The 10 Most Vulnerable House Incumbents on Election Day

Heading into Election Day, Republicans once again occupy all 10 spots of Roll Call’s list of most vulnerable House incumbents, but for the first time this cycle, Iowa Rep. Rod Blum is not leading the pack.

While President Donald Trump won Blum’s 1st District in 2016, operatives from both parties have consistently identified the two-term congressman as the incumbent most likely to lose this cycle — until the past month.
Blum’s race has tightened of late, with outside groups on both sides re-engaging. Democrats and Republicans agree that a handful of GOP incumbents in tougher districts are now in more trouble than him. That begins with Pennsylvania Rep. Keith Rothfus, who tops the list, followed by three Republicans in districts that backed Hillary Clinton in 2016.

The rankings are based on conversations with strategists from both sides of the aisle, polling, and the race ratings from Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales. We look solely at vulnerable incumbents and do not include open seats that are likely to flip.

1. Keith Rothfus, R-Pa.

2. Mike Coffman, R-Colo.

3. Kevin Yoder, R-Kan.

4. Barbara Comstock, R-Va.

5. Rod Blum, R-Iowa

6. Erik Paulsen, R-Minn.

7. Jason Lewis, R-Minn.

8. John J. Faso, R-N.Y.

9. Bruce Poliquin, R-Maine

10. Claudia Tenney, R-N.Y.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/the-10-most-vulnerable-house-incumbents-on-election-day/ar-BBPmhE3?li=BBnb4R7

Explanations at the link