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Gothmog

(145,242 posts) Thu Aug 23, 2018, 08:45 PM Aug 2018

Sabato has made 12 ratings changes; 10 in favor of Democrats, two in favor of Republicans.

This is overall good news http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/2018-house-update-12-ratings-changes/

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Don Young (R, AK-AL) Safe Republican Likely Republican
Duncan Hunter (R, CA-50) Safe Republican Leans Republican
Karen Handel (R, GA-6) Leans Republican Likely Republican
Rodney Davis (R, IL-13) Likely Republican Leans Republican
Randy Hultgren (R, IL-14) Likely Republican Leans Republican
NC-9 Open (Pittenger, R) Toss-up Leans Democratic
Tom MacArthur (R, NJ-3) Leans Republican Toss-up
Dave Joyce (R, OH-14) Likely Republican Leans Republican
TX-2 Open (Poe, R) Safe Republican Likely Republican
Pete Olson (R, TX-22) Safe Republican Likely Republican
Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R, WA-5) Toss-up Leans Republican
WA-8 Open (Reichert, R) Toss-up Leans Democrati
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Sabato has made 12 ratings changes; 10 in favor of Democrats, two in favor of Republicans. (Original Post) Gothmog Aug 2018 OP
Damn...Handel and Rodgers are both disgusting....wish they'd both lose. Funtatlaguy Aug 2018 #1
On related note, 538 detailed where it differs from other House forecasts Awsi Dooger Aug 2018 #2
Democratic momentum is spreading across Texas Gothmog Aug 2018 #3
 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
2. On related note, 538 detailed where it differs from other House forecasts
Reply to Gothmog (Original post)
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 09:06 PM
Aug 2018

Mostly positive, some solid blue favoritism in seats listed toss-up or lean elsewhere. But there are four districts considered very competitive elsewhere with the 538 model giving the Democrat 11% chance or less:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-here-are-25-districts-where-our-model-and-other-experts-disagree/

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