General Discussion

Music Man

(1,184 posts) Sat Oct 20, 2018, 12:55 PM Oct 2018

Don't fret over the Senate models. Democrats are going to have a great night. I say 51-49 Dems.

We'd have to have an outstanding election to pull it off, but it can be done. Rosen is neck-and-neck in Nevada, and O'Rourke can pull the upset if people get out. He certainly has the fundraising haul to invest in GOTV and advertising. I know Heitkamp is not looking good, but I don't have it in me to give up there yet. Mostly, I'm counting on Democrats to realize that it's now or never--if this midterm election isn't worth voting in, then none are.

Have you volunteered for your candidates? There two weeks left to sway undecideds and fire up our supporters. Run up the score so Republicans' voter suppression tricks won't even matter.

I can't wait for Nov. 6 to get here. Time to start correcting the travesty of 2016. We can do this!

13 replies

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Don't fret over the Senate models. Democrats are going to have a great night. I say 51-49 Dems. (Original Post) Music Man Oct 2018 OP

Best case scenario is: lose ND, win AZ NV TN or TX. Funtatlaguy Oct 2018 #1

Yes, I think that may be best case. Music Man Oct 2018 #4

Please clarify.. honest.abe Oct 2018 #9

Well yes and no. Funtatlaguy Oct 2018 #11

Yeah, thats what I thought. Difficult but doable. honest.abe Oct 2018 #12

I do think we're going to sweep the House Downtown Hound Oct 2018 #2

I feel good about Rosen especially. Music Man Oct 2018 #3

THANK YOU Bfd Oct 2018 #5

A Cruz loss in Texas may have become likely..The wife may have sealed the case. Stuart G Oct 2018 #6

On top of her 500k+ salary MiniMe Oct 2018 #10

IF we do our work. No guarantees. struggle4progress Oct 2018 #7

I'm hoping polls are wrong and the Dems are going to win big treestar Oct 2018 #8

Chickens are as yet unhatched. Please do not count them yet. We have severe voter suppression... Hekate Oct 2018 #13

Funtatlaguy

(10,885 posts)

1. Best case scenario is: lose ND, win AZ NV TN or TX.

Reply to Music Man (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2018, 01:07 PM

Oct 2018

Music Man

(1,184 posts)

4. Yes, I think that may be best case.

Reply to Funtatlaguy (Reply #1)

Sat Oct 20, 2018, 01:11 PM

Oct 2018

A 50-50 Senate is quite likely. Really counting on TX voters to do us a solid

honest.abe

(8,685 posts)

9. Please clarify..

Reply to Funtatlaguy (Reply #1)

Sat Oct 20, 2018, 01:47 PM

Oct 2018

Are you saying "AZ NV TN or TX" ... any of those?

Or is it "AZ NV and TN or TX"?

Thanks.

Funtatlaguy

(10,885 posts)

11. Well yes and no.

Reply to honest.abe (Reply #9)

Sat Oct 20, 2018, 02:07 PM

Oct 2018

If we lose the seat 💺 in ND, we need to take 3 of theirs.

Currently...Our best chances (according to realclearpolitics would be in order):
Arizona
Nevada
Tennessee
Texas

honest.abe

(8,685 posts)

12. Yeah, thats what I thought. Difficult but doable.

Reply to Funtatlaguy (Reply #11)

Sat Oct 20, 2018, 02:10 PM

Oct 2018

Thanks!

Downtown Hound

(12,618 posts)

2. I do think we're going to sweep the House

Reply to Music Man (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2018, 01:09 PM

Oct 2018

Last edited Sat Oct 20, 2018, 01:55 PM - Edit history (1)

Way less confident about the Senate. That might have to wait until 2020. But I do think that we'll win both the White House and all of Congress that year.

Music Man

(1,184 posts)

3. I feel good about Rosen especially.

Reply to Music Man (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2018, 01:09 PM

Oct 2018

They're tied in the latest polls, with 7% undecided. At this stage, I can't imagine undecideds breaking strongly for an incumbent (then again, if they haven't made up their minds at this point, then what's the matter?). She also had a good debate against Heller last night.

Bfd

(1,406 posts)

5. THANK YOU

Reply to Music Man (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2018, 01:18 PM

Oct 2018

Stuart G

(38,439 posts)

6. A Cruz loss in Texas may have become likely..The wife may have sealed the case.

Reply to Music Man (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2018, 01:36 PM

Oct 2018

Complaining about how hard it was to live on $l80,000 a year. Poor lady!!!

..But that arrogance, and lack of any sensitivity, that is it ..no apology that I know of..could seal Cruz's fate.

If that happens, the picture changes and it becomes easier to take the Senate. But we will see in less than three weeks.

MiniMe

(21,718 posts)

10. On top of her 500k+ salary

Reply to Stuart G (Reply #6)

Sat Oct 20, 2018, 01:51 PM

Oct 2018

Looking for a tiny violin smilie

She is tired of being the money maker.

struggle4progress

(118,332 posts)

7. IF we do our work. No guarantees.

Reply to Music Man (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2018, 01:42 PM

Oct 2018

treestar

(82,383 posts)

8. I'm hoping polls are wrong and the Dems are going to win big

Reply to Music Man (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2018, 01:43 PM

Oct 2018

Two years of right wing smugness is enough!

Hekate

(90,784 posts)

13. Chickens are as yet unhatched. Please do not count them yet. We have severe voter suppression...

Reply to Music Man (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2018, 02:56 PM

Oct 2018

....engineered by GOP state and local governments going on in Democratic bastions all over the country. The Voting Rights Act was gutted several years ago and Jim Crow Laws rose again from the bloody entrails.

Finally, since Russia is still in business subverting our elections, remember Josef Stalin's dictum: "It doesn't matter who gets voted for. It only matters who counts the votes."

I would not be so doom and gloom except for this: these problems have not yet been solved. For the next few weeks, GOTV and from here on out, be working on the issues of voter suppression n all its many forms. For election day, cross your fingers.

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