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egbertowillies

(4,058 posts)
Sat Sep 22, 2018, 03:32 PM Sep 2018

Polls missing hidden voters? Progressives better make that true.

Polls are all over the place. Recently within one day two polls on Senate race between Beto O'Rourke (D-TX) and Ted Cruz (R-TX). The first had Cruz up by 9 the second had O'Rourke up by 2. No one knows who will vote. If there is a hidden Progressive vote out there Midterm 2018 will be a Blue Wave and maybe a tsunami. Activists, Progressive & Democratic candidate must seek out or create hidden voters to ensure it.

I interviewed Democratic pollster Celinda Lake of Lake Research Partners at Netroots Nation 2018 who cautioned about exuberance over the yet to materialize Blue Wave. She agrees that polls right now have issues with modeling who and what turnout will look like. She is concerned about who the hidden voters are.



More:
https://egbertowillies.com/2018/09/22/polls-missing-hidden-voters/
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Polls missing hidden voters? Progressives better make that true. (Original Post) egbertowillies Sep 2018 OP
In the age of cell phones, it must be really hard to be a good pollster. n/t PoliticAverse Sep 2018 #1
Polls and surveys miss newly registered voters... KCDebbie Sep 2018 #2
 

KCDebbie

(664 posts)
2. Polls and surveys miss newly registered voters...
Sat Sep 22, 2018, 03:58 PM
Sep 2018

Most Democratic candidate's run a voter registration operation in addition to their campaign. Republicans often pay for and outsource voter registration, if they bother at all.

Newly registered voters is the reason Pres O won several states by surprise in 2008 and they are the reason Andrew Gillum won the Dem Florida nomination for Governor seemingly out of the blue last month.

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