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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 01:34 PM Dec 2018

Beto O'Rourke narrowly tops wide-open MoveOn 2020 presidential straw poll; Biden runner up






An early straw poll of members of the progressive group MoveOn.org shows a wide-open competition for liberal voters in the forthcoming 2020 Democratic presidential contest, with Beto O'Rourke narrowly beating out Joe Biden.

The poll, obtained by NBC News, shows a plurality of respondents — 29 percent — either said they did not yet know whom they would support or wanted someone else not listed among the group's more than 30 potential candidate choices.

The most popular potential candidate was O’Rourke, D-Texas, who was selected by 15.6 percent of respondents, followed by Biden at 14.9 percent, and then Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt, with 13.1 percent.

...


It's another sign of O’Rourke's surprising popularity among national Democrats and a potentially troubling indication for Sanders, whom MoveOn endorsed in the 2016 Democratic primary. That year, 78 percent of MoveOn members voted to back Sanders over Hillary Clinton



...





Embrace The Beto!
30 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Beto O'Rourke narrowly tops wide-open MoveOn 2020 presidential straw poll; Biden runner up (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2018 OP
You contradicted yourself Yosemito Dec 2018 #1
It's a bad sign for Bernie that some of his most avid suporters comradebillyboy Dec 2018 #2
How did I contradict myself? I merely cited the article and expressed my affection for Beto. DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2018 #6
What percentage did it Hillary have in MoveOn? Yosemito Dec 2018 #7
"You noted that Hillary Clinton's opponent was endorsed overwhelmingly by MoveOn.org and lost." DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2018 #8
Sanders had 78.6% and Clinton had 14.6% NewJeffCT Dec 2018 #10
You got to the gravamen of the situation. What's up with semantic games? DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2018 #12
what? NewJeffCT Dec 2018 #19
You got to the meat of the situation. The gentleman you responded to was being obscurantist. DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2018 #20
because Hillary had the support of other groups which Sanders will not have JI7 Dec 2018 #14
This message was self-deleted by its author LanternWaste Dec 2018 #21
And actually where does Joe Kennedy III fit in here?? a kennedy Dec 2018 #3
While Kennedy seems to be moving left NewJeffCT Dec 2018 #9
Kucinich was more progressive than Obama. A lot of good it did him. DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2018 #11
I think Beto took what Kennedy could have had. and they are friends JI7 Dec 2018 #17
That's pretty amazing angrychair Dec 2018 #4
I agree. It is pretty amazing BannonsLiver Dec 2018 #13
I don't get the fossil fuel argument, maybe for activists DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2018 #16
Poster is just mad because their preferred candidate is not on top. BannonsLiver Dec 2018 #18
And the experience argument DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2018 #22
He'd be a fool to challenge Cornyn or to wait for 2022 to run for gov BannonsLiver Dec 2018 #30
Actually not my preferred candidate angrychair Dec 2018 #26
What specific policies did he push that were directly beholden to oil co.'s? LanternWaste Dec 2018 #23
Several angrychair Dec 2018 #28
I like Beto but I want to see him get a little more experience under his belt Tommy_Carcetti Dec 2018 #5
People should keep in mind that these polls are meaningless. Garrett78 Dec 2018 #15
I think we are getting to a point where this is Beto's to lose JI7 Dec 2018 #24
To all of you that want Beto to run - are you okay that he didn't back Pelosi as speaker in 2016? jillan Dec 2018 #25
Sure; that's why they vote. I don't expect a candidate to agree with me all of the time. /nt LongtimeAZDem Dec 2018 #29
The bright, shiny things come, and the bright, shiny things go DavidDvorkin Dec 2018 #27
 

Yosemito

(648 posts)
1. You contradicted yourself
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 01:42 PM
Dec 2018

You noted that Hillary Clinton’s opponent was endorsed overwhelmingly by MoveOn.org and lost.
Could it be that Bernie doesn’t need MoveOn to win in 2020?

