where that data came from - with similar results.

Can you produce ONE study saying both are >1 ?

Ruby the Liberal

(26,219 posts)
33. Econ 101, which I will post for the record
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 07:40 PM
Aug 2012

as your account rots in the DU dump pile.

For every $1 that is sent out in food stamps, $1.61 (est) goes back into the economy. That is the top multiplier. The bottom of the heap is tax cuts, where every $1 results in a fraction of a dollar ($0.30-$0.60) going back into the economy.

Ever heard the phrase, "living paycheck to paycheck"? Maybe that will help.

You see, those with nothing spend every dime on goods and services (food, rent, utilities). Those on the other end of the spectrum save and invest their money - which is not spending, therefore not going back into the economy. (Those in the middle do both).

So - the more you put into the 'spend' end, the more is spent, and the more you put into the 'save' end, the more is saved.

And this, dear departed friend - is why no one is hiring, but businesses are sitting on record amount of cash. It has nothing to do with giving them tax breaks (and even more cash) and everything to do with priming the pump to get them more customers to buy their goods and services so that they have a greater demand and therefore need more employees. It isn't rocket science.

Truly, this is so simple a 5 year old could explain it.

Vincardog

(20,234 posts)
7. Taxes that are recirculated into the productive economy STIMULATE the economy. At least
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:09 PM
Aug 2012

they did before the MANIC thrust for unbridled GLOBALISM syphoned the money to foreign producers in one cycle.
This helps explain why unemployment payments are the MOST STIMULATIVE form of spending.
Virtually every cent is spent into the local economy where it re-circulates to stimulate the economy.

By the way I am "entitled" to the SS and Medicare I paid into every check I received EVERY YEAR OF MY LIFE.
They are not Federally funded I paid for them with my own money.

 

NAPrinc

(17 posts)
9. That would be an excellent point.
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:12 PM
Aug 2012

If your money was sitting in some sort of account just waiting for you. Unfortunately it has been spent and must be taken from someone else in the future in order to pay you off. And again, if the money is taken out of the economy first it is then being inefficient;y put back in. Maybe unemployment bennies go back into economy, but they had to come out first.

Vincardog

(20,234 posts)
13. Are you trying to say that the billions of $ the rich have stolen from working people to "invest"
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:16 PM
Aug 2012

in the Caymans are of better use to the US economy earning Bain Capital more billions; than they would be
if they had been spent on pay and benefits to US citizens?

Please child be serious.

 

NAPrinc

(17 posts)
15. Why are those funds in the caymans?
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:18 PM
Aug 2012

And what definition do you use for stealing? I feel much more like a thief has been around at tax time than when I get my pay check. (except when I read the tax portion of said check)

Vincardog

(20,234 posts)
17. Why are those funds in the caymans? Ask Willard. I suspect they are there to avoid taxes.
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:21 PM
Aug 2012

You do realize taxes are the price we pay to live in a civilized country, don't you?

 

NAPrinc

(17 posts)
22. What do you mean by civilized?
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:27 PM
Aug 2012

Do you mean welfare is extortion because beneficiaries are criminals at heart? Do you mean every cent the govt spends in my name is required for a well maintained society? If not, dodging taxes will remain a worthwhile expense.

 

NAPrinc

(17 posts)
21. First, no
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:26 PM
Aug 2012

I should not be forced to pay taxes. Second, if you could argue that all my tax dollars were spent for my direct benefit then you would have a point. Since you can't, you have to justify stealing from me to fund your pet causes.

 

NAPrinc

(17 posts)
28. I learned a bit from it.
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:32 PM
Aug 2012

But not as much as I learned from many other book. If you want to argue the merits of the philosophy go ahead. The general questions are of no interest to me at this point in my life.

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
25. But those taxes are spent within our economy. That is why they are not taken out of the economy.
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:29 PM
Aug 2012


So even though you raise revenues through taxes you then spend those taxes on roads, bridges, teachers, firefighters etc etc etc. The money stays in the economy, it doesn't cease to exist.

Entitlements are the most effective economic stimulus spending of all. Those people spend their checks on things like food and clothing. We live in a consumer based economy and helping consumers consume is a good thing.


Giving money to people who hoard it so that they can collect interest, which is only taxed at 15%, is what takes money out of the economy. That money does continue to exist but it isn't being circulated through the economy.


