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Prediction (Original Post) malaise Sep 2018 OP
I was skeptical... Adrahil Sep 2018 #1
If #metoo applies to all but ReTHUGs malaise Sep 2018 #4
A Rethuglican? Integrity? Okay, that was funny!! InAbLuEsTaTe Sep 2018 #78
Yep! nevergiveup Sep 2018 #2
If I were Kavanaugh I'd be just as worried about being grilled by malaise Sep 2018 #3
Mazie Hirono has that "look"... MontanaMama Sep 2018 #26
Mazie Hirono is a force of nature! FM123 Sep 2018 #28
Once we flip the Senate, that's exactly what we should do! lagomorph777 Sep 2018 #38
Nah. He just says repeatedly...I don't remember any such party... Honeycombe8 Sep 2018 #69
Kamala Harris reminds me of my mother... HipChick Sep 2018 #15
She's got that "mother" look leftynyc Sep 2018 #19
Christine Teigen's tweet cracked me up: JHan Sep 2018 #51
Lmao!... HipChick Sep 2018 #52
Bwaaaaaaaah malaise Sep 2018 #71
To me, it comes down to ScratchCat Sep 2018 #5
Kavanaugh's problem is that Dr Christine Ford is a soft-spoken professional malaise Sep 2018 #6
I don't think it will matter ScratchCat Sep 2018 #12
If she holds up in public, others will come forward. haele Sep 2018 #16
Bratty Kavanaugh goes into this as a proven perjurer. lagomorph777 Sep 2018 #39
just to be clear, Trump will nominate someone as conservative or worse... brooklynite Sep 2018 #7
Better long odds than nothing malaise Sep 2018 #8
Even if they lose the Senate in the midterms they still have the lame duck session ooky Sep 2018 #14
Yeah, but should we all just give up fighting against these nominations? lunatica Sep 2018 #21
Republicans will always go lower, no matter what Democrats do dalton99a Sep 2018 #22
So what are you suggesting? lunatica Sep 2018 #23
We have to fight no matter what dalton99a Sep 2018 #25
No, of course not. Dems should resist ooky Sep 2018 #60
I agree. Cracklin Charlie Sep 2018 #9
"Everything Trump touches dies." Totally Tunsie Sep 2018 #40
I tend to agree, but I'd like another even mini bombshell. I've only JUST heard a journo ask OnDoutside Sep 2018 #10
Yes yes yes! malaise Sep 2018 #11
And if he passes it ScratchCat Sep 2018 #13
Exactly!!! john657 Sep 2018 #17
Also exactly. NoSmoke Sep 2018 #34
You nailed it.N/T. john657 Sep 2018 #35
You cannot force someone to take a poly against their will, john657 Sep 2018 #18
I would bet he's already taken one to see if he would pass. OnDoutside Sep 2018 #20
Hmmmm. john657 Sep 2018 #29
I think more allegations would sink him BannonsLiver Sep 2018 #24
If he get replaced, is there time mainstreetonce Sep 2018 #27
I'll hold off until the stake is driven and sunlight floods the coffin. VOX Sep 2018 #30
Valid fear malaise Sep 2018 #32
Thanks for the validation... VOX Sep 2018 #33
LOL malaise Sep 2018 #47
In retrospect, did any think JenniferJuniper Sep 2018 #31
Alleged sex offender, john657 Sep 2018 #36
Really? malaise Sep 2018 #41
I stand by my post, in this country, there is a presumption of innocence, john657 Sep 2018 #45
You are not correct. JenniferJuniper Sep 2018 #46
So far, it's just an allegation, john657 Sep 2018 #48
Once again, not a criminal trial JenniferJuniper Sep 2018 #49
I don't give a damn if it's not a criminal trial, john657 Sep 2018 #50
You should give a damn JenniferJuniper Sep 2018 #55
He's being accused of a very serious crime, john657 Sep 2018 #56
He is not being charged with a crime JenniferJuniper Sep 2018 #57
Being accused of sexual assault is not a criminal issue? john657 Sep 2018 #58
He is not being charged with a crime JenniferJuniper Sep 2018 #59
No one has suggested he not face his accuser lunatica Sep 2018 #62
I totally agree with you. john657 Sep 2018 #65
This is not a court... Demsrule86 Sep 2018 #66
Really? john657 Sep 2018 #67
I stand by mine...we are looking at whether someone is fit to serve in a lifetime Demsrule86 Sep 2018 #79
I don't think he is either, john657 Sep 2018 #80
We agree on that in any case. Demsrule86 Sep 2018 #81
I'm not a journalist - JenniferJuniper Sep 2018 #42
+1,000 n/t malaise Sep 2018 #53
#45 just saw a shiny get-out-of-jail-free object, and went all-in. VOX Sep 2018 #37
The forged "support" letter coming out shows me the wheels are off this one Recursion Sep 2018 #43
Damn these folks are evil malaise Sep 2018 #44
So if a teen girl gets raped she must have the baby torius Sep 2018 #54
Unless there's corraboration or other women come forward with similiar, I think he gets confirmed Kaleva Sep 2018 #61
Her therapist's notes are corroboration. lunatica Sep 2018 #63
I don't think that qualifies as corroboration. Kaleva Sep 2018 #64
Actually the fact she told her story to anyone years ago lunatica Sep 2018 #68
This isn't a legal case. So it's not corroboration, if Senators say it's not. Honeycombe8 Sep 2018 #70
I think the case can be made for therapy notes to carry weight lunatica Sep 2018 #74
That case can be made. And the opposite case can be made. Honeycombe8 Sep 2018 #77
It is my understanding that the notes do not mention Kavanugh by name. Kaleva Sep 2018 #73
Yeah. There's a lot of speculation flying around now. lunatica Sep 2018 #75
My arguement is that there has to be enough presented to convince at least 2 Repubs to vote no Kaleva Sep 2018 #76
I don't know. But wouldn't make a bet on it either way. nt Honeycombe8 Sep 2018 #72
I think he's going down malaise Sep 2018 #82
define soon? onenote Sep 2018 #83
 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
1. I was skeptical...
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 09:51 AM
Sep 2018