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
6. How did I contradict myself? I merely cited the article and expressed my affection for Beto.
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 01:53 PM
Dec 2018

That being said if you believe going from 78% to 13% in a poll is a good thing there is nothing I can do to disabuse you of that notion.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
8. "You noted that Hillary Clinton's opponent was endorsed overwhelmingly by MoveOn.org and lost."
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 02:17 PM
Dec 2018

I merely cited an article.

Going from seventy eight percent to thirteen percent is a good thing? Run with that.

NewJeffCT

(56,828 posts)
10. Sanders had 78.6% and Clinton had 14.6%
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 02:26 PM
Dec 2018

O'Malley and "none of the above" made up the remainder. MoveOn is a large and important progressive grassroots organization and their support enabled Bernie to really take off at the beginning of 2016. If he's not overwhelmingly ahead again, it's not a good sign for him.

https://front.moveon.org/sanders-endorsement-release/

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
20. You got to the meat of the situation. The gentleman you responded to was being obscurantist.
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 02:41 PM
Dec 2018

That was a terrible result for Bernie. Move On should be his base.

JI7

(89,250 posts)
14. because Hillary had the support of other groups which Sanders will not have
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 02:35 PM
Dec 2018

those groups are more likely to support someone like Kamala Harris and Beto Orourke so this actually shows how strong Beto could be as a candidate.

Response to Yosemito (Reply #7)

a kennedy

(29,669 posts)
3. And actually where does Joe Kennedy III fit in here??
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 01:50 PM
Dec 2018

I think Beto, and Joe are young but either one would be a fantastic VP.

NewJeffCT

(56,828 posts)
9. While Kennedy seems to be moving left
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 02:24 PM
Dec 2018

his actual voting record in Congress is about in the middle of the Democratic caucus despite being in a solid blue district. My concern is that he's not progressive enough to win the primaries.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
11. Kucinich was more progressive than Obama. A lot of good it did him.
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 02:27 PM
Dec 2018

Sanders was more progressive than Clinton. A lot of good it did him. Personality plays a large part in primaries. In the general election its partisanship or negative partisanship.

JI7

(89,250 posts)
17. I think Beto took what Kennedy could have had. and they are friends
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 02:38 PM
Dec 2018

so I think Kennedy is unlikely to run against him. but he might still "test the waters" early on.

angrychair

(8,699 posts)
4. That's pretty amazing
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 01:51 PM
Dec 2018

Especially considering if you look at his policies he is really more of a moderate and very pro on fossil fuels.
Also very in favor of working with republicans.


That is a deal breaker for me as that was one of my very few criticisms of PBO was him constantly going back to republicans, to the point of looking foolish and weak and self-destructive.

Sorry, we need a lot more backbone going forward, the days of capitulating to republicans is long past.
Have we learned nothing over the last several years with republicans shitting on us and what is now happening in WI, MI and FL and them poisoning the well before they leave town??

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
16. I don't get the fossil fuel argument, maybe for activists
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 02:37 PM
Dec 2018

Ceteris paribus, most folks will choose the cleanest form of energy, but some times the cleanest form of energy is not practical.

BannonsLiver

(16,387 posts)
18. Poster is just mad because their preferred candidate is not on top.
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 02:39 PM
Dec 2018

“He’s very pro fossil fuels” is a baseless argument, like the rest of the critiques offered in the post. “no backbone” etc. total nonsense.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
22. And the experience argument
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 02:48 PM
Dec 2018

Carpe diem! I remember when Chris Matthews endorsed Barack Obama's run for the presidency and said he needed to seize the moment and not wile away in the Senate, getting old and gray.


I might change my mind but right now I like what I see.

BannonsLiver

(16,387 posts)
30. He'd be a fool to challenge Cornyn or to wait for 2022 to run for gov
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 09:22 PM
Dec 2018

Great strides in Texas but we’re not there yet as far as Dems winning statewide races.

