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NewsCenter28

(1,835 posts) Sun Oct 14, 2018, 06:37 PM Oct 2018

CBS News Estimate: Dems to gain House of Representatives Control; best case GOP scenario is just 218

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/democratic-lead-continues-to-grow-in-race-for-house-cbs-news-poll-battleground-tracker/

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CBS News Estimate: Dems to gain House of Representatives Control; best case GOP scenario is just 218 (Original Post) NewsCenter28 Oct 2018 OP

"but they remain dependent on turnout of less frequent voters, as well as winning over Trump voters" riversedge Oct 2018 #1

Hope folks turn out. welivetotreadonkings Oct 2018 #2

We have to be careful. murielm99 Oct 2018 #3

K&R Scurrilous Oct 2018 #4

riversedge

(70,239 posts)

1. "but they remain dependent on turnout of less frequent voters, as well as winning over Trump voters"

Reply to NewsCenter28 (Original post)

Sun Oct 14, 2018, 06:49 PM

Oct 2018

Pins and needles till election evening. So much can happen. so so much.

Kabir Khanna and Anthony Salvanto

Democrats' position in the contest for the House of Representatives is the best it's been since June, but they remain dependent on turnout of less frequent voters, as well as winning over Trump voters from 2016.

If the elections were held today, Democrats would stand to win 226 seats (more than the 218 needed for a majority) with Republicans winning the remaining 209. The margin of error on each of these estimates is plus or minus 14 seats, which means that there's still the prospect of Republicans retaining control. This range of possible outcomes in the model is wider than it was this summer. Many key races are extremely close, and it wouldn't take much movement from where things stand now to swing many seats in either direction.