General Discussion

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts) Mon Nov 5, 2018, 03:12 AM Nov 2018

Whoa. What the hell happened in Indiana?

Donnelly has surged. He was up 7 in the most recent FOX News poll and up 3 in the NBC/Marist poll - giving him the lead in the two most recent polls. I really thought Donnelly was DOA.

Bam!

7 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Whoa. What the hell happened in Indiana? (Original Post) Drunken Irishman Nov 2018 OP

Don't believe what you hear, the entire country is uprising. beachbum bob Nov 2018 #1

.. Demovictory9 Nov 2018 #2

An incumbent should win in Indiana Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #3

Jon Ralston also gave a very detailed explanation why ND polling grantcart Nov 2018 #4

Depends mostly on Lake County rpannier Nov 2018 #5

They need to see the big picture,a chance with Donnelly and Dem senate or a GOP senate and no chance sunonmars Nov 2018 #7

Bloomington and South Bend LittleGirl Nov 2018 #6

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)

1. Don't believe what you hear, the entire country is uprising.

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2018, 03:15 AM

Nov 2018

But still have to get off our asses and vote

Demovictory9

(32,527 posts)

2. ..

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2018, 03:47 AM

Nov 2018

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

3. An incumbent should win in Indiana

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2018, 03:56 AM

Nov 2018

Somewhat strange state in that the electorate is heavily white (83%) and with a big Republican registration edge, but not overly conservative. The 38-22 split among self-identified conservatives and liberals is not a disaster compared to the national number of 36-27.

It would be disastrous to lose incumbents in states with fewer than 40% conservatives. The examples are Indiana and Florida. Also New Jersey, although that one seems less problematic.

grantcart

(53,061 posts)

4. Jon Ralston also gave a very detailed explanation why ND polling

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2018, 04:05 AM

Nov 2018

Is very difficult.

The Senate is still in play

rpannier

(24,356 posts)

5. Depends mostly on Lake County

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2018, 04:39 AM

Nov 2018

If L.C. comes out, Donnelly should win -- see Obama in 2008. If they don't turn out for him, he's toast
L.C. is heavily union and has a lot of minorities. Donnelly hurt himself with Hispanics in the region with his willingness to support change birthright citizenship at the debate. I have friends in the region and they say there are a lot of unhappy people in E.C. and Hammond over it.

He needs L.C., Indianapolis and St Joseph's

sunonmars

(8,656 posts)

7. They need to see the big picture,a chance with Donnelly and Dem senate or a GOP senate and no chance

Reply to rpannier (Reply #5)

Mon Nov 5, 2018, 05:47 AM

Nov 2018

This is far too important to be sitting on the sidelines, its like a chicken choosing between the farmyard and the abatoir.....there no thinking about it.

LittleGirl

(8,292 posts)

6. Bloomington and South Bend

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2018, 05:40 AM

Nov 2018

are college town too. Donnelly is a middle of the road Dem and he's not the best of the D's and he's not crazy like the R's in that state.

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