General Discussion

AdamGG

(1,292 posts) Tue Sep 18, 2018, 05:45 PM Sep 2018

If Kkkavanaugh is withdrawn/denied confirmation how long until the next appointee?

This falls under counting chickens before they're hatched, but if Ford's testimony damages Kavanaugh enough that he loses Collins/Murkowski/Flake support and he is not confirmed, it would probably be until after the midterms until a replacement appointee could come to the floor for a vote, right?

What would be great about that is that the red state Senators facing re-election would no longer have any pressure to confirm because they'd either be lame ducks or re-elected to new 6 year terms. And, if Mueller is holding his haymakers until after the mid-terms so that he isn't accused of trying to influence the election, Trump could be in a weakened state with his new appointment.

Then, it's not far from Christmas break and if it could somehow remain unfilled until January, if there is a Democratic Senate, it could be Merrick Garland payback time.

Am I being way too optimistic to even think this?

13 replies

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If Kkkavanaugh is withdrawn/denied confirmation how long until the next appointee? (Original Post) AdamGG Sep 2018 OP

We must take the Senate in 6 or 7 weeks lapfog_1 Sep 2018 #1

Senator Mazie Hirono said something interesting... FM123 Sep 2018 #2

I could go with that. shanny Sep 2018 #8

Especially if you remove the unindicted part AdamGG Sep 2018 #10

We are going to need a Constitutional ammendment Moostache Sep 2018 #3

Thirty months. Wellstone ruled Sep 2018 #4

I think you are not only being too optimistic, you are being unrealistic. While I hope Kavanaugh still_one Sep 2018 #5

I think you're right, though there's maybe a tiny on-sides kick and a hail Mary chance... AdamGG Sep 2018 #11

I am rooting for your scenario still_one Sep 2018 #13

minutes shanny Sep 2018 #6

If we win the mid terms, that means the people have rejected trump ecstatic Sep 2018 #7

I love a good dream. defacto7 Sep 2018 #9

Yeah, hold it for as long as necessary to elect a DEM as president. nt NCjack Sep 2018 #12

lapfog_1

(29,205 posts)

1. We must take the Senate in 6 or 7 weeks

Reply to AdamGG (Original post)

Tue Sep 18, 2018, 05:51 PM

Sep 2018

and fight like hell to prevent a lame duck session.

FM123

(10,053 posts)

2. Senator Mazie Hirono said something interesting...

Reply to AdamGG (Original post)

Tue Sep 18, 2018, 05:55 PM

Sep 2018

She recently said that the Democrats could keep retired Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy's seat vacant for two years if need be should the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to replace him fail and should Democrats take the Senate in November.
https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/407169-hirono-dems-could-keep-scotus-seat-vacant-for-two-years

shanny

(6,709 posts)

8. I could go with that.

Reply to FM123 (Reply #2)

Tue Sep 18, 2018, 06:26 PM

Sep 2018

Un-indicted co-conspirators don't get a SC pick.

AdamGG

(1,292 posts)

10. Especially if you remove the unindicted part

Reply to shanny (Reply #8)

Tue Sep 18, 2018, 07:01 PM

Sep 2018

Moostache

(9,895 posts)

3. We are going to need a Constitutional ammendment

Reply to AdamGG (Original post)

Tue Sep 18, 2018, 06:01 PM

Sep 2018

I support the efforts to deny Kavanaugh and am sympathetic on Garland too...but at some point we have to end the extremes that the SCOTUS is reaching...it has been out of kilter since Bush v. Gore and it getting worse every time ...

Ending lifetime appointments in favor of 10 year seats with potential for ONE renomination and reconfirmation would be a start...maybe?

Wellstone ruled

(34,661 posts)

4. Thirty months.

Reply to AdamGG (Original post)

Tue Sep 18, 2018, 06:09 PM

Sep 2018

still_one

(92,204 posts)

5. I think you are not only being too optimistic, you are being unrealistic. While I hope Kavanaugh

Reply to AdamGG (Original post)

Tue Sep 18, 2018, 06:15 PM

Sep 2018

would drop off, all indications are that the republicans will not allow it to happen, but will push it through after they run their Kangaroo hearing of only the two principals, the victim and the perpetrator. No other witnesses will be allowed

AdamGG

(1,292 posts)

11. I think you're right, though there's maybe a tiny on-sides kick and a hail Mary chance...

Reply to still_one (Reply #5)

Tue Sep 18, 2018, 07:07 PM

Sep 2018

that another Kavanaugh accuser comes forward or some final shoe drops that prevents him from getting 50 votes and if that did happen and there were blue wave midterms that swung the Senate, things could get pretty interesting.