But to quote Galadriel (Treebeard says it in the book)... "The world is changed. I feel it in the water. I feel it in the earth. I smell it in the air."

It does seem like something is different here.

But I can't escape the feeling that the posturing of someone like Flake is just that.... posturing. I hope he has a found a core of integrity, but we'll see.

malaise

(269,022 posts)
4. If #metoo applies to all but ReTHUGs
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 09:59 AM
Sep 2018

I think they are in for a surprise here because he is a proven liar.

nevergiveup

(4,762 posts)
2. Yep!
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 09:51 AM
Sep 2018

He will resign by the weekend. No way is he is going to want to be confronted by Kamala Harris at the hearing on Monday.

MontanaMama

(23,319 posts)
26. Mazie Hirono has that "look"...
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 02:03 PM
Sep 2018

the one that makes her seem like a kindly older lady but right behind that look is a badass woman ready to tear you a new one!

FM123

(10,053 posts)
28. Mazie Hirono is a force of nature!
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 02:20 PM
Sep 2018

She recently said that the Democrats could keep retired Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy's seat vacant for two years if need be should the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to replace him fail and should Democrats take the Senate in November.

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
69. Nah. He just says repeatedly...I don't remember any such party...
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 07:24 PM
Sep 2018

and I certainly didn't do any such thing.

There's nothing to grill him about. There are no details because he says he wasn't at the party or doesn't remember the party, and didn't do it.

SHE is the one who will be raked over the coals, poor woman.

HipChick

(25,485 posts)
15. Kamala Harris reminds me of my mother...
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 11:12 AM
Sep 2018

After a grilling, I just used to fold, as she always knew when I was lying

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
19. She's got that "mother" look
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 11:23 AM
Sep 2018

The one that says "don't even consider lying to me". That's one tough woman.