That is what hurts our consumer based economy.

 

NAPrinc

(17 posts)
29. Why is the bank paying interest?
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:35 PM
Aug 2012

Seriously, you think it is more useful to take my money by force than to allow me to use it as I see fit? Maybe we should eliminate money and substitute labor and barter. Would it then be cool to sieze my "excess" property and time to help others? If not why not?

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
34. The bank pays interest because they loan that money to others who pay more interest
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 08:30 PM
Aug 2012

and they make their money within the difference between those two numbers (plus fees). That isn't the same as people who own gold or even stocks. That money is tied up and stays where it is.


I was pointing out that your basic idea that the money is taken out of the economy is simply wrong. Money collected through taxes are still part of the economy.


There is a point of diminishing returns but to some extent, yes I think it is more useful for the government to take your money and spend it than to allow you to use it all as you see fit.

You will not build a road or a bridge. There are some things we must do as a society and taxes are the way money is raised for the things society needs.


Eliminating money for barter is insane. The fact that you must go to this extreme to try to make a point indicates just how wrong you are on this.

Seizing your excess property to help others, to an extent.. yes. This is what we call property taxes and goes to things like schools. I am in favor of these things.

Income tax rates are near historic lows. Reagan screwed the pooch on this one. If he had just left things where they were we would have been fine. There was no debt problem until his failed economic policies came into play.











edit for typos

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
36. Some more information for you
Fri Aug 10, 2012, 06:31 AM
Aug 2012

Not posted until after I had posted.


http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021103351



http://finance.yahoo.com/news/fear-loathing-one-percent-165400847.html


^snip^

CNBC: The Rich Are Hoarding Cash -- and That's Not Good

The 2012 Survey of Affluence and Wealth in America, from American Express Publishing and Harrison Group, finds that One Percenters are hoarding three times as much cash as they were two years ago. Their savings rate soared to 34 percent in the second quarter of 2012, up from 12 percent in 2007.

Higher savings would normally be good for the economy. But not now, when capital is needed to invest in growth and jobs. The One Percenters put 56 percent of their available cash into savings accounts and money markets in 2012 - that's up from 24 percent in 2007.

They're investing just 44 percent in financial markets - down from 76 percent in 2007. More One Percenters say the stock market is "a real risk" rather than a "real opportunity." That's a big switch from just last year, when 62 percent said the market was an opportunity.

In other words, One Percenters used to save less, and invest more. Now they're "basically stuffing money under the mattress," said Jim Taylor, vice chairman of Harrison Group. That also means they're spending less - on everything from traditional luxury to second homes.



 

hifiguy

(33,688 posts)
2. The math is very simple.
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 05:07 PM
Aug 2012

End corporate welfare, scale back the MIC and tax the plutocrats at the same rates as Ike, Jfk, LBJ, or Nixon.

aquart

(69,014 posts)
27. A nation at war needs to tax accordingly.
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:31 PM
Aug 2012

85% from all sources after first seven million. If you cannot make do on $7 million, the gov't will appropriate funds for budget management pamphlets.

 

dkf

(37,305 posts)
31. So what's the incentive to work after $7 million?
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 07:15 PM
Aug 2012

And why would anyone do that here when they can move and make money year round?

aquart

(69,014 posts)
32. Wave bye-bye. Let them be happy in Dubai.
Thu Aug 9, 2012, 07:24 PM
Aug 2012

Your argument is laughably specious. They're not doing us a damn bit of good here so let them go. Swiss accounts are accessible from anywhere.

Or if they want to retire and let someone else earn $7 million, how is that bad for anyone?

Our rich are EXCESSIVELY rich. They are draining the wealth of this country like leeches. After a certain point, no incentive is wanted or necessary.

To save this nation, we require punitive taxation that will effectively cripple the billionaire parasites.

NO MAN SHOULD BE SO RICH HE HAS NOTHING LEFT TO BUY BUT HIS GOVERNMENT.

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
35. Why did people stay when the top rate was above 90% under Eisenhower?
Fri Aug 10, 2012, 06:26 AM
Aug 2012

Shouldn't everyone in that tax bracket have moved away?

Guess what, they didn't.


I don't really agree with the 85% statement made in the post you responded to but your point is not valid.
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