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progressoid

(49,991 posts)
Tue Dec 18, 2018, 07:02 PM Dec 2018

Bernie Sanders Has Highest Approval Among Nonwhite Voters in Recent CNN Poll

While the 2020 Democratic presidential primary could potentially be one of the most crowded, one candidate’s approval among the party’s base far outperforms that of his competitors.

In a CNN poll released on December 14, Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vermont), who finished second in the 2016 Democratic presidential primary, was seen as having both the second-highest overall approval rating among adults polled, and the highest approval rating among nonwhite adults who were surveyed.

...

Starting on page 15 of the poll, CNN broke down the favorability of each candidate based on various demographics. While former Vice President Joe Biden won the highest overall approval among likely Democratic candidates with 54 percent to Bernie Sanders’ 51 percent, Sen. Sanders actually won the nonwhite demographic, with 58 percent to Biden’s 56 percent.

Other potential 2020 candidates respondents weighed in on included Senators Elizabeth Warren (D-Massachusetts), Cory Booker (D-New Jersey), and Kamala Harris (D-California), along with Representative Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas). However, most respondents had never heard of them, leaving Biden and Sanders as the two likely frontrunners, should they declare a run for the presidency.

https://gritpost.com/bernie-sanders-approval-nonwhite/?fbclid=IwAR30SbI0o86VyKjwjAg0qiXO0NDzvuG5TRAkVBmKmAijJ_78FXhvISuZVCM



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Bernie Sanders Has Highest Approval Among Nonwhite Voters in Recent CNN Poll (Original Post) progressoid Dec 2018 OP
Interesting. Voltaire2 Dec 2018 #1
That's surprising, since he wasn't overly popular with POCs in 2016. Chemisse Dec 2018 #2
BS was last in this poll.. Cha Dec 2018 #6
That makes a lot more sense. n/t Chemisse Dec 2018 #7
Sure does. Turns out Sanders COULDN'T address POC issues Hortensis Dec 2018 #38
Im going to vote for a Democratic runner in my primary. Eko Dec 2018 #3
But will they vote for him? comradebillyboy Dec 2018 #4
BS is LAST in this poll from Women of Color.. Cha Dec 2018 #5
Sanders was last in that tweet, but far from last in the poll. sl8 Dec 2018 #8
Whatever.. BS is too divisive and 3rd party. Cha Dec 2018 #9
clearly...that's what you pulled from the above polling data, I assume. JCanete Dec 2018 #17
lol Go Vols Dec 2018 #33
Bernie still has a huge problem with black women MariePinchon Dec 2018 #10
How do you get from not being in the top three choices of about one third of POC women karynnj Dec 2018 #55
Our most activated and reliable voting block believes it's time to move on from Bernie MariePinchon Dec 2018 #11
The thing is Democratic Socialists do speak to racial justice. What is at issue is not enough of our JCanete Dec 2018 #16
... BannonsLiver Dec 2018 #12
deep retort to the data. nt JCanete Dec 2018 #15
That was all this OP required. BannonsLiver Dec 2018 #27
well if you sleep through stuff, you can just use the tired falsifiable claim that Sanders has a JCanete Dec 2018 #29
Thanks for the tip, Dad. BannonsLiver Dec 2018 #30
I'm pretty sure you already had that one figured out. nt JCanete Dec 2018 #31
Absurd retorts are valid reposes to empty narratives pretending to be something other than empty. LanternWaste Dec 2018 #40
suddenly in the darkness, a lantern in the night, but no sooner had I turned to ask JCanete Dec 2018 #53
I think he's doing a good job as a Senator. Adrahil Dec 2018 #13
Yes, but Wyoming and Vermont shouldn't even have Senators Algernon Moncrieff Dec 2018 #28
That completely goes against the Constitution Cuthbert Allgood Dec 2018 #43
There are 39 states in the 1.5M + population group Algernon Moncrieff Dec 2018 #57
haha...YEP...this thread fell like a rock. the feel the bern thread though? 119 posts? I've JCanete Dec 2018 #14
For one thing it's bogus. Joe beat Bernie by 3 points. ucrdem Dec 2018 #18
BS is too Divisive, anyway. Cha Dec 2018 #19
heya Cha! Yep and if this is the best they can do ucrdem Dec 2018 #23
Happy Holidays, ucr! Cha Dec 2018 #24
LOL, Mele Kalikimaka Cha! ucrdem Dec 2018 #26
No, but obviously you need to keep reminding posters of that, Cha because . . . peggysue2 Dec 2018 #47
Yes, we've all been Cha Dec 2018 #49
Agree with both of you, and find it ironic, considering Sparkly Dec 2018 #56
I don't think you're responding to the content of the op. Who said that Biden didn't beat Sanders in JCanete Dec 2018 #20
There's a 2% difference for that subgroup and the sampling error is 7%. ucrdem Dec 2018 #21
Meh. I only vote for Democrats, period, and the old guy is no Dem. nt Hekate Dec 2018 #22
I prefer an actual Democrat as the candidate of my party, elocs Dec 2018 #25
Yeah, lets have a actual Democrat candidate for the Democratic Party. YES!!!! winstars Dec 2018 #32
I said I prefer an actual 'Democrat' (noun) as the candidate of my party elocs Dec 2018 #50
Great. I was agreeing with you. winstars Dec 2018 #51
I thought you might, but I wasn't quite sure. Thank you. n/t elocs Dec 2018 #52
People don't understand statistics. WeekiWater Dec 2018 #34
He is at 44/42 among all registered voters before he goes through the electoral meat grinder DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2018 #35
Your argument is sound. WeekiWater Dec 2018 #36
Its a poll that establishes, polling from those who recognize his name, whether or not he actually JCanete Dec 2018 #37
This is what I mean. WeekiWater Dec 2018 #42
either contradict what I just said, or admit that it establishes something. Its not definitive JCanete Dec 2018 #44
I want a Democrat to be the DEMOCRATIC nominee NastyRiffraff Dec 2018 #39
"Non-white" ismnotwasm Dec 2018 #41
That's a standard term used by pollsters. progressoid Dec 2018 #46
I know exactly what the fuck it is. ismnotwasm Dec 2018 #48
... LexVegas Dec 2018 #45
"However, most respondents had never heard of ------" pangaia Dec 2018 #54

