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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsUnexpected future boost of methane possible from Arctic permafrost
https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2018-08/nsfc-ufb081718.phpNew NASA-funded research has discovered that Arctic permafrost's expected gradual thawing and the associated release of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere may actually be sped up by instances of a relatively little known process called abrupt thawing. Abrupt thawing takes place under a certain type of Arctic lake, known as a thermokarst lake that forms as permafrost thaws.
The impact on the climate may mean an influx of permafrost-derived methane into the atmosphere in the mid-21st century, which is not currently accounted for in climate projections.
The impact on the climate may mean an influx of permafrost-derived methane into the atmosphere in the mid-21st century, which is not currently accounted for in climate projections.
Snip...
Using a combination of computer models and field measurements, Walter Anthony and an international team of U.S. and German researchers found that abrupt thawing more than doubles previous estimates of permafrost-derived greenhouse warming. They found that the abrupt thaw process increases the release of ancient carbon stored in the soil 125 to 190 percent compared to gradual thawing alone. What's more, they found that in future warming scenarios defined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, abrupt thawing was as important under the moderate reduction of emissions scenario as it was under the extreme business-as-usual scenario. This means that even in the scenario where humans reduced their global carbon emissions, large methane releases from abrupt thawing are still likely to occur.
That would be game, set, match by Mother Nature.
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Unexpected future boost of methane possible from Arctic permafrost (Original Post)
NickB79
Aug 2018
OP
Crutchez_CuiBono
(7,725 posts)1. Oh great. See mysterious(?) Siberian Ice Holes...
NickB79
(19,257 posts)2. Exactly.
Early signs of methane venting, with much more to come, given that the Siberian tundra was baking in the 90's this summer.
Crutchez_CuiBono
(7,725 posts)3. Not only methane,
but bacteria and possible viruses locked in the ice from millions of years ago.....resurfacing. Stuff that MAY have already killed off earth before and layed(?) dormant for so long...like an ice chest hurt locker...waiting to be aerosolized by a micro blast through the tundra, or melting et.al.
superpatriotman
(6,249 posts)4. Hello, Waterworld
Nt
dalton99a
(81,534 posts)5. Making things worse and worse
theophilus
(3,750 posts)6. I've been expecting it for years and I'm not that bright. Come'on America, dig your head out!
I really don't know where the Richie Rich bunch think they are gonna live. I guess they will engineer the deaths of a few billion poor folks and then try to cool off the planet a bit. It ain't gonna work Vladimir. Why take the chance? There is enough to go 'round.