General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsSAT AZ Senate vote update Sinema increases lead to 28,673
All of AZ Vote Recorders offices have live feeds so you can watch them doing their work
You can see that here:
https://azsos.gov/elections
Here is the link for Maricopa where more than half of the votes are counted.
Its kind of neat and totally boring at the same time.
Here is the Secretary of State's Election result page:
https://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/4/0
at 5:00 the numbers are at 5:45
Kyrsten Sinema 1,019,249 1,046,252 up 28,673
Martha McSally 986,344 1,017,579
198,000 Ballots left in Maricopa, maybe 50,000 in other counties. Little chance that McSally will be able to get the lead back because she would have to get in excess of 60% of the vote in a shrinking pool.
The Recorders of each county are going through "Late Early Mail in Votes", namely mail in ballots that people walked in to make sure that they would be counted. Their is no postmark deadline in AZ they must physically arrive at the Recorder's Office by 7 pm on Election Day
AZ voters can check their ballot stat us here:
https://voter.azsos.gov/VoterView/AbsenteeBallotSearch.do
Edited to add that Republicans and Democrats compromised on the Republican lawsuit so that rural counties would adopt the same time frame as Pima and Maricopa counties which take about 5 days to contact voters where a signature issue seems to be the issue.
Maricopa County https://recorder.maricopa.gov/electionresults/completeresults.aspx
Cha
(297,275 posts)ago!
grantcart
(53,061 posts)brush
(53,784 posts)manor321
(3,344 posts)Cha
(297,275 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)but yours is correct until the next county updates
Response to grantcart (Original post)
manor321 This message was self-deleted by its author.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)198,000 ballots left in Maricopa County
SaschaHM
(2,897 posts)This included a portion of votes from batch B that Camp McSally was saying would reflect the +10% Eday republican Eday margin. Sinema's up in these.
Link to tweet
If the 50k that were delayed were in fact batch A, Eday arrivals that favor Sinema, then Batch B (100k or so left) isn't going to save McSally.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)The last batches may normally swing R but not this time, and even if they do it won't be enough
Polls consistently showed that McSally only pulled 88% of GOP and lost the independent so even if more GOP ballots come in it wont be enough.
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)My silent projection was that Sinema needed to get above 25,000 edge to offset worse case scenario with those election day Maricopa votes. Now this should be enough.
BTW, it should be straight forward to maximize Arizona going forward, with the demographic trends in our favor and 75% of the population in two counties -- Maricopa and Pima.
That's not as favorable as Nevada with 90% of population in Clark County/Washoe County, but still incredibly basic compared to other states like Florida where the rurals have so much say in the matter.
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Because of the year long trend of Election Day mailin or hand ballots, Sinema is more likely to win them that McSally is. The trend all year has been that the latest voted trended blue. I don't know whether it is a rush of democrats before the gate close, or republican voters that are sick of Trump and republican politicians, but can't bring themselves to vote for a democrat until they have to or not vote at all.