Last edited Wed Sep 19, 2018, 11:08 AM - Edit history (1)

Just yesterday, the talking heads were writing off O'Rouke.

I do think he'll come up just a bit short, but it is very close.

That's not reality... Cruz MAY end up winning, but he's not nearly even that popular among republican voters and he's not up by 9.

I would be lucky to find even one Republican that has a favorable view of him... even though they will vote for him. I could ask ten Republican neighbors and maybe 2/10 would have a favorable view of Cruz. In fact, that's his problem. Otherwise, he would be 10-15 points up.

that should answer the likeability question. Republicans not advertising they support the weasel.

I know polls vary, but no other poll was even close.

That’s my WTF moment.

the Kavanaugh sexual assault incident. Feinstein was respecting the victims wishes, as was Anna Eshoo, and as this has come out it shows not only that the correct approach, but it also got the attention it deserved, which it would NOT have gotten two months ago.


It should be more than evident that republicans believe women are second class citizens, among other demographics

Nelson is one of those personalityless, fly under the radar types that seems to find a way to pull it out at the end - both parties have them.

first time I've seen O'Rourke ahead in any polling. He's been closing the gap, but always has been a few points behind.

Looks like he has the momentum. Hopefully, he can survive the onslaught of Koch Brothers/NRA ads coming up against him

If he does, great. But until it happens, I'm penciling it as a Cruz win. I just don't feel comfortable creating a path to a Senate majority that in which winning a senate seat in Texas is a critical seat.

Nevada does make me nervous though, because this is the second straight poll I've seen Heller leading in.

Would love to see Beto win there, but Texas is TOUGH nut to crack for Ds.

Honestly, for Beto to win, the wave would have to be 70 house seats.

I also looked at their CA polling. That looks really off.

ever since the primary

I was referring to Feinstein & De Leon

Jerry Brown won his gubernatorial race in 2014 which was a lackluster year from Dems by 20. Hillary won it by 30. Newsom should be closer to those numbers.