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berni_mccoy

(23,018 posts)
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 10:23 AM Aug 2012

According to Nate Silver (538.com), Ryan has an Extremely Low Impact on Romney's Electability

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/08/08/how-romneys-pick-of-a-running-mate-could-sway-the-outcome/

- Ryan has lowest net-positive home-state favorability and lowest positive impact on winning Ryan's home state.
- Ryan has second lowest positive impact on overall potential electoral gains

Excerpt on Ryan:

Another of Mr. Romney’s potential choices, Representative Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, drew more mixed reactions. Although Mr. Ryan should win his home district, pollsters who tested his numbers throughout Wisconsin found more tenuous results, with 38 percent of voters giving him a positive rating and 33 percent a negative one.


In other words, Ryan does not help Romney win the election and does little to impact the current models and projections.
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boxman15

(1,033 posts)
1. I cannot understand this pick.
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 10:26 AM
Aug 2012

It doesn't give him much of a boost in the short term at all. We might see a very slight bump for Romney at first, but even that might be too much.

In the long run, this is very, very dangerous for the Romney campaign. We could very well see an Obama landslide now.

 

Panasonic

(2,921 posts)
10. Hopefully by November 5th... the Koch brothers and Adelman has to declare bankruptcy
Sat Sep 1, 2012, 11:58 PM
Sep 2012

and begin liquidation proceedings to pay off massive amount of creditors because they leveraged to the hilt to try to elect a moron that doesn't know shit about real Americans.

The creditors wants their money right now, and there is no waiting period. It's either pay up or quit.


Indictments are on the way for these scumbags too.

roguevalley

(40,656 posts)
7. he was forced which is why he said he'll do his own budget. He has to take the little boob
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 11:02 PM
Aug 2012

but he knows its suicide. hence his backpedaling.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
8. He is clearly not a game changer.
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 11:07 PM
Aug 2012

He's a boring intellectual obsessed with taxes and budgets. When he talks most peoples eyes will glaze over. He also a white guy so that doesnt help Romney with his woman/minority problem.

yardwork

(61,703 posts)
6. The Koch brothers think that they can buy this election.
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 10:43 AM
Aug 2012

I believe that we are watching an attempt at a coup. The Koch brothers will throw millions in PAC money at this election. They will attempt to buy corruption at the state level to throw elections through voter suppression and outright fraud. The Koch brothers think that they can buy this election.

David Hoag

(1 post)
9. I think Romney is trying to lose this election (seriously)
Sat Sep 1, 2012, 09:10 PM
Sep 2012

At the time of the Republican primaries, Romney had a lot going for him -- at least, more than his primary opponents were able to tear him down for.

But the subject of his taxes prior to 2010 became something that he thought would lose the election for him, so he decided to lose the election for a reason that would save him more face - he chose THE ARCHITECT OF AMERICA's DOOM as his running mate. This ARCHITECT isn't so blatant that he'll be immediately laughed off the stage, but he's as dangerous as Himmler.
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