General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWill President Trump's overconfidence hold down Republican turnout in this year's elections?
Trump's arrogance and the general stupidity of trump's supporters could help a blue wave https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2018/08/20/will-president-trumps-overconfidence-hold-down-republican-turnout-in-this-years-elections/?utm_term=.90fb957953b6
The presidents contempt for mainstream polling and the media may come back to haunt him in November. Several top Republican operatives working on the midterm elections told me Trumps fanciful red wave predictions could depress Republican turnout and, ironically, serve to make any blue wave even bigger.
What were hearing: One of those strategists told me hes detecting something interesting and concerning from focus groups of Trump voters. You have Trump-MAGA loyalists, and their friends on Fox, who have reached a point of not believing polls and media people telling them things are going wrong, that I believe is actually causing the Republicans problems, the strategist told me, granted anonymity in order to be candid. [ ]
Questionable outlier polls like Rasmussen that favor the president have lulled and reassured Trumps base. The president tweets out the polls, his media mouthpieces echo them, and his voters feel pacified and, several top strategists Ive interviewed fear, less motivated to show up in November.
dalton99a
(81,515 posts)and it's coming
Gothmog
(145,303 posts)Trump's arrogance about a red wave could backfire https://politicalwire.com/2018/08/19/how-trumps-red-wave-predictions-could-backfire/
One of those strategists told me hes detecting something interesting and concerning from focus groups of Trump voters.
Said the strategist: Weve seen it in focus groups, with Republican base voters, where youll come up with a hypothetical that the Democrats win, and people are like, Thats not going to happen, thats stupid. Theyre like, Oh, to hell with this crap, we were told Trump wasnt going to win. Its bullshit.'
He added: I would rather Sean Hannity get on TV every night and go, Oh my God, Nancy Pelosi could be Speaker and theyre going to impeach Trump. You better get out to vote.'
Bernardo de La Paz
(49,002 posts)Johonny
(20,851 posts)You're seeing older upper class Republicans walk away. People like George Will. Trump's hugely popular with those people that consider themselves Republican. But fewer and fewer people are calling themselves Republican. It's unclear how this new voting block of conservative independents will go, but elections to date seem to be that they lean anti-Trump.