Chemisse

(30,813 posts)
2. That's surprising, since he wasn't overly popular with POCs in 2016.
Tue Dec 18, 2018, 07:32 PM
Dec 2018

We'll see how things go when the whole pool of candidates is out there and people get to know their options.

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
38. Sure does. Turns out Sanders COULDN'T address POC issues
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 03:19 PM
Dec 2018

before because he was competing with the right for white populist voters and it would have driven those away.

What happened is easier to understand in retrospect on realizing that we've had two populist movements, one on the right and one on the left. Large portions of populists are various mixtures of socially conservative and economically progressive and trend left or right depending on which passions are stronger at any particular time.

Though Sanders' economic populism drew some, we now know, for instance, that those famous white working class male Democrats who chose Trump's nationalist populism did so because they'd OD'd on equality. Their biggest populist resentment was that they were losing their white male privileges. Focused against women definitely, but especially against POC.

A lot of us didn't really understand why Sanders wasn't committing to address the issues POC required to support him. That said, we know Russia was and is trying hard to split as many POC off as possible, just as they did those white male supremacists to Trump, and/or to Sanders.

Cha

(297,283 posts)
5. BS is LAST in this poll from Women of Color..
Tue Dec 18, 2018, 10:15 PM
Dec 2018


Women of color, as a voting bloc, are the backbone of the Democratic Party and we’re really leading the way with these issues, and we’ve shown that we can get behind candidates of different genders and different races and really affect an election,” Allison said. “But now we’re demanding way more from the candidates. They need to speak directly to us, and anything short just isn’t going to cut it.”

