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cabot

(724 posts)
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 01:46 PM Sep 2018

Supreme Court question

Congress, I believe, can increase the size of the Supreme Court. If they win control of both houses in 2020, what would stop them from increasing the number of justices to 11 and appoint two progressives who will nullify the illegitimate ones "IT" appointed?

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Supreme Court question (Original Post) cabot Sep 2018 OP
Politics would stop them. onenote Sep 2018 #1
FDRs court packing plan sort of worked marylandblue Sep 2018 #4
His court packing plan didn't cause the change in the court's rulings onenote Sep 2018 #13
Read my post carefully, I didn't say the plan caused the vote switch marylandblue Sep 2018 #18
Yes. He got what he wanted notwithstanding the court packing plan onenote Sep 2018 #19
Depends on what they roll back. marylandblue Sep 2018 #22
Part two of your response I agree with but part one, politics? Eliot Rosewater Sep 2018 #5
Politics in the sense that a whole lot of Senators won't want to tackle it onenote Sep 2018 #14
I know, but what we no longer have due only to GOP is decency, fairness, rules, etc. Eliot Rosewater Sep 2018 #15
All of that being true doesn't change how a politician thinks and votes onenote Sep 2018 #17
the filibuster is part of the reason republicans haven't done it. unblock Sep 2018 #7
The president would have to sign the bill. hedda_foil Sep 2018 #2
it's possible, but politically difficult. unblock Sep 2018 #3
Filibuster is unlikely to survive a Democratic Senate marylandblue Sep 2018 #10
Nothing. But FDR had supermajorities in both houses and could not get it done. NYC Liberal Sep 2018 #6
Thanks for the responses cabot Sep 2018 #8
How many voters do imagine are thinking of Gorsuch or Kavanaugh as illegitimate? brooklynite Sep 2018 #21
You would have to determine if it's worth the political cost Lee-Lee Sep 2018 #9
I was thinking beyond that genxlib Sep 2018 #11
It's possible, but I don't think it's very wise. Calista241 Sep 2018 #12
I actually think the court could use more people genxlib Sep 2018 #16
...and what would stop the next Republican Congress from doing the same? brooklynite Sep 2018 #20
Well, for one thing . . . MichMary Sep 2018 #23

onenote

(42,715 posts)
1. Politics would stop them.
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 01:49 PM
Sep 2018

While the size of the court isn't mandated by the Constitution and, in fact, changed several times in the country's first 80 or 90 years, it has been 9 for 150 years. FDR tried to change it with his "court packing" plan and it blew up in his face. With that track record, the likelihood of a majority in the House or Senate supporting a bill to increase the size of the court is approximately zero. It's also the reason why the Republicans haven't tried to increase it while they controlled the WH, House and Senate.

One other hurdle: Getting the legislation through the Senate would require overcoming a repub filibuster. The Democrats could kill the filibuster (it's already dead for executive and judicial appointments), but that's another step that might not get the requisite support within the Democratic caucus.

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
4. FDRs court packing plan sort of worked
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 01:53 PM
Sep 2018

He wanted to pack it to get his New Deal agenda approved. His packing plan failed, but the Court reversed itself on the New Deal because of the 1936 election. So he lost the battle but won the war.

#GOTV

onenote

(42,715 posts)
13. His court packing plan didn't cause the change in the court's rulings
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 02:17 PM
Sep 2018

That notion has been debunked over the years as information (including documentation) regarding the court's deliberations has come out. The supposed "switch in time that saved nine" -- Justice Owen Roberts' vote in the Parrish case -- actually occurred before the court packing plan was unveiled. Moreover, the plan never had widespread public support and was ultimately torpedoed when a couple of months later Justice Devanter announced his retirement, giving FDR his first opportunity to name a Supreme Court justice. Despite the fact that the Senate had 74 Democrats at the time, the plan was killed by a 70-20 vote. While hardly the only reason, the controversy surrounding the proposal didn't help FDR and the Democrats, who took a shellacking in the 1938 midterms.

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
18. Read my post carefully, I didn't say the plan caused the vote switch
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 02:27 PM
Sep 2018

I said FDR got what he wanted. Which is something that could happen again in 2020 or after if Democrats win a convincing majority. Also, I suspect this time around would be different. If a conservative court rolls back 80 years of legal precedent, the democratic base will support all possible means to prevent that. And the next few elections will be base elections, so the base will be in the driver seat.

onenote

(42,715 posts)
19. Yes. He got what he wanted notwithstanding the court packing plan
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 02:34 PM
Sep 2018

So how does that build the case for a new court packing plan? Will a majority of Democratic Senators be willing to take on a proposal that will undoubtedly become a major rallying cry for their opponents while probably not firing up independents in support? I doubt it.

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
22. Depends on what they roll back.
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 03:08 PM
Sep 2018

If they roll back popular programs, the court will face a giant backlash and the consequences are difficult to predict.

The closest precedent would be the Dred Scott decision. The potential implication of the decision was not just that Southern states could allow slavery, but also Northern states could not prohibit it. Ending the compromise that created the Constitution and had been delicately maintained ever since, this galvanized abolitionist more than ever and forced the nation to finally confront the issue.

Eliot Rosewater

(31,112 posts)
5. Part two of your response I agree with but part one, politics?
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 01:53 PM
Sep 2018

We dont have politics anymore.

