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lapfog_1

(29,205 posts)
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 05:27 PM Oct 2018

Commentators on the TeeVee keep talking about "the storm intensified on us rapidly

an unexpectedly".

However, if you look at up to date water temps in the coastal gulf area... you will see water temps from 80F to 82F...

and the average water temp for October in the same areas is normally (the old normal) around 72F

https://www.nodc.noaa.gov/dsdt/cwtg/egof_tmap.html

"Rapidly and and unexpectedly"... not so much.

Welcome to the new normal.

21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Commentators on the TeeVee keep talking about "the storm intensified on us rapidly (Original Post) lapfog_1 Oct 2018 OP
See what the locals say about climate change dhol82 Oct 2018 #1
not the fishermen that have seen declining stocks lapfog_1 Oct 2018 #2
How do the fishermen normally vote there? Crunchy Frog Oct 2018 #3
Fishing poles... sorry dembotoz Oct 2018 #4
probably they vote repuke... lapfog_1 Oct 2018 #5
Gee Oh Pee. SergeStorms Oct 2018 #14
Remember climate change is a Chinese hoax Yavin4 Oct 2018 #6
Yeah the local business owners of that "Ducks" boat cruise... TwistOneUp Oct 2018 #7
Maybe it's the oil content from the Deepwater Horizon oil spill. lpbk2713 Oct 2018 #8
They Choose To Live In Their Fantasy World PaulX2 Oct 2018 #9
Zactly. Duppers Oct 2018 #11
meanwhile 5 fla universities broadcast sports on 20 global warming-denying limbaugh stations certainot Oct 2018 #10
In my area, FL east coast, water was 85 for 4-6 weeks. CaptainTruth Oct 2018 #12
I used to go scuba diving in the keys lapfog_1 Oct 2018 #13
We've had August weather in September here on the gulf coast. trof Oct 2018 #15
upper 80s F here today, 60s tomorrow Hermit-The-Prog Oct 2018 #21
I'm pointing to the Conservatives, the Kavanagh appovers, the Trump supporters and saying "you ET Awful Oct 2018 #16
I saw this exact cause&effect predicted years ago. BobTheSubgenius Oct 2018 #17
yes, I know... I was working with some of those climatologists in in 1990s. lapfog_1 Oct 2018 #19
I saw that too. Brian Williams was making dishonest attempts Hortensis Oct 2018 #18
I've been a weather geek for over 40 years, and I've never seen a hurricane catbyte Oct 2018 #20

lapfog_1

(29,205 posts)
2. not the fishermen that have seen declining stocks
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 05:41 PM
Oct 2018

or changes in what fish are in what areas...

or scuba divers who witness first hand the loss of coral to bleaching.

lapfog_1

(29,205 posts)
5. probably they vote repuke...
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 05:46 PM
Oct 2018

I'm not from Florida... I lived in Key West (which is sort of NOT Florida) for like 6 months... and scuba dived there many many times.

But just because they vote repuke doesn't mean they haven't seen the changes due to climate change first hand.

I don't know what it will take for them to vote Democratic... I'm sure some do.

SergeStorms

(19,201 posts)
14. Gee Oh Pee.
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 07:42 PM
Oct 2018

Republican to the core. They hate all of those regulations, taxes (especially taxes!) and licenses they have to buy to go out and fish. There are a few, very few who are starting to see the light and are starting to believe in climate change. That doesn't mean they're turning away from Republicans, they're just concerned that climate change may be real. I used to frequent taverns along the Gulf Coast during my travels. My favorite watering holes were in Tarpon Springs when I lived in the area. I generally listened in these establishments just to get the vibe of the people who worked there. You would never want to let them know you were a liberal. Not unless you wanted to end up as chum on the next fishing excursion in the Gulf.

TwistOneUp

(1,020 posts)
7. Yeah the local business owners of that "Ducks" boat cruise...
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 06:41 PM
Oct 2018

Said the same thing: "it just came up outta nowhere".