I’m a heavy lean toward O’Rourke at the moment. But honestly I can’t see myself having a big problem with any of the DEMOCRATS who are mulling runs. There’s things I admire in all of them, from Corey Booker to Amy Klobuchar and everyone in between. There’s been no Democrat that has been mentioned that I’ve thought to myself “Ugh I hope they don’t run.”

angrychair

(8,699 posts)
26. Actually not my preferred candidate
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 03:15 PM
Dec 2018

Rude. You made a lot of assumptions without asking any questions as to why I feel that way.

My preferred candidate is Kamala Harris, who was not in the top 5 of that list. Not sure why but don’t really care that much either.
And I actually advocated for O’Rourke as a VP for her until I took a closer look at his voting record and the fact he violated his own pledge to not take campaign donations from fossil fuel executives without so much as an explanation or an apology.

Climate change is very real and O’Rourke has a voting record in which is has voted against every option to limit or modernize our use of fossil fuels.

We can no longer afford the “we can have it all” mentality. We have to invest in R&D as well as implementing real solutions we have today to address problems that are only getting harder to solve with each passing day.

The POTUS is not a popularity contest. We need a serious, educated, strong-willed person that is willing to solve very real problems, today. I just don’t happen to think that person is O’Rourke.

 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
23. What specific policies did he push that were directly beholden to oil co.'s?
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 02:49 PM
Dec 2018

I worked on his campaign from Jun-Nov and read his positions, none of which place him in the pro-fossil fuel column.

(specific policies and bills, rather than indirect, after-this-therefore-because-of-this allegations)

angrychair

(8,699 posts)
28. Several
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 03:38 PM
Dec 2018

He violated his own pledge to not accept campaign donations from oil and gas executives. He receives more money from the fossil fuel industry than any Democrat:
https://www.opensecrets.org/industries/recips.php?ind=E01++

Joined republicans to vote against the HR 702 Oil Exports Ban
http://clerk.house.gov/evs/2015/roll549.xml

In 2016 he voted against an admendment to ban offshore drilling in the Gulf of Mexico
http://scorecard.lcv.org/roll-call-vote/2016-447-offshore-drilling-eastern-gulf-mexico

Not saying he is a horrible person but we can ill afford to continue to operate under the fantasy that we can keep doing what we are doing and still avoid the coming catastrophe of climate change. “All of the above” is no longer realistic. We need someone that has the backbone to make hard decisions because these problems are getting harder and more expensive to fix with each passing day.

Tommy_Carcetti

(43,182 posts)
5. I like Beto but I want to see him get a little more experience under his belt
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 01:53 PM
Dec 2018

A short stint in the House and almost winning a Senate race but not winning a Senate race just doesn’t give him the profile IMHO.

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
15. People should keep in mind that these polls are meaningless.
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 02:37 PM
Dec 2018

Ron Paul did great in these sorts of polls.

As for polls in general at this stage, it's all about name recognition.

JI7

(89,250 posts)
24. I think we are getting to a point where this is Beto's to lose
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 02:51 PM
Dec 2018

a few things that could make the difference would be that he is isn't so good when it comes to actually discussing policy. Clinton and Obama were policy wonks and that is important among democrats unlike with the GOP .

someone like Kamala Harris or someone else who may not be your traditional candidate may be able to win over many voters in the way Hillary Clinton did. by not traditional candidate I do mostly mean female candidates where they have to deal with different expectations but could still bring a different perspective .

jillan

(39,451 posts)
25. To all of you that want Beto to run - are you okay that he didn't back Pelosi as speaker in 2016?
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 02:58 PM
Dec 2018

I know there has been a lot of discussion about Pelosi as Speaker. And Beto as President.

DavidDvorkin

(19,479 posts)
27. The bright, shiny things come, and the bright, shiny things go
Tue Dec 11, 2018, 03:19 PM
Dec 2018

O'Rourke may prove to be more than a bright, shiny thing in the future, but at this point, that's all he is.

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