The survey from She the People questioned 264 women of color across the country. Of the people surveyed, 50% of the women identified as black, 40% as Latinx, 16% as Asian, and 5% as Native American. The survey was conducted from Nov. 29, 2018, through Dec. 13, 2018.

sl8

(13,786 posts)
8. Sanders was last in that tweet, but far from last in the poll.
Tue Dec 18, 2018, 10:36 PM
Dec 2018

From https://www.shethepeople.org/poll

...

Other options included:

Michael Avenatti (.4%), Michael Bloomberg (3.1%), Sherrod Brown (3.9%), Steve Bullock (0%), Julian Castro (9%), Andrew Cuomo (2%), John Delaney (0%), Tulsi Gabbard (5.5%), Eric Garcetti (2.7%), Kirsten Gillibrand (6.6%), John Hickenlooper (1.2%), Eric Holder (7.8%), Jay Inslee (.8%), Joe Kennedy III (2%), Amy Klobuchar (3.1%), Mitch Landrieu (1.6%), Terry McAuliff (.4%), Jeff Merkley (2.3%), Richard Ojeda (0%), Deval Patrick (4.3%), Tom Steyer (.8%), Eric Swalwell (.4%), Andrew Yang (0%), Other (6.6%)

...

 

MariePinchon

(86 posts)
10. Bernie still has a huge problem with black women
Tue Dec 18, 2018, 11:00 PM
Dec 2018
Nearly a third of the 222 women from She the People’s survey who responded to a question asking who they would not consider for president named Sanders in their top three because they don’t think he’d be able to reach women of color, a problem he faced in the 2016 election.


https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/ryancbrooks/kamala-harris-2020-president-black-women-survey

I would argue that he also has a problem with the majority of Democratic voters. He lost the 2016 primary and it wasn't even close.

When you add fresh, impressive candidates such as Kamala Harris or Beto O'Rourke, Bernie will get lost in a heartbeat.

karynnj

(59,504 posts)
55. How do you get from not being in the top three choices of about one third of POC women
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 07:41 PM
Dec 2018

to having a problem with the majority of Democratic voters? First of all, not being in the first 3 choices does not mean you would not support. (For instance, if I would have been asked in 1991 -- my top three would have been Cuomo (who was the "front runner before he didn't run, Tsongus and Brown .. and I also liked Harkin.) Does that mean I would not support Kerrey or Clinton in the general election? Absolutely not.

That said, I have posted for months that I think Bernie is highly unlikely to get the percent of delegates that he got last time. For almost the entire country, by primary time, there was a very constrained choice -- HRC or Bernie. I would bet that many voting for each were excited by their vote .. and a lot of the others were simply voting for the one they liked better than the other, but who were not excited. I seriously doubt that Bernie will win the nomination.

These polls now are way to early -- not to mention, this is not based on a random sample of POC women. The organization, She the People, did a STRAW POLL of their members. First, their members are self selected and may not be representative of all POC women. In addition, this is a straw poll and straw polls are not scientific samples.

From their link:
She the People — a national network of influential women of color in politics — just completed a national straw poll of 264 women of color leaders, campaign workers and managers, political strategists, organizers, and activists ahead of the 2020 presidential election. Those surveyed included campaign donors (48.5%), current and former elected officials (10.6%), campaign managers (5.7%), electoral campaign strategists (8.7%), and women who run (23.1%) or work (23.5%) at politically-minded organizations.

Of the women of color surveyed, nearly 40% identify as Latinx, and nearly 50% identify as African American, over 16% identify as Asian, and over 5% as Native. Nearly 90% of respondents identified as members of the Democratic Party.

 

MariePinchon

(86 posts)
11. Our most activated and reliable voting block believes it's time to move on from Bernie
Tue Dec 18, 2018, 11:19 PM
Dec 2018
Nearly a third of the 222 women from She the People’s survey who responded to a question asking who they would not consider for president named Sanders in their top three because they don’t think he’d be able to reach women of color, a problem he faced in the 2016 election.


