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Ilsa

(61,695 posts)
Sat Sep 1, 2018, 10:29 PM Sep 2018

Momentum gathering around some kind of US military action in Venezuela?


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Momentum gathering around some kind of US military action in Venezuela: Rubio, as well as some in DC bureaucracy openly discussing now. A friend with high-level DC contacts told me recently “I’m afraid they’re gonna do something crazy.”

Geoff Ramsey@GRamsey_LatAm

Marco Rubio says there is a “very strong” argument to be made for considering a military option in #Venezuela. That’s a terrible idea. https://www.infobae.com/america/venezuela/2018/08/30/marco-rubio-no-descarto-la-opcion-militar-de-eeuu-en-venezuela-las-circunstancias-han-cambiado/ …

7:38 AM - Aug 31, 2018

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From Malcolm Nance:


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WARNING. This is exactly what we have been waiting for from a cornered, corrupt #DonaldTrump. He will attempt to use irrationally focused military force against an imaginary enemy to keep power as his end is coming. It would be unlawful and corrupt. #ResistAtAllCosts
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Momentum gathering around some kind of US military action in Venezuela? (Original Post) Ilsa Sep 2018 OP
how would it be anything other than a war of aggression, in violation of international law? unblock Sep 2018 #1
I don't think he cares if it is illegal or Ilsa Sep 2018 #2
OH HELL NO!!!! john657 Sep 2018 #3
I'm hoping it is rumor-mongering, Ilsa Sep 2018 #4
Yeah, look like Trump is ready to step into another El Salvador, or Nicaguara. nt Blue_true Sep 2018 #13
Venezuela Has OIL Dirty Socialist Sep 2018 #5
I know, I know. Makes them a potential target. Ilsa Sep 2018 #6
And??? former9thward Sep 2018 #7
The USA is not a net exporter of petroleum, far from it ... mr_lebowski Sep 2018 #8
Ok, here are the figures. former9thward Sep 2018 #9
We'll see if that 60% drop year over year happens ... that'd be unprecedented and sounds like BS mr_lebowski Sep 2018 #12
Heal thyself malaise Sep 2018 #10
Wait, aren't we suppose to have a nuclear war with N Korea 1st? Alea Sep 2018 #11

unblock

(52,253 posts)
1. how would it be anything other than a war of aggression, in violation of international law?
Sat Sep 1, 2018, 10:35 PM
Sep 2018

of, right, donnie would proudly say that's exactly what it was and to hell with the united nations....

Ilsa

(61,695 posts)
2. I don't think he cares if it is illegal or
Sat Sep 1, 2018, 10:39 PM
Sep 2018

Creates other international problems for the US.

I would hope that his Cabinet and the Joint Chiefs would set him straight.

 

john657

(1,058 posts)
3. OH HELL NO!!!!
Sat Sep 1, 2018, 10:49 PM
Sep 2018

Venezuela is a shithole run by a despotic asshole and his corrupt minions, (sound familiar?) but this is a problem Venezuelans need to solve without any outside military intervention.


This kind of shit would unite the country and give that asshole Maduro, even more power.
When the fuck will we ever learn?

Ilsa

(61,695 posts)
6. I know, I know. Makes them a potential target.
Sat Sep 1, 2018, 10:54 PM
Sep 2018

Remember what IQ45 said about Iraq? "We should have taken their oil as spoils of war."

 

mr_lebowski

(33,643 posts)
8. The USA is not a net exporter of petroleum, far from it ...
Sun Sep 2, 2018, 04:13 AM
Sep 2018

I don't know where people are getting this idea (no offense) ... but it's not even close to true ...

We've gone from importing just over 50% to importing just under 30% last I checked, which was recently.

former9thward

(32,023 posts)
9. Ok, here are the figures.
Sun Sep 2, 2018, 03:46 PM
Sep 2018

In the fourth quarter of 2017, the U.S. exported roughly 7 million barrels of petroleum per day. The largest markets for U.S. petroleum exports are Mexico and Canada, but the U.S. exports petroleum to 180 countries.

The recent increase in domestic oil production, especially since 2010, has had a significant impact on U.S. petroleum imports and exports. From 2005 to 2015, the United States’ reliance on petroleum imports fell from 60% to 25% of total consumption, while exports increased by over 300%. Since 2015, imports and exports have both increased slightly, although imports have been slightly lower since mid-2017. The Energy Information Administration projects that U.S. import reliance for oil will continue to fall over the coming decade.

https://www.americangeosciences.org/critical-issues/faq/how-much-oil-does-us-export-and-import

U.S. NET OIL IMPORTS are projected to drop by nearly 60 percent next year compared to 2017, falling to their lowest levels since 1958, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said Tuesday in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook.

"That certainly is eye-popping," says Patrick DeHaan, head of petroleum analysis for GasBuddy.

Net imports are expected to fall from an average of 3.7 million barrels per day last year to 2.4 million bpd this year and 1.6 million bpd next year – "a pretty staggering number," he says.

https://www.usnews.com/news/national-news/articles/2018-07-10/eia-us-net-oil-imports-to-drop-to-lowest-levels-in-60-years

So technically you are right but we are NOT dependent or need oil from Valenzuela. The idea we would invade for oil is ridiculous.

 

mr_lebowski

(33,643 posts)
12. We'll see if that 60% drop year over year happens ... that'd be unprecedented and sounds like BS
Sun Sep 2, 2018, 07:21 PM
Sep 2018

Exactly the sort that the Trump admin would make up ...

Anyways, meanwhile ... oil is a valuable, fungible commodity, do we not agree on that? It's basically CASH, just sitting there. Yeah?

To me, it's ridiculous to think that rapacious US-based (or even international ones with the power to leverage our military) interests would NOT attempt to requisition one of the biggest oil reserves on the planet REGARDLESS of the USA's INTERNAL NEED for this resource.

Your logic seems to be based on thinking all corporations that might have influence over our Military ... only care about the US petroleum supply ... but I really don't think that's the case.

The whole world needs oil, and Venezuela is a vastly-compromised society, sitting on trillions of dollars worth. Kinda like Iraq, only they're even EASIER pickings. They're just across the Gulf of Mexico, not half-way across the world. And they ain't even remotely armed like Saddam was ...

On top of THAT? US Gulf Coast Refineries are among the only ones in the world with the tech in place to convert Venezuelan Sour Crude ... into something actually useful.

Think about it ... and remember this is Trump we're talking about ... if military action DID happen ... what would you postulate WAS the reason? Terra-ists?

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