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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsPolls: Obama up 5 points in MI; no change in PA, leads by 6 points.
President Barack Obama's lead in Michigan has inched up to 5 points, a new poll released Thursday shows.
Obama leads MItt Romney, 49 percent to 44 percent, among likely Michigan voters in the latest automated survey from in-state pollster, Mitchell Research & Communications. Mitchell's previous two polls showed a dead heat between Obama and Romney in the state. Obama clung to a 1-point edge in the June survey, while Romney led by the same minuscule margin last month.
The latest poll, conducted on Monday, shows that Romney's selection of Paul Ryan has had no immediate impact on the race in Michigan. Obama's lead remains the same even when the names Ryan and Vice President Joe Biden are included in the survey question.
- more -
http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/poll-obama-opens-up-5-point-lead-in
That's a right leaning-poll.
The Presidential Election in Pennsylvania
President Obama has led Mitt Romney in every Franklin & Marshall College Poll since August 2011 (see Figure 1). The president currently leads Romney among registered voters in Pennsylvania 44% to 38% with 15% undecided. Allocating voters who lean to a candidate produces a similar advantage for the president, 47% to 42%, but shows that 7% of voters are truly undecided. President Obama leads in most regions of the state, including Philadelphia, Allegheny County, the southwest and southeast, and he has comfortable leads among young voters, non-whites and women (see Attachment A). Mitt Romney holds an advantage among working-class whites.
- more -
https://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyaug12_1.pdf
Here's the trendline chart:
This is why Mitt is in a panic
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021139434
Curtland1015
(4,404 posts)Anyone up for a little panicking?
I want to know if the people who were polled in PA have photo ID.
Romulox
(25,960 posts)ProSense
(116,464 posts)Romulox
(25,960 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)there and so far they aren't.
Romulox
(25,960 posts)Curtland1015
(4,404 posts)He posted a right leaning poll and told us it leans right. That doesn't mean we should ignore it, only that we should keep that in mind when evaluating the data.
Why the harshness?
ProSense
(116,464 posts)Curtland1015
(4,404 posts)I'm a guy, I just assumed everyone else was too.
Romulox
(25,960 posts)"I'm here to discuss politics. You?"
Nitpicking and being upset that a right-leaning poll shows the President ahead is discussing politics?
ProSense
(116,464 posts)ProSense
(116,464 posts)"If the results aren't reliable, why post them? Not really time for the pollyanna act, either way."
...what they are. People post Gallup polls and those are right leaning, albeit not as much.
You deemed it "not good news," yet the poll averages are showing about 6 points.
Why? Some polls have the President up by double digits and others do not.
A five point lead in a right-leaning poll is very good news.
Sorry to disappoint you.
Romulox
(25,960 posts)ProSense
(116,464 posts)Romulox
(25,960 posts)ProSense
(116,464 posts)"Nonsense. I was discussing the poll results YOU presented. Obviously not the result you wanted. "
..."nonsense: You said a right leaning poll, which had the President up by one point previously, but now shows him leading by 5 points is "NOT good news."
Merlot
(9,696 posts)CabCurious
(954 posts)It's not much of a bump.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)and so now to be ahead in this poll by five-points is pretty good.
DissidentVoice
(813 posts)I have seen a few Romney bumper-stickers and yard signs, but not a lot.
This is still a fairly strong union state, the election of Rick Perry notwithstanding, and Mitt's willingness to throw the auto industry down the pipe still rankles here a bit.
Really, I don't give a lot of credence to polls like this. Too much can happen between now and November.
I remember 1988, when a lot of people thought that Mike Dukakis was a shoo-in for the WH...then GHWB's Lee Atwater-led machine did their bit.
TrogL
(32,822 posts)magnifisense
(285 posts)No change in PA? Does it matter. Republicans just stole that state!
modrepub
(3,502 posts)Philly will go Dem by wide margins. The word is out and people are motivated. They'll be disenfranchising Repub voters there too; a point lost to most repubs is Philly posts 50-100k votes for their candidates during an election, which is more then all but about a dozen counties in the state. Women in the suburbs of Philly generally hold the key to the election anyway. What are they gonna think when they learn about "person-hood" candidate Mitt picked?
underpants
(182,878 posts)They are going to flat out steal this thing.
CabCurious
(954 posts)regnaD kciN
(26,045 posts)...this doesn't jibe with the post-Ryan news coverage, in which the only polls to be cited are ones showing the GOP ticket drawing even or pulling ahead!