General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsIs it possible? (about the hurricane)
That the hurricane is so huge that its expansiveness slows down its wind speed?
But, that would make it very unpredictable and its wind strength could pick up at any time?
It still seems like a very dangerous storm to me.
Everyone should take caution.
True Dough
(17,306 posts)it's about to dump an incredible volume of rain all over the Carolinas. Flooding is probably the biggest concern. And the slower it moves, the worse off people will be.
leftyladyfrommo
(18,868 posts)I cannot even imagine 40 inches of rain.
kysrsoze
(6,022 posts)Xipe Totec
(43,890 posts)By far, the most serious threat from a tropical cyclone to Texas residents is flooding.
And the worst thing about it is that the weaker the system is, the more efficient it is at producing heavy rains and catastrophic flooding. Claudette (1979), Allison (both 2001 and 1989), and Charley (1998) stand out as recent examples of this fact. Amelia (1978) showed that a system can meander around the state for over a week , creating a headache for residents anywhere between the High Plains and Coastal Plain. This proves the point that any system, no matter what strength, can create major problems for Texas.
https://www.weather.gov/media/lch/events/txhurricanehistory.pdf
shraby
(21,946 posts)that could increase it's intensity.
ffr
(22,670 posts)The fact that storms tend to weaken as they move over relatively cooler water, then dissipate once over land is consistent with what we're witnessing with hurricane Florence.
Track the storms atmospheric pressure, which has gone up from 943mb yesterday to 955mb today. That's still very low and consistent for a hurricane type phenomenon. That pressure should continue to rise as the storm makes landfall and its source of warm ocean moisture is cut off.
I would not expect the hurricane's wind speeds to increase as it ventures closer towards the coast and inland.
world wide wally
(21,744 posts)ffr
(22,670 posts)decreased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Little
change in strength is expected before the eye of Florence reaches
the coast, with slow weakening expected after the center moves
inland or meanders near the coast.
<snip>
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the
potential to reach the following heights above ground...
Cape Fear NC to Cape Lookout NC...7-11 ft, with locally higher
amounts in the Neuse, Pamlico, Pungo, and Bay Rivers
Cape Lookout NC to Ocracoke Inlet NC...6-9 ft
South Santee River SC to Cape Fear NC...4-6 ft
Ocracoke Inlet NC to Salvo NC...4-6 ft
Salvo NC to North Carolina/Virginia Border...2-4 ft
Edisto Beach SC to South Santee River SC...2-4 ft - NAOO
The fact that the wind speeds have subsided slightly is a good sign, but still damaging. And the fact that the storm's low pressure remains, is probably aggravated by the relatively warmer than historic ocean surface temperatures.