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louis c

(8,652 posts) Sat Sep 1, 2018, 09:39 PM Sep 2018

New Poll Shows Trump Tanking Among Surburban Women

<snip>President Trump has a woman problem - and it has nothing to do with Stormy Daniels or Omarosa. Female opposition to Trump - especially in swing suburban districts - could cost Republicans control of the House of Representatives on Election Day this November.

According to a recent NPR/PBS/Marist poll, nearly six in 10 suburban women strongly disapprove of the president's job performance. More than two-thirds somewhat or strongly disapprove compared to just one-quarter who approve. In contrast, roughly 50 percent of suburban men - twice as many - approve of President Trump.

By a two-to-one margin, suburban women are more likely to vote for the Democratic candidate this fall. And women tend to outvote men.<snip>

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trumps-woman-problem-may-cost-the-gop-the-house/ar-BBMJUBE?li=BBnb7Kz&ocid=DELLDHP17

6 replies

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New Poll Shows Trump Tanking Among Surburban Women (Original Post) louis c Sep 2018 OP

Cool. Now how about support among wellst0nev0ter Sep 2018 #1

Male whites are sticking with him. WTF is wrong with this picture? bettyellen Sep 2018 #2

Promising switch from 2016 but there's a catch Awsi Dooger Sep 2018 #3

That's who they're talking about. brush Sep 2018 #5

How any woman of any age could possibly support or vote for Trump is totally beyond me Rhiannon12866 Sep 2018 #4

K&R Scurrilous Sep 2018 #6

wellst0nev0ter

(7,509 posts)

1. Cool. Now how about support among

Reply to louis c (Original post)

Sat Sep 1, 2018, 09:56 PM

Sep 2018

Actual female whites?

bettyellen

(47,209 posts)

2. Male whites are sticking with him. WTF is wrong with this picture?

Reply to wellst0nev0ter (Reply #1)

Sat Sep 1, 2018, 10:51 PM

Sep 2018

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

3. Promising switch from 2016 but there's a catch

Reply to wellst0nev0ter (Reply #1)

Sat Sep 1, 2018, 11:20 PM

Sep 2018

White females currently disapprove of Trump 52-45. Decisive split based on age. 50+ narrowly approve while younger than 50 sharply disapprove:

https://www.civiqs.com/results/approve_president_trump?annotations=true&net=false&uncertainty=true&gender=Female&race=White

In 2016 when white women voted for Trump 52-43

https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls

Of course, it's not a perfect comparison because that exit poll only broke down by category while asking who you voted for. Although Trump won the white female vote 52-43 in 2016 his overall approval rating was a dismal 38% with 60% disapprove. So many white women who disapproved of Trump obviously still preferred him over Hillary, and voted for Trump. According to that exit poll, 15% of voters who disapproved of Trump voted for him, while 8% who had an unfavorable opinion of Hillary voted for her.

This is an example of an article that compares the two situations while ignoring that dismal 38% overall approval for Trump in the 2016 exit poll:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2018/01/22/white-women-helped-elect-trump-now-hes-losing-their-support/?utm_term=.e175b3ee8990

Without Trump on the ballot in November we can expect some of those white women who might reluctantly vote for Trump despite not approving of him, to either stay home or vote Democratic.