Bullshit. Liars! You could see the weather change for the Ducks cruise 45-60 min before it got bad. Why didn't they get to shore somewhere? Why not pass out the lifejackets?

And for Hurricane Michael - how long has this been on TV now? Outta nowhere? Really?

Duppers

(28,123 posts)
11. Zactly.
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 07:28 PM
Oct 2018

Folks will say we're mean but I've argued with these numbskulls. One poisoned my dog, stole my Obama signs, and put a glass bottle neck in our driveway. Tell me how I'm supposed to give people like this a pass. They have a net connections, access to the same info we do.

They are MEAN. And fuck them!

 

certainot

(9,090 posts)
10. meanwhile 5 fla universities broadcast sports on 20 global warming-denying limbaugh stations
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 07:11 PM
Oct 2018

Florida 10, Florida St. 4 Miami 2, South Florida 2, Central Florida 2

most of those stations have been following the limbaugh denial for 30 years

from republiconradio.org

CaptainTruth

(6,592 posts)
12. In my area, FL east coast, water was 85 for 4-6 weeks.
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 07:32 PM
Oct 2018

Normally it doesn't get above 83. I was watching the water temp & hoping no hurricane headed toward us because I knew it would ramp up fast like Michael did.

lapfog_1

(29,205 posts)
13. I used to go scuba diving in the keys
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 07:41 PM
Oct 2018

quite a bit... I don't ever remember going out in 85F water.

That's like bath water warm...

trof

(54,256 posts)
15. We've had August weather in September here on the gulf coast.
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 07:43 PM
Oct 2018

I live in coastal Alabama.
We're finally getting what used to be September weather in mid October.
The times they are a chaingin'.

Hermit-The-Prog

(33,348 posts)
21. upper 80s F here today, 60s tomorrow
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 08:25 PM
Oct 2018

Middle of Kentucky here. We've had "the dog days of August" throughout September and nearly to the middle of October. There were heat index warnings last week. We'll go from air conditioning straight to heating.

Extremes are the new normal.

ET Awful

(24,753 posts)
16. I'm pointing to the Conservatives, the Kavanagh appovers, the Trump supporters and saying "you
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 07:55 PM
Oct 2018

helped this to happen . . . " oh shit, sorry, was channeling Pat Robertson there for a minute.

BobTheSubgenius

(11,563 posts)
17. I saw this exact cause&effect predicted years ago.
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 07:57 PM
Oct 2018

And the climatologist describing the process was working with a much lower water temperature differential.

lapfog_1

(29,205 posts)
19. yes, I know... I was working with some of those climatologists in in 1990s.
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 07:59 PM
Oct 2018

only they were predicting this for the 2030s... not 2018.

Oops.

(not quite true, some models were predicting this for earlier in this century).

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
18. I saw that too. Brian Williams was making dishonest attempts
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 07:58 PM
Oct 2018

at covering media asses and government asses at the very same time that an effectively cat5 eye was passing over the panhandle and he had no idea how the poor people who hadn't evacuated were faring. The media had reported basically that it'd probably just be a cat2 the entire day before, and locals knew they could shelter at home from that.

Also, far too few shelters had been opened to hold them in case they did need to evacuate, which Williams tried to just blow off with the rest, but his dishonest reporting was exposed by General Honore, in charge at the time of Katrina.

Williams' attempts to deceive reminded me of how he came to be disgraced.

85 degrees.

catbyte

(34,393 posts)
20. I've been a weather geek for over 40 years, and I've never seen a hurricane
Wed Oct 10, 2018, 08:13 PM
Oct 2018

intensify that much so close to land. In a "normal" hurricane, even though the eye remains offshore and in very warm water, when the outer bands start to interact with land, it usually disrupts the intensification, if not downright weakens it. That didn't happen here. In fact, I've never seen a hurricane remain that strong so far inland. This was a weird one, and I do blame climate change for it.

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