ScratchCat

(1,990 posts)
5. To me, it comes down to
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 10:16 AM
Sep 2018

whether there is anyone else that will testify or give a statement that BK was in a room at a party with Mrs Ford. If there is, he withdraws. If there isn't, he sticks to the story "I wasn't there. I'm sorry, but Mrs Ford has confused me with someone else" and he is confirmed. There's really nothing else the Senate can do.

malaise

(269,022 posts)
6. Kavanaugh's problem is that Dr Christine Ford is a soft-spoken professional
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 10:22 AM
Sep 2018

who has way more credibility.
One more thing that should not matter but does - she is good looking and blonde. And another that does - she is just as preppie as the scumbag Kavanaugh and she's a trained psychologist. She will be no pushover.

ScratchCat

(1,990 posts)
12. I don't think it will matter
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 10:57 AM
Sep 2018

If nobody can place him there, considering all other factors - he sticks to the "she's simply mistaken" story, there's nothing they can do but confirm him.

Hopefully, there are more damning stories that come out between now and next Monday which will for him to withdraw.

haele

(12,659 posts)
16. If she holds up in public, others will come forward.
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 11:15 AM
Sep 2018

Strength in numbers. They've already found potential issues with the Judge he used to clerk for - where he should have known about the endemic sexual harassment going on and at least said something.

He might have been smart enough to get through law school, but he still strikes me as being the self-entitled sort of guy who would throw out common professional sense and indulge in the same risky behavior his boss is indulging in with impunity, even if he was planning on stabbing the guy in the back later for those crimes.
And from his comments and notes during the 90's, it's pretty obvious he had a bit of a nasty freak side when it came to sex.

Haele

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
39. Bratty Kavanaugh goes into this as a proven perjurer.
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 03:06 PM
Sep 2018

He's not going to smell very good coming out of it.

brooklynite

(94,585 posts)
7. just to be clear, Trump will nominate someone as conservative or worse...
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 10:26 AM
Sep 2018

Still long odds that the Democrats take the Senate.

ooky

(8,923 posts)
14. Even if they lose the Senate in the midterms they still have the lame duck session
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 11:07 AM
Sep 2018

to install their own judge.

lunatica

(53,410 posts)
21. Yeah, but should we all just give up fighting against these nominations?
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 01:36 PM
Sep 2018

Nah! Better to fight and lose than to just let them win without a fight.

dalton99a

(81,513 posts)
25. We have to fight no matter what
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 01:59 PM
Sep 2018

Today, we have no control over what Republicans might do, but we have control over what we do. If we don't fight, we're guaranteed to lose.

Cracklin Charlie

(12,904 posts)
9. I agree.
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 10:31 AM
Sep 2018

They cant confirm this guy.

And once again, by choosing such a swampy nominee, Trump has exposed all Mr. Kavanaugh’s malfeasance, and left him in legal quicksand.

Sorry, not sorry.

Everything Trump touches dies.

OnDoutside

(19,957 posts)
10. I tend to agree, but I'd like another even mini bombshell. I've only JUST heard a journo ask
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 10:34 AM
Sep 2018

Grassley whether Kavanaugh should do a polygraph....where are the Dem Politicians demanding the same ? It's an obvious ask now Dr Ford has done so.

 

john657

(1,058 posts)
17. Exactly!!!
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 11:22 AM
Sep 2018

Polygraphs are notoriously unreliable, that's why most states ban them as evidence in a criminal case.

 

NoSmoke

(69 posts)
34. Also exactly.
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 02:57 PM
Sep 2018

It's more than a little curious that such a fact is not brought up more often and realized by those who have an opinion on this Kavanaugh issue.

About the only value polygraphs have in investigative work is that most people don't realize they are unreliable and so can be cowed in to taking one or pleading guilty beforehand because they think their lies will be revealed.

BannonsLiver

(16,387 posts)
24. I think more allegations would sink him
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 01:59 PM
Sep 2018

If there’s someone else he tried to rape, or got weird and/or aggressive with, that would do it.

VOX

(22,976 posts)
30. I'll hold off until the stake is driven and sunlight floods the coffin.
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 02:36 PM
Sep 2018

The 2016 election made me gun-shy about celebrating victory with this pack of weasels. They have a way of slipping through the noose.

But he is taking a much harder pounding on this ugly issue than I originally figured.