We have an actual russian asset, traitor criminal fascist prick in the WH.

Politics aint what it used to be

onenote

(42,715 posts)
14. Politics in the sense that a whole lot of Senators won't want to tackle it
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 02:18 PM
Sep 2018

given its history as a pretty unpopular proposal even when put forward by a massively popular president.

Eliot Rosewater

(31,112 posts)
15. I know, but what we no longer have due only to GOP is decency, fairness, rules, etc.
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 02:21 PM
Sep 2018

Our country is permanently damaged beyond the point of return, we cant get it back even if we save it.

We wont be the same, ever.

All because "she gave a speech once"

onenote

(42,715 posts)
17. All of that being true doesn't change how a politician thinks and votes
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 02:24 PM
Sep 2018

A politician's first instinct is survival and if they don't think voting for a court packing measure will be popular with constituents or will give their opponents something to rally around, they aren't going to go there.

unblock

(52,264 posts)
7. the filibuster is part of the reason republicans haven't done it.
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 01:54 PM
Sep 2018

the other is that they would then have to get nearly all their caucus to agree, which is a tall order even for republicans.

i have no doubt that they would pack the court if they had enough votes in their caucus to do it.

unblock

(52,264 posts)
3. it's possible, but politically difficult.
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 01:52 PM
Sep 2018

congress could pass a law, and the president would have to sign it, so obviously we wouldn't want to do that until we had both houses of congress and the presidency.

ideally we would have 60 senators to overcome the inevitable filibuster, though we could always go nuclear on it (though keep in mind what little is left of the filibuster power is the only remaining claim to power we hold at the moment; getting rid of it could later bite us).

fdr tried early on this but even with his high levels of popularity he got too much pushback. if he couldn't get it done, that says a lot.


that said, i totally agree that adding two more liberal seats would right a major wrong....

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
10. Filibuster is unlikely to survive a Democratic Senate
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 01:56 PM
Sep 2018

Only thing keeping alive is Mitch McConnell who knows he may need it someday. But if he uses it to obstruct a Democratic congress, they will take it away and point to Trump's own words to justify it.

NYC Liberal

(20,136 posts)
6. Nothing. But FDR had supermajorities in both houses and could not get it done.
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 01:54 PM
Sep 2018

It’s extremely unlikely to happen. Because if it were actually feasible then the Republicans would have already done it themselves.

cabot

(724 posts)
8. Thanks for the responses
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 01:55 PM
Sep 2018

I'm a gambler...I'd roll the dice. If it is framed as "the two are illegitimate" maybe there wouldn't be too much outrage. But I can understand those who might oppose it. Plus, I'm sure the opposition would try to add two justices...and it would just go on and on until everyone and their grandmothers are on the USSC.

brooklynite

(94,624 posts)
21. How many voters do imagine are thinking of Gorsuch or Kavanaugh as illegitimate?
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 02:39 PM
Sep 2018

I'm guessing almost none.

 

Lee-Lee

(6,324 posts)
9. You would have to determine if it's worth the political cost
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 01:55 PM
Sep 2018

If either party tried that and did it you can almost be assured they would lose that control of one or both houses of Congress the next election cycle.

Now, might that be worth the cost? Use up your new majority but stave off possibly decades of bad rulings by the court?

I think it may be. But convincing a bunch of members of Congress it’s worth the cost to them of losing the job may be a hard sell.

genxlib

(5,528 posts)
11. I was thinking beyond that
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 02:05 PM
Sep 2018

It would start an arms race. What's to keep the next majority from increasing again to get their guys in charge. In 50 years we could have 50 people of the court. That would be fun.

Calista241

(5,586 posts)
12. It's possible, but I don't think it's very wise.
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 02:05 PM
Sep 2018

As others have mentioned, they'd have to pass a bill through both the House and the Senate, and then have the President sign it.

And getting it through the Senate specifically will be extraordinarily difficult. They'll likely have to go nuclear again on legislation, and I think both parties have changed the rules as much as they are going to.

Even then, there's nothing to stop the Republicans from expanding the court again whenever they are next in power.

Ultimately, we're talking about diminishing the power of the judiciary by changing it to fit the needs of whatever party happens to be in power at the time. I would rather live with the Supreme Court pissing me off a couple times a year, rather than legislating the court into irrelevance. We'd have no checks on legislative or executive power at that point.

I can also imagine the consequences of court expansion after court expansion being the states start to push for a constitutional convention, to fix the court. But a Constitutional Convention is a SUPER high risk activity for either party, and our country as a whole.

genxlib

(5,528 posts)
16. I actually think the court could use more people
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 02:23 PM
Sep 2018

Regardless of party or the will to stack it, it feels too small right now. More people would really lower emphases of each member and make new members less politically relevant.

I imagine that replacing 1 out of 19 would be less problematic than replacing 1 of 9.

As it stands right now, it is a pure crap shoot as to who happens to be in power when someone retires or passes. Having more would make the replacement schedule more random.

MichMary

(1,714 posts)
23. Well, for one thing . . .
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 04:16 PM
Sep 2018

fear of what would happen in 2022.

Packing the Court didn't work out so well for FDR, who lost a massive number of seat in the next midterm.

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