“I think we’re at the end of the time when Democrats can speak to economic injustice and not speak powerfully to racial justice,” She the People founder Aimee Allison told BuzzFeed News in an interview.


https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/ryancbrooks/kamala-harris-2020-president-black-women-survey
 

JCanete

(5,272 posts)
16. The thing is Democratic Socialists do speak to racial justice. What is at issue is not enough of our
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 04:21 AM
Dec 2018

mainstream politicians connect the dots that we can't achieve racial justice without also tackling, in a serious way, economic injustice. We cannot do one without the other, and pretending that we just need to make a few tweaks to things to make our "meritocracy" purr is our real problem. Pretending that just rewarding the best and maybe giving a little bit more to the rest of the population as a charitable consolation prize, is our real problem.

Also, the justification in the article for suggesting Sanders can't reach people of color is based heavily on the first couple states with a large poc population where he struggled mightily, in large part because Bill and Hillary Clinton have been household names for decades. Without knowing who Sanders was, Clinton was the safe bet, and almost nobody knew who Sanders was. The favorables being discussed in this thread that he enjoys today would not have looked anything like this at the time of those particular primaries.
 

JCanete

(5,272 posts)
29. well if you sleep through stuff, you can just use the tired falsifiable claim that Sanders has a
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 02:30 PM
Dec 2018

problem with people of color in the future...cuz you know....zzzzz.
 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
40. Absurd retorts are valid reposes to empty narratives pretending to be something other than empty.
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 03:24 PM
Dec 2018
 

JCanete

(5,272 posts)
53. suddenly in the darkness, a lantern in the night, but no sooner had I turned to ask
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 07:06 PM
Dec 2018

who goes there had it gone black once again, and my words met with only silence.


I appreciate your drive-by responses as much as the next person, but unless you're going to engage, I'm going to return the favor.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
13. I think he's doing a good job as a Senator.
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 12:15 AM
Dec 2018

There is no way in hell I'd ever vote for him the primaries.

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
28. Yes, but Wyoming and Vermont shouldn't even have Senators
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 02:05 PM
Dec 2018

Both have fewer people than the D of C.

We need a 1.5 million population floor on states and a 10 million population max.

Cuthbert Allgood

(4,921 posts)
43. That completely goes against the Constitution
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 03:32 PM
Dec 2018

so there is a lot to change in that regard if it actually needs to change. (I don't think it needs to change, for the record).

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
57. There are 39 states in the 1.5M + population group
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 09:53 PM
Dec 2018

Easily enough to convene a CC and amend.

edited: I included PR - which damn well should be a state.

Also, I'd consider exempting Alaska.

 

JCanete

(5,272 posts)
14. haha...YEP...this thread fell like a rock. the feel the bern thread though? 119 posts? I've
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 04:10 AM
Dec 2018

got a feeling I know what that one looks like.

ucrdem

(15,512 posts)
18. For one thing it's bogus. Joe beat Bernie by 3 points.
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 04:26 AM
Dec 2018

I just clicked the link in the OP and here's what it shows for the latest polling period:

(BS) Bernie Sanders - Favorable Opinion - December 06-09, 2018 - 51%

(JB) Joe Biden - Favorable Opinion - December 06-09, 2018 - 54%

http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2018/images/12/14/rel12e.-.2020.and.economy.pdf


As for the stat buried on page 15 it's basically meaningless as it's less than the sampling error.

Hope that helps!






Cha

(297,283 posts)
19. BS is too Divisive, anyway.
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 04:43 AM
Dec 2018

And, he's 3rd party.

This is a Democratic Board.. I know I don't have to tell you that.

ucr

ucrdem

(15,512 posts)
23. heya Cha! Yep and if this is the best they can do
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 05:07 AM
Dec 2018

I predict an early exit this time around.

Tiptoeing carefully here . . .

And on a completely unrelated note happy holiday!



peggysue2

(10,830 posts)
47. No, but obviously you need to keep reminding posters of that, Cha because . . .
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 04:01 PM
Dec 2018

it doesn't appear to filter through the endless rah-rah posts for BS, a non-Democrat, a coat-tail Dem at best who will never be our nominee.

This ain't a replay of 2016. We've all been down that twisty, unpaved road before. Been there, saw that, not going to happen again.

But as a distraction from the woes and tribulations of Trumpski and Co., the absolute debacle that was 2016, these endless, pointless polls serve a purpose: divide and conquer.

Again, ain't going to happen.

Cha

(297,283 posts)
49. Yes, we've all been
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 06:16 PM
Dec 2018

down that rocky road to hell. And, we're just coming out of it with Robert Mueller and the Democratic Blue Wave.

Turns out Not to be true as BS & MM stated "Russia investigation is a distraction".

Thank Goodness for our Blue Dems like Adam Schiff and all those who Persisted!

Peggysue

Sparkly

(24,149 posts)
56. Agree with both of you, and find it ironic, considering
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 08:40 PM
Dec 2018

how Russia worked to undermine our Democratic candidate's esteem among African Americans despite decades of good work and goodwill -- and of course, continuing criticism for winning the nomination by campaigning for votes among black people in the south, which 'doesn't count' in the general, rather than focusing on white folks up north, the only winning strategy...

I think I need to hibernate through the primaries this time.

 

JCanete

(5,272 posts)
20. I don't think you're responding to the content of the op. Who said that Biden didn't beat Sanders in
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 04:48 AM
Dec 2018

favorability overall? Biden beats Sanders in favorability as a large result of white voters impacting the data, if I remember what I read earlier. What is the sampling error you are referring to in this case? Okay, so maybe Biden and Sanders are in the same ballpark. It still really fucks with the mythology that Sanders is only liked by white male Bernie Bros.

ucrdem

(15,512 posts)
21. There's a 2% difference for that subgroup and the sampling error is 7%.
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 04:54 AM
Dec 2018

It's on pp. 15-16 of the link I gave. And that is a very thin reed indeed.



elocs

(22,582 posts)
25. I prefer an actual Democrat as the candidate of my party,
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 05:22 AM
Dec 2018

and not just one who chooses to caucus with the Democratic Party because his only other choice is to caucus with the Republicans,
or one who just uses the Democratic Party to run for president because he knows there is no other way to win the presidency.

We will have a good number of qualified and actual members of the Democratic Party who will be candidates for its nomination,
I'll be satisfied with them.

elocs

(22,582 posts)
50. I said I prefer an actual 'Democrat' (noun) as the candidate of my party
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 06:26 PM
Dec 2018

which is the 'Democratic' (adjective) Party.

Bernie Sanders is not a Democrat and he is not a member of the Democratic Party.

 

WeekiWater

(3,259 posts)
36. Your argument is sound.
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 02:53 PM
Dec 2018

This poll in the op actually gives additional information that is useful(some of it has no use). The manner in which it was taken to put this piece together makes it a clear propaganda piece.

At a minimum the 44/42 shows polarization.

 

JCanete

(5,272 posts)
37. Its a poll that establishes, polling from those who recognize his name, whether or not he actually
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 03:05 PM
Dec 2018

has been alienating people of color , as is often claimed here. And this poll, like 2 or 3 before it comes to the same conclusions. Sanders is less popular among white males than any other demographic, despite the Bernie Bro refrain.
 

WeekiWater

(3,259 posts)
42. This is what I mean.
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 03:32 PM
Dec 2018

It establishes nothing as you think it does. That is also not the only flaw in your statistical analysis.

 

JCanete

(5,272 posts)
44. either contradict what I just said, or admit that it establishes something. Its not definitive
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 03:33 PM
Dec 2018

but no poll ever is. If you want to say that about polls in general, feel free.

ismnotwasm

(41,988 posts)
48. I know exactly what the fuck it is.
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 04:37 PM
Dec 2018

What it’s history is based on and why it’s still used even today.

pangaia

(24,324 posts)
54. "However, most respondents had never heard of ------"
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 07:12 PM
Dec 2018

Elizabeth Warren
Cory Booker
Kamala Harris

Well THAT says a lot about those most voters...

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