VOX

(22,976 posts)
33. Thanks for the validation...
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 02:57 PM
Sep 2018

Have you got 50 minutes to hear the complete catalog of woes? It all began when, at age 5...

 

john657

(1,058 posts)
36. Alleged sex offender,
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 03:03 PM
Sep 2018

there's this thing in the US criminal justice system called presumption of innocence, you might remember it from Civics class in school, also, there's also this thing called the right to face your accuser, another lesson learned in Civics class.

Fact is that no one on this board knows whether or not he's guilty of this allegation, and right now, that's all it is, an allegation.

I want to hear from both Kavanaugh and Dr. Ford before I make a judgment on guilt or innocence, that's the way it should work in our society.

malaise

(269,022 posts)
41. Really?
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 03:23 PM
Sep 2018

Then why do I hear chants of 'lock her up when Hillary Clinton is guilty of not one fucking thing?
What's good for the gander is good for the goose.

 

john657

(1,058 posts)
45. I stand by my post, in this country, there is a presumption of innocence,
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 04:02 PM
Sep 2018

and the right to face your accuser.

This should apply to EVERYONE in these United States of America.

JenniferJuniper

(4,512 posts)
46. You are not correct.
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 04:25 PM
Sep 2018

This is not a criminal trial.

This man is seeking one of the highest offices in the land. If there's a decent chance he raped or intended to rape someone he is not worth the risk to the nation.

Period.

 

john657

(1,058 posts)
48. So far, it's just an allegation,
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 04:29 PM
Sep 2018

nobody here, on this board, knows whether or not he is guilty or innocent of this allegation, period.

Besides, there are plenty of other reasons for his confirmation to be rejected, lying under oath is a pretty big one.

 

john657

(1,058 posts)
50. I don't give a damn if it's not a criminal trial,
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 04:33 PM
Sep 2018

it's an allegation of criminal wrongdoing and there is a presumption of innocence, as it should be, and, again, no one here knows if he's guilty or innocent of this allegation.

 

john657

(1,058 posts)
56. He's being accused of a very serious crime,
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 04:57 PM
Sep 2018

the presumption of innocence is sacrosanct in our society.

Do you know for certain if he did it?

If so, how do you know beyond a reasonable doubt that he did do it?

JenniferJuniper

(4,512 posts)
57. He is not being charged with a crime
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 05:11 PM
Sep 2018

This is not a criminal issue. (Statute of limitations is up anyway.)

He's claiming to be qualified for the highest court in the United States. If there are doubts about him being a sexual predator now or in the past, HE ISN'T QUALIFIED. Just on the doubts. This does not involve a criminal reasonable doubt standard. At all.

 

john657

(1,058 posts)
58. Being accused of sexual assault is not a criminal issue?
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 05:16 PM
Sep 2018

Since when?

Again, he's being accused of a very serious crime by Dr. Ford, he should be afforded the presumption of innocence, period..


We can go on and on without changing each others mind, so I'll say enough and have a great afternoon and evening.

JenniferJuniper

(4,512 posts)
59. He is not being charged with a crime
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 05:25 PM
Sep 2018

The statute of limitations is up anyway.

This is about whether he is fit to sit the US Supreme Court.

It's an entirely different standard.

lunatica

(53,410 posts)
62. No one has suggested he not face his accuser
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 06:57 PM
Sep 2018

By all means I want him to face her and I want her to face him.

As for his innocence? If she gets the benefit of the doubt in the same measure he does from that group of desiccated old white men who already speak of her in terms of being
“Mixed up”, then, and only then is there equal presumption for both of them.

 

john657

(1,058 posts)
65. I totally agree with you.
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 07:06 PM
Sep 2018

My main complaint with some here is that they've already tried and convicted him of rape and are labeling him a racist before we have even heard what they both have to say under oath, that, to me, is wrongheaded.

Just my 2 cents worth.

My chihuahua and I have to head to the store for some supplies for din din tonight.

You have a very good and peaceful evening and night.

 

john657

(1,058 posts)
67. Really?
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 07:18 PM
Sep 2018

Gee, I didn't know that, thanks for pointing that out to me.

I still stand by my statement.

Demsrule86

(68,582 posts)
79. I stand by mine...we are looking at whether someone is fit to serve in a lifetime
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 08:35 PM
Sep 2018

appointment in the highest court in the land...not 'justice'. I think he is not.

 

john657

(1,058 posts)
80. I don't think he is either,
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 08:51 PM
Sep 2018

his lying to congress under oath is enough to DQ him.

All I'm saying is that those that are already calling him a rapist are lying, there was no rape, and, until it's proven, he's still innocent of the allegation.

Demsrule86

(68,582 posts)
81. We agree on that in any case.
Wed Sep 19, 2018, 07:36 AM
Sep 2018

A kavanaugh supporter is now talking 'rough horseplay'...I think we shall see more before this is over.

JenniferJuniper

(4,512 posts)
42. I'm not a journalist -
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 03:57 PM
Sep 2018

I get not to say "alleged". First Amendment and all.

Also, this is not a criminal case. Reasonable doubt should go to the accuser. He's trying to get on the friggin' Supreme Court.

VOX

(22,976 posts)
37. #45 just saw a shiny get-out-of-jail-free object, and went all-in.
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 03:04 PM
Sep 2018

And damn the details. Yet another sad salute to his ceaseless “I’ll have the best people” mantra.

Given the collection of absolute freaks that populate this administration, I wouldn’t be surprised to find several more sex offenders in that pack of weirdos.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
43. The forged "support" letter coming out shows me the wheels are off this one
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 03:59 PM
Sep 2018

But it's gonna get ugly as it crashes

torius

(1,652 posts)
54. So if a teen girl gets raped she must have the baby
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 04:48 PM
Sep 2018

But for the rapist it was just horseplay that shouldn't inconvenience his career.

Kaleva

(36,307 posts)
64. I don't think that qualifies as corroboration.
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 07:06 PM
Sep 2018

The therapist did not independently confirm that the alleged incident took place. It's still a case of "He said...She said'.

"evidence which strengthens, adds to, or confirms already existing evidence."

https://legal-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/corroborating+evidence

lunatica

(53,410 posts)
68. Actually the fact she told her story to anyone years ago
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 07:22 PM
Sep 2018

is considered corroboration because it’s clear that she didn’t just make this up to stop his nomination. She told her therapist in 2012. That was 6 years ago and therapists keep notes. And if she told anyone else about it before his nomination that is also corroboration. It isn’t as strong as having a witness, but it is strong.

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
70. This isn't a legal case. So it's not corroboration, if Senators say it's not.
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 07:26 PM
Sep 2018

That it's corroboration can be disputed.

It IS a factor that she first has it on record decades after it happened, giving others the legitimate claim that she is "confused."

Corroboration is most often thought of as telling someone at about the time an event happens. She says she didn't tell anyone.

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
77. That case can be made. And the opposite case can be made.
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 08:06 PM
Sep 2018

Corroboration is telling someone, or writing something, at about the same time as an event happened. She did not do that. She didn't tell anyone, or write it down in a diary....nothing.

25 years later she discusses it in therapy. But that is so long after the fact, that it makes it easy to say her memory was wrong. She remembers the incident, but she's "confused" as to who it was. That's why evidence at about the time of the event is considered corrobative, but not telling someone decades later. A person's memory is best at about the time of an event.

The therapy notes mean that she didn't make this up for the purpose of the S.Ct. nomination. But it doesn't mean she is remembering it correctly. That's the devil's advocate argument.

When you're talking about blaming someone for something like that, most don't take the word of someone decades later, because it's almost impossible to defend against it, if there are no witnesses, no corroborating evidence, or the like.

But it does put a cloud over Kavanaugh's head. Maybe they'll nominate someone else, like some thing they will. I don't think they will, because the same thing could happen again. Men don't walk around confessing to molesting women (except for Trump).

Kaleva

(36,307 posts)
76. My arguement is that there has to be enough presented to convince at least 2 Repubs to vote no
Tue Sep 18, 2018, 07:44 PM
Sep 2018

along with every Dem including the Red